Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections (Canary Islands)
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In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and island cabildos in the Canary Islands are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities[edit]
Arona[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
|
CxA | 
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Atlántico Hoy[1] | 19 May–14 Aug 2022 | 702 | ? | 46.8 14 |
15.9 4 |
14.7 4 |
7.2 2 |
5.5 1 |
2.8 0 |
2.4 0 |
30.9 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 37.9 | 47.8 14 |
15.1 4 |
13.3 3 |
6.8 2 |
6.6 1 |
5.2 1 |
– | 32.7 |
Arrecife[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
SL |
|
ASL | LAVA |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Atlántico Hoy[2] | 10 May–18 Sep 2022 | ? | ? | 29.7 9 |
19.0 6 |
15.6 5 |
9.4 2 |
7.0 2 |
1.4 0 |
3.0 0 |
2.9 0 |
5.4 1 |
10.7 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 44.7 | 28.5 9 |
17.2 6 |
17.2 5 |
9.1 3 |
6.2 2 |
4.6 0 |
3.9 0 |
2.6 0 |
2.5 0 |
11.3 |
Las Palmas de Gran Canaria[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Atlántico Hoy[3] | 10 May–18 Sep 2022 | 751 | ? | 34.5 11 |
27.5 8 |
9.5 3 |
0.9 0 |
13.8 4 |
6.5 2 |
5.1 1 |
– | 7.0 |
| TSA/Canarias7[4][5] | 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022 | ? | ? | 33.5 11/12 |
19.8 6/7 |
8.4 2/3 |
? 0 |
13.7 4/5 |
? 0 |
5.3 1/2 |
5.2 1/2 |
13.7 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[6] | 13 May–1 Oct 2021 | 358 | ? | 31.9 11 |
26.1 9 |
8.1 2 |
3.6 0 |
10.9 3 |
8.2 2 |
6.0 2 |
[a] | 5.8 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 50.7 | 31.7 11 |
22.2 7 |
10.4 3 |
9.5 3 |
9.5 3 |
8.4 2 |
3.2 0 |
[a] | 9.5 |
Los Realejos[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SyM Consulting[7][8] | 17–20 Sep 2021 | 582 | 69.4 | 44.4 11/12 |
32.2 8 |
7.9 1/2 |
3.5 0 |
2.5 0 |
0.5 0 |
5.0 0 |
12.2 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 71.7 | 64.0 15 |
20.3 5 |
5.7 1 |
4.6 0 |
2.3 0 |
1.8 0 |
– | 43.7 |
Puerto de la Cruz[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
ACP |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SyM Consulting[9] | 21–23 Sep 2021 | 517 | 64.0 | 33.6 7/8 |
35.3 8 |
12.0 2/3 |
15.1 3 |
0.5 0 |
1.7 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 61.1 | 37.4 8 |
33.4 8 |
13.4 3 |
9.1 2 |
3.7 2 |
4.0 |
San Cristóbal de La Laguna[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
Avante |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Atlántico Hoy[10] | 2 May–15 Jun 2022 | 654 | ? | 28.8 9 |
24.3 7 |
16.1 5 |
6.9 2 |
9.1 2 |
4.6 0 |
7.3 2 |
2.3 0 |
4.5 |
| TSA/Canarias7[4][5] | 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022 | ? | ? | ? 8/9 |
? 11/12 |
? 4/5 |
? 0 |
? 2 |
? 0 |
4.8 0 |
– | ? |
| SyM Consulting[11] | 21–23 Sep 2021 | 639 | 53.9 | 29.8 9 |
20.7 6/7 |
13.7 4 |
6.6 2 |
12.9 3/4 |
3.0 0 |
7.6 2 |
– | 9.2 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.6 | 27.7 9 |
23.9 7 |
17.0 5 |
8.8 2 |
7.8 2 |
7.1 2 |
2.3 0 |
2.3 0 |
3.8 |
Santa Cruz de Tenerife[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Atlántico Hoy[12] | 20 May–22 Oct 2022 | 980 | ? | 30.9 10 |
27.3 8 |
11.8 3 |
12.7 4 |
3.9 0 |
6.4 2 |
1.7 0 |
3.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Atlántico Hoy[13] | 2–19 May 2022 | 695 | ? | 30.0 10 |
