2022 United States Senate election in Georgia
(Redirected from Chase Oliver)
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Elections in Georgia |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Georgia.
Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock, who was elected in a 2021 special election runoff, is seeking his first full term. He won renomination in the May 24 primary with minimal opposition. Former football player Herschel Walker, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, won the Republican nomination with 68% of the vote. This is the first U.S. Senate election in Georgia history and among five nationwide since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment[a] in which both major party nominees are African-American.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Raphael Warnock, incumbent U.S. Senator[2][citation needed]
Eliminated in primary
- Tamara Johnson-Shealey, DeKalb County advocate and businesswoman[3]
Endorsements
Raphael Warnock
- State officials
- Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and state representative from the 78th District (2013–present)[4]
- Organizations
- End Citizens United[5]
- Feminist Majority PAC[6]
- Giffords[7]
- GALEO Impact Fund[8]
- Human Rights Campaign[9]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[10]
- Jewish Dems[11]
- League of Conservation Voters[12]
- Let America Vote[5]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[13]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[14]
- Peace Action[15]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[16]
- Population Connection Action Fund[17]
- March On[18]
- Sierra Club[19]
- Labor unions
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Tamara Johnson-Shealey |
Raphael Warnock |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | April 1–3, 2022 | 453 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 6% | 85% | 10% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raphael Warnock (incumbent) | 702,610 | 96.04% | |
Democratic | Tamara Johnson-Shealey | 28,984 | 3.96% | |
Total votes | 731,594 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Herschel Walker, former running back for the Georgia Bulldogs, former professional football player, and co-chair of the President's Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition and CEO of Renaissance Man Food Services[22]
Eliminated in primary
- Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia[23]
- Josh Clark, former state representative and businessman[24]
- Kelvin King, U.S. Air Force veteran, businessman, and founder of Osprey Management[25][26]
- Jonathan McColumn, former U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and pastor[3]
- Latham Saddler, former Director of Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council and former Navy SEAL officer[25]
Declined
- Christopher M. Carr, Attorney General of Georgia (running for re-election)[25]
- Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (endorsed Walker)[27][28]
- Doug Collins, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020[29][30][citation needed]
- Geoff Duncan, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia and former state representative from the 26th district[31][32]
- Randy Evans, former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg[31][33] (endorsed Walker)[citation needed]
- Drew Ferguson, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 3rd congressional district[34]
- Vernon Jones, former Democratic state representative and CEO of DeKalb County (ran for the U.S. House in GA-10)[35]
- Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (running for re-election)[36]
- Jack Kingston, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district[25]
- Kelly Loeffler, former U.S. Senator[37]
- Harold Melton, former Chief Justice of Georgia Supreme Court[38][39]
- David Perdue, former U.S. Senator[40][41][42] (initially filed paperwork; ran for Governor)[43]
- David Ralston, Speaker of the Georgia House of Representatives[44]
Debates
2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Georgia debates | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Date | Organizer | Location | Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
Source | ||||||
Gary Black | Josh Clark | Kelvin King | Jonathan McColumn | Latham Saddler | Herschel Walker | ||||||
1 | April 9, 2022 | Georgia's 9th congressional district Republican Party | Gainesville | P | P | P | P | P | A | [45] | |
2 | May 3, 2022 | Atlanta Press Club, Georgia Public Broadcasting |
Atlanta | P | P | P | P | P | A | [46] |
Endorsements
Gary Black
- Governors
- Nathan Deal, 82nd Governor of Georgia (2011–2019)[47]
- U.S. Representatives
- Andrew Clyde, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district (2021–present)[48]
- Doug Collins, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district (2013–2021), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[48]
- State Officials
- Bubba McDonald, Georgia Public Service Commissioner[48]
Herschel Walker
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[49]
- U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[50][citation needed]
- Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)[51]
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)[51]
- Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)[51]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[52]
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[51]
- John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)[51]
- Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021–present)[53]
- Bill Hagerty, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2021–present)[54][citation needed]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)[54][citation needed]
- U.S. Representatives
- Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)[28]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)[55]
- Individuals
- Organizations
Polling
- Graphical summary
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Gary Black |
Josh Clark |
Kelvin King |
Jonathan McColumn |
Latham Saddler |
Herschel Walker |
Other [c] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | May 12–23, 2022 | May 24, 2022 | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 9.0% | 64.7% | 12.9% | Walker +55.7 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Gary Black |
Josh Clark |
Kelvin King |
Jonathan McColumn |
Latham Saddler |
Herschel Walker |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | May 21–23, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 67% | – | 4% |
Landmark Communications (R) | May 22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 60% | – | 9% |
Fox News | May 12–16, 2022 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 66% | 1% | 11% |
ARW Strategies (R) | April 30 – May 1, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 59% | – | 23% |
SurveyUSA | April 22–27, 2022 | 559 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 62% | – | 21% |
University of Georgia | April 10–22, 2022 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 66% | – | 23% |
Landmark Communications (R) | April 9–10, 2022 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 64% | – | 14% |
Spry Strategies (R) | April 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 7% | 2% | 4% | – | 2% | 64% | – | 21% |
University of Georgia | March 20 – April 8, 2022 | ~329 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 64% | – | 24% |
Emerson College | April 1–3, 2022 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 57% | 2%[d] | 16% |
Fox News | March 2–6, 2022 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 8% | 1% | 3% | – | 2% | 66% | 1% | 16% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | February 28 – March 1, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 6% | 3% | 4% | – | 3% | 63% | 2% | 20% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | February 11–13, 2022 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 3% | 70% | – | 19% |
Quinnipiac University | January 19–24, 2022 | 666 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 6% | 0% | 2% | – | 1% | 81% | 0%[e] | 9% |
OnMessage Inc. (R)[A] | October 11–14, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 1% | 74% | 2%[f] | 16% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 2–4, 2021 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 3% | 76% | – | 13% |
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B] | August 11–12, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | – | 2% | – | 1% | 54% | 3%[g] | 35% |
Hypothetical polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Doug Collins |
Marjorie Taylor Greene |
Kelly Loeffler |
Herschel Walker |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OnMessage Inc. (R) | March 14–15, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 7% | 22% | 27% | 11% |
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | March 7–9, 2021 | – (LV)[h] | – | 33% | – | 24% | 33% | 11% |
- Primary runoff polling
- Doug Collins vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Doug Collins |
Kelly Loeffler |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OnMessage Inc. (R) | March 14–15, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 36% | 10% |
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | March 7–9, 2021 | – (LV)[h] | – | 52% | 32% | 16% |
- Herschel Walker vs. Doug Collins
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Herschel Walker |
Doug Collins |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | March 7–9, 2021 | – (LV)[h] | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
- Herschel Walker vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Herschel Walker |
Kelly Loeffler |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | March 7–9, 2021 | – (LV)[h] | – | 62% | 26% | 11% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Herschel Walker | 803,560 | 68.18% | |
Republican | Gary Black | 157,370 | 13.35% | |
Republican | Latham Saddler | 104,471 | 8.86% | |
Republican | Josh Clark | 46,693 | 3.96% | |
Republican | Kelvin King | 37,930 | 3.22% | |
Republican | Jonathan McColumn | 28,601 | 2.43% | |
Total votes | 1,178,625 | 100.0% |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chase Oliver, chair of the Atlanta Libertarian Party, customer service specialist and candidate for Georgia's 5th congressional district in the 2020 special election[60][61]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[62] | Tossup | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[63] | Tossup | April 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] | Tossup | March 1, 2022 |
Politico[65] | Tossup | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[66] | Tossup | February 24, 2022 |
Fox News[67] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
DDHQ[68] | Tossup | October 25, 2022 |
FiveThirtyEight[69] | Tossup | October 18, 2022 |
The Economist[70] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Debates
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
|||||||
Raphael Warnock | Herschel Walker | Chase Oliver | |||||
1 | Oct. 14, 2022 | Nexstar Media Group | Buck Lanford Tina Tyus-Shaw |
P | P | N | |
2 | Oct. 16, 2022 | Georgia Public Broadcasting | Scott Slade | [71] | P | A | P |
Endorsements
Raphael Warnock (D)
- Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017)[72]
- U.S. Senators
- Jon Ossoff, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2021–present)[citation needed]
- U.S. Representatives
- Sanford Bishop, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 2nd congressional district (1993–present)[73]
- State officials
- Stacey Abrams, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives, founder of Fair Fight Action, and nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and 2022[74]
- James Beverly, state representative from the 143rd District (2013–present)[73]
- William Boddie, state representative from the 62nd District (2017–present)[73]
- Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and state representative from the 78th District (2013–present)[4]
- Gloria Frazier, state representative from the 126th district (2013–present)[75]
- Harold V. Jones II, state senator for the 22nd district (2015–present)[76]
- Jen Jordan, state senator for the 6th district (2017–present)[77]
- David Lucas, state senator for the 26th district (2013–present)[73]
- Miriam Paris, state representative from the 142nd District (2017–present)[73]
- Local officials
- Kelly Girtz, Mayor of Athens, Georgia (2019–present)[78]
- Individuals
- Lin-Manuel Miranda, composer and filmmaker[79]
- Martin Sheen, actor[80]
- Kerry Washington, actress[81]
- Organizations
- Actors' Equity Association[82]
- Asian-American Advocacy Fund[83][citation needed]
- End Citizens United[5]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[83]
- Feminist Majority PAC[6]
- Giffords[7]
- Human Rights Campaign[9]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[10]
- Jewish Dems[11]
- League of Conservation Voters[12]
- Let America Vote[5]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[13]
- National Association of Social Workers[83][citation needed]
- National Organization for Women[83]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[14]
- Peace Action[15]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[16]
- Population Connection Action Fund[17]
- March On[18]
- Sierra Club[19]
- Labor unions
Herschel Walker (R)