26.8 8 |
11.8 3 |
12.3 4 |
4.4 0 |
7.4 2 |
1.7 0 |
3.2 |
| TSA/Canarias7[4][5] | 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022 | ? | ? | ? 10/11 |
? 9/10 |
? 2/3 |
? 3/4 |
? 0 |
5.2 1 |
– | ? |
| SyM Consulting[14] | 21–23 Sep 2021 | 768 | 55.0 | 27.8 8/9 |
25.6 7/8 |
7.1 2 |
23.6 7 |
2.4 0 |
7.9 2 |
– | 2.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[15] | 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 32.4 10 |
21.5 7 |
9.3 3 |
12.2 4 |
– | 9.6 3 |
– | 10.9 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 53.4 | 30.8 10 |
26.4 9 |
10.6 3 |
9.7 3 |
8.4 2 |
3.1 0 |
1.7 0 |
4.4 |
Santiago del Teide[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SyM Consulting[16][17] | 17 Sep–1 Oct 2021 | 591 | 60.8 | 56.8 10 |
28.0 4/5 |
14.2 2/3 |
28.8 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.4 | 63.5 11 |
24.1 4 |
11.6 2 |
39.4 |
Telde[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
CIUCA |
|
+xT |
|
|
GCC |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Atlántico Hoy[18] | 10 May–18 Sep 2022 | 450 | ? | 21.8 7 |
22.5 7 |
11.1 3 |
9.9 3 |
9.2 2 |
7.6 2 |
6.4 2 |
1.1 0 |
3.0 0 |
5.2 1 |
0.7 |
| TSA/Canarias7[4][5] | 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022 | ? | ? | 30.2 10/11 |
18.6 6/7 |
5.0 1/2 |
8.9 2/3 |
? 2 |
9.6 3/4 |
? 1/2 |
– | – | 5.1 1/2 |
11.6 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 54.2 | 24.3 8 |
20.2 6 |
12.2 4 |
10.4 3 |
7.2 2 |
7.1 2 |
6.8 2 |
4.1 0 |
3.3 0 |
2.0 0 |
4.1 |
Island Cabildos[edit]
Fuerteventura[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSA/Canarias7[19] | 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022 | ? | ? | 21.2 5/6 |
31.1 8/9 |
13.8 3/4 |
? 3/4 |
5.1 1 |
2.0 0 |
3.8 0 |
3.4 0 |
9.9 |
| 2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.7 | 25.4 7 |
23.1 7 |
14.2 4 |
10.8 3 |
7.0 2 |
4.8 0 |
4.7 0 |
2.8 0 |
2.3 |
Gran Canaria[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSA/Canarias7[20] | 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022 | ? | 56.0 | 29.2 9/10 |
29.8 9/10 |
17.6 5/6 |
? 1 |
5.2 1 |
2.5 0 |
5.2 1 |
– | ? 1/2 |
0.6 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia[21] | 3–16 Sep 2019 | 800 | ? | 23.9 8 |
28.9 9 |
18.6 6 |
8.6 2 |
7.2 2 |
6.5 2 |
2.5 0 |
0.7 0 |
[a] | 5.0 |
| 2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.2 | 25.7 8 |
24.5 8 |
17.8 6 |
10.7 3 |
7.2 2 |
6.9 2 |
2.5 0 |
0.6 0 |
[a] | 1.2 |
Lanzarote[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
LAVA |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSA/Canarias7[22] | 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022 | ? | ? | 34.2 10 |
20.4 6 |
11.5 4 |
5.8 1 |
3.2 0 |
7.8 2 |
3.6 0 |
4.7 0 |
13.8 |
| 2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 51.9 | 28.3 9 |
27.7 8 |
13.8 4 |
7.6 2 |
4.9 0 |
4.7 0 |
4.6 0 |
2.4 0 |
0.6 |
Tenerife[edit]
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSA/Canarias7[20] | 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022 | ? | ? | 27.1 9/10 |
34.7 12/13 |
13.9 4/5 |
6.7 2 |
2.3 0 |
5.2 1/2 |
5.1 1/2 |
7.6 |
| 2019 Island Cabildo election | 26 May 2019 | — | 58.4 | 31.1 11 |
30.8 11 |
12.6 4 |
9.4 3 |
6.3 2 |
2.2 0 |
1.9 0 |
0.3 |
Notes[edit]
References[edit]
- ^ "El PSOE retendría su mayoría en Arona de celebrarse hoy las elecciones". Atlántico Hoy (in Spanish). 17 August 2022.
- ^ "Coalición Canaria saca 10 puntos al Partido Popular en Arrecife". Atlántico Hoy (in Spanish). 3 October 2022.
- ^ "El PSOE ganaría las elecciones en Las Palmas de Gran Canaria y podría gobernar con Nueva Canarias". Atlántico Hoy (in Spanish). 27 September 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Sondeo de TSA: PSOE y Nueva Canarias suben en la capital grancanaria". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 4 April 2022.
- ^ a b c d "CANARIAS. Encuesta TSA 04/04/2022: Elecciones municipales en Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, San Cristóbal de La Laguna y Telde". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 April 2022.
- ^ "ElectoPanel (Las Palmas 6O): subida de PP y Nueva Canarias, entrada de Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 October 2021.
- ^ "Estimación resultados electorales Octubre 2021. Mayo de 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 4 October 2021.
- ^ "LOS REALEJOS (S. C. de Tenerife). Encuesta SyM Consulting 04/10/2021: IU 2,5%, PODEMOS 3,5%, PSOE 32,2% (8), CCa-PNC 7,9% (1/2), Cs 0,5%, PP 44,4% (11/12), VOX 5,0%". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 October 2021.
- ^ "Estimación resultados electorales. Octubre 2021. Municipio: Puerto de la Cruz 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 22 November 2021.
- ^ "Coalición Canaria repetiría victoria en La Laguna sin la posibilidad de gobernar". Atlántico Hoy (in Spanish). 21 June 2022.
- ^ "Estimación resultados electorales. Octubre 2021. Municipio: La Laguna 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 22 November 2021.
- ^ "La suma de CC y PP le valdría a Bermúdez para seguir siendo alcalde de Santa Cruz". Atlántico Hoy (in Spanish). 31 October 2022.
- ^ "Coalición Canaria ganaría en Santa Cruz, pero estará obligada a pactar con el PP para gobernar". Atlántico Hoy (in Spanish). 3 June 2022.
- ^ "Estimación resultados electorales. Octubre 2021. Municipio: Santa Cruz de Tenerife 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 November 2021.
- ^ "Especial EP Municipal (15J'20): así ha cambiado el panorama en 14 ciudades españolas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 June 2020.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Septiembre 2021. Municipio: Santiago del Teide. Locales 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 11 October 2021.
- ^ "SANTIAGO DEL TEIDE (S. C. de Tenerife). Encuesta SyM Consulting 11/10/2021: PSOE 14,2% (2/3), CCa-PNC 28,0% (4/5), PP 56,8% (10)". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 October 2021.
- ^ "Empate técnico entre PSOE y Nueva Canarias en Telde". Atlántico Hoy (in Spanish). 4 October 2022.
- ^ "La izquierda podría recuperar el Cabildo de Fuerteventura". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 5 April 2022.
- ^ a b "La alianza progresista se consolida en el Cabildo grancanario, CC baja y entra Vox". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 5 April 2022.
- ^ "PSOE y PP sumarían mayoría en el Cabildo ante la caída nacionalista". La Provincia (in Spanish). 23 September 2019.
- ^ "La bajada de CC en Lanzarote le impide cualquier maniobra". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 5 April 2022.