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[49]
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[86]
- Mike Pompeo, former U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021) and former Director of the CIA (2017–2018)[86]
- State officials
- Brian Kemp, Governor of Georgia (2019–present)[87]
- Mark Newton, state representative from the 123rd District (2017–present)[88]
- Jodi Lott, state representative from the 122nd District (2015–present)[89]
- Jesse Petrea, state representative from the 166th District (2015–present)[90]
- Ron Stephens, state representative from the 164th District (2005–present)[91]
- U.S. Senators
- Saxby Chambliss, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2003–2015)[92][citation needed]
- John Cornyn, U.S. Senator from Texas (2002–present)[93]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[94]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)[54][citation needed]
- Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)[51]
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)[51]
- Kelly Loeffler, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2020–2021)[95]
- Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)[51]
- Mack Mattingly, U.S. Senator from Georgia (1981–1987)[96]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[52]
- David Perdue, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2015–2021)[97]
- Rick Scott, U.S Senator from Florida (2019–present)[98]
- Tim Scott, U.S Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[99]
- John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)[51]
- Tommy Tuberville, U.S. Senator from Alabama (2021–present)[53]
- Bill Hagerty, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2021–present)[54][citation needed]
- U.S. Representatives
- Rick W. Allen, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 12th congressional district (2015–present)[100]
- Don Bacon, U.S. Representative for Nebraska's 2nd congressional district (2017–present)[101]
- Buddy Carter, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district (2015–present)[102]
- Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (1995–1999) and former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (1979–1999)[103]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)[55]
- Individuals
- Bobby Christine, District Attorney of the Columbia County Judicial Circuit (2021–present)[104]
- Vince Dooley, former head coach of the Georgia Bulldogs (deceased)[105][citation needed]
- Sean Hannity, talk show host and conservative political commentator[56][citation needed]
- Ralph Reed, political consultant[106]
- Organizations
- American Conservative Union[59]
- Black America's Political Action Committee[57]
- Campaign for Working Families[107]
- National Right to Life[58]
Declined to endorse
- Statewide officials
- Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia (2011–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 (Republican)[108]
- Geoff Duncan, Lieutenant Governor of Georgia (2019–present) (Republican)[109]
Polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Herschel Walker (R) |
Other [i] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 16 – October 27, 2022 | November 2, 2022 | 45.8% | 47.4% | 6.8% | Walker +1.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | October 13 – October 30, 2022 | November 2, 2022 | 46.1% | 45.7% | 8.2% | Warnock +0.4 |
270ToWin | October 26 – November 2, 2022 | November 2, 2022 | 45.4% | 46.0% | 8.6% | Walker +0.6 |
Average | 45.8% | 46.4% | 7.8% | Walker +0.6 |
- Graphical summary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Herschel Walker (R) |
Chase Oliver (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 49% | 2% | – | 4% |
Echleon Insights | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 45% | 49% | 3% | – | 3% |
45% | 52% | – | – | 3% | ||||
Marist College | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,168 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 45% | – | 1%[j] | 6% |
1,009 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 48% | – | 1%[k] | 3% | ||
Moore Information Group (R)[C] | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 49% | 2% | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 1,171 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 43% | 3% | – | 5% |
Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 1% | 1%[l] | 2% |
50% | 48% | 2% | 1%[m] | – | ||||
Fox News | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | – | 6%[n] | 6% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 27, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 48% | 2% | <1%[o] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT | October 24–27, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 46% | 1% | – | 4% |
University of Georgia | Ocotber 16–27, 2022 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 46% | 5% | – | 5% |
co/efficient (R) | October 24–25, 2022 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 3% | – | 6% |
Moore Information Group (R)[C] | October 22–25, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 3% | – | – |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 4%[p] | 4% |
The Trafalgar Group (R)[D] | October 21–23, 2022 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 49% | 5% | – | – |
East Carolina University | October 13–18, 2022 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 47% | – | 2%[q] | 3% |
Landmark Communications | October 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 46% | 3% | – | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 13–17, 2022 | 984 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 16, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 43% | 4% | 1%[r] | 6% |
Wick Insights | October 8–14, 2022 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 46% | – | 3%[s] | 5% |
Civiqs | October 8–11, 2022 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | – | 3%[t] | 1% |
Moore Information Group (R)[C] | October 8–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | – | – |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 8–11, 2022 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 4% | – | 5% |
Quinnipiac University | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,157 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 45% | – | 1%[u] | 1% |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1%[v] | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 4, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 44% | 3% | 1%[w] | 5% |
SurveyUSA | September 30 – October 4, 2022 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 38% | – | 5%[x] | 7% |
University of Georgia | September 25 – October 4, 2022 | 1,030 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 43% | 4% | – | 6% |
Fox News | September 22–26, 2022 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | – | 6%[y] | 7% |
Data for Progress (D) | September 16–20, 2022 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 4% | – | 3% |
YouGov/CBS News | September 14–19, 2022 | 1,178 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 49% | – | – | 0% |
University of Georgia | September 5–16, 2022 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 46% | – | 3% | 7% |
Marist College | September 12–15, 2022 | 1,202 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 42% | 4% | – | 7% |
992 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 4% | – | 4% | ||
Kurt Jetta (D)[E] | September 9–12, 2022 | 949 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 37% | – | – | 13% |
542 (LV) | 49% | 45% | – | – | 7% | |||
Quinnipiac University | September 8–12, 2022 | 1,278 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 52% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | – | – | 10% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 6–7, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 47% | 4% | – | 5% |
Emerson College | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 46% | – | 4% | 7% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 24–27, 2022 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | 3% | – | 3% |
Phillips Academy | August 3–7, 2022 | 971 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 11% |
Research Affiliates (D)[F] | July 26 – August 1, 2022 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | July 26–27, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
Fox News | July 22–26, 2022 | 908 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 42% | – | 1% | 9% |
PEM Management Corporation (R)[G] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 46% | – | 3% | 9% |
SurveyUSA | July 21–24, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 48% | 39% | – | 5% | 8% |
University of Georgia | July 14–22, 2022 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 43% | 3% | – | 8% |
Beacon Research (D)[H] | July 5–20, 2022 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 36% | – | 2% | 11% |
602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | – | 1% | 7% | ||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | July 5–11, 2022 | 1,197 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% |
Data for Progress (D) | July 1–6, 2022 | 1,131 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | – | – | 4% |
Change Research (D)[I] | June 24–27, 2022 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 44% | – | – | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | June 23–27, 2022 | 1,497 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 54% | 44% | – | 0% | 3% |
Moore Information Group (R)[C] | June 11–16, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
East Carolina University | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 2% | 4% |
SurveyUSA | April 22–27, 2022 | 1,278 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Grassroots Targeting (R)[A] | April 3–16, 2022 | 2,500 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | 8% |
Emerson College | April 1–3, 2022 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | – | – | 6% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | March 2–8, 2022 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 49% | – | – | 6% |
Change Research (D)[I] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 3% |
Wick | February 2–6, 2022 | 1,290 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | January 19–24, 2022 | 1,702 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 49% | – | 0% | 3% |
University of Georgia | January 13–24, 2022 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 47% | – | 1% | 8% |
NRSC (R)[J] | December 4–8, 2021 | 831 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 49% | – | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 9, 2021 | 753 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 39% | – | 2% | 8% |
733 (LV) | 48% | 42% | – | 2% | 6% | |||
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 4–5, 2021 | 622 (V) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 46% | – | – | 6% |
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) | March 7–9, 2021 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 48% | – | 3% | 4% |
Hypothetical polling
- Raphael Warnock vs. Gary Black
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Gary Black (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Georgia | January 13–24, 2022 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 41% | 1% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 4–5, 2021 | 622 (V) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
- Raphael Warnock vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Kelly Loeffler (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 4–5, 2021 | 622 (V) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) | March 7–9, 2021 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 41% | 8% | 5% |
- Raphael Warnock vs. Doug Collins
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Raphael Warnock (D) |
Doug Collins (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) | March 7–9, 2021 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grassroots Targeting (R)[A] | April 3–16, 2022 | 2,500 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 40% | 52% | 8% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raphael Warnock (incumbent) | ||||
Republican | Herschel Walker | ||||
Libertarian | Chase Oliver | N/A | |||
Total votes | N/A |
See also
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia
- 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election
Notes
- ^ After Illinois in 2004 and South Carolina in 2014 and 2016, and concurrently with South Carolina in 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Nestor with 2%
- ^ Craig and Nestor with 0%
- ^ Craig and Nestor with 1%
- ^ Carter with 3%
- ^ a b c d Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 4%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with <1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Other" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by 34N22 Leadership, which supports Walker
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Walker's campaign
- ^ This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Walker
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Charlie Bailey's campaign for lieutenant governor
- ^ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
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External links
- Official campaign websites
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