Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections (Basque Country)
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In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and the three foral deputations (Juntas Generales) in the Basque Country are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
Bilbao
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV | 
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikerfel/GPS[1] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | ? | 59.0 | 44.3 15 |
15.2 5 |
16.4 5 |
8.5 2 |
8.7 2 |
– | 2.0 0 |
– | 27.9 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[2] | 6–10 Jun 2022 | 443 | 58.5 | 44.7 14 |
15.9 5 |
15.4 5 |
8.8 2 |
9.0 3 |
– | 2.7 0 |
– | 28.8 |
| EM-Analytics/Crónica Vasca[3] | 2–19 May 2022 | 757 | ? | 40.8 13 |
15.7 5 |
15.2 5 |
10.7 3 |
[a] | [a] | 1.9 0 |
12.3 3 |
25.1 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[4] | 5–12 May 2022 | 400 | ? | 46.7 15 |
15.0 5 |
14.9 4 |
9.5 3 |
8.0 2 |
0.5 0 |
3.0 0 |
– | 31.7 |
| Gizaker/City Council of Bilbao[5][6] | 19–26 May 2021 | 1,000 | 61.0 | 43.0 14 |
15.7 5 |
17.1 5 |
8.8 2 |
9.5 3 |
– | 2.7 0 |
– | 25.9 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 61.8 | 42.7 14 |
15.9 5 |
14.9 4 |
10.5 3 |
9.2 3 |
2.2 0 |
1.1 0 |
– | 26.8 |
Donostia-San Sebastián
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikerfel/GPS[1] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | ? | 59.5 | 33.8 10 |
21.7 6 |
21.5 6 |
9.4 3 |
7.9 2 |
– | 2.2 0 |
12.1 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[2] | 6–10 Jun 2022 | 400 | 59.0 | 37.1 11 |
22.7 7 |
17.2 5 |
9.2 2 |
7.9 2 |
– | 2.1 0 |
14.4 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[7] | 5–12 May 2022 | 400 | ? | 37.3 11 |
24.7 7 |
16.5 5 |
8.6 2 |
8.0 2 |
1.0 0 |
1.8 0 |
12.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[8] | 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 30.4 9 |
24.9 7 |
20.1 6 |
12.1 3 |
7.5 2 |
– | – | 5.5 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 65.3 | 35.5 10 |
21.2 6 |
17.5 5 |
10.8 3 |
9.9 3 |
1.6 0 |
1.3 0 |
14.3 |
Vitoria-Gasteiz
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikerfel/GPS[1] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | ? | 60.0 | 24.2 7 |
21.5 7 |
21.3 6 |
18.2 5 |
7.1 2 |
– | 3.4 0 |
2.7 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[2] | 6–10 Jun 2022 | 601 | 59.5 | 24.3 7 |
20.4 6 |
22.0 7 |
18.0 5 |
7.3 2 |
– | 4.6 0 |
2.3 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[9] | 5–12 May 2022 | 400 | ? | 24.5 7 |
21.0 6 |
22.6 7 |
17.7 5 |
8.0 2 |
1.3 0 |
3.9 0 |
1.9 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[10] | 13 May-8 Oct 2021 | 361 | ? | 24.9 7 |
22.0 6 |
22.1 7 |
16.4 5 |
7.7 2 |
1.1 0 |
3.6 0 |
2.8 |
| Gizaker/City Council of Vitoria[11] | 7-11 Jun 2021 | 1,150 | ? | ? 8 |
? 6 |
? 7 |
? 4 |
? 2 |
– | – | ? |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 63.3 | 23.6 7 |
21.4 6 |
20.1 6 |
18.5 5 |
9.9 3 |
2.5 0 |
1.4 0 |
3.1 |
Juntas Generales
Álava
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikerfel/GPS[1] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 800 | 59.5 | 30.5 | 23.2 | 18.8 | 14.0 | 6.7 | – | 3.0 | – | 7.3 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[2] | 6–10 Jun 2022 | 800 | 58.5 | 31.6 | 23.3 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 6.8 | – | 3.4 | – | 8.3 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[12] | 5–12 May 2022 | 550 | ? | 32.0 | 23.0 | 18.1 | 14.2 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 2.8 | – | 9.0 |
| 2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 49.0 | 31.9 | 24.6 | 15.5 | 8.0 | [a] | [a] | 3.8 | 11.4 | 7.3 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 66.6 | 23.6 | 16.1 | 21.9 | 14.9 | 16.5 | 1.5 | 3.8 | – | 2.7 |
| 2019 foral election | 26 May 2019 | — | 65.3 | 29.4 17 |
21.0 12 |
18.9 10 |
15.0 8 |
9.9 4 |
2.3 0 |
1.4 0 |
– | 8.4 |
Biscay
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikerfel/GPS[1] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,449 | 60.5 | 44.4 | 22.4 | 14.4 | 8.2 | 7.1 | – | 1.2 | – | 22.0 |
| Gizaker/Biscay Deputation[13] | 8–22 Jun 2022 | 3,000 | 64.7 | 44.5 25/26 |
21.5 12 |
15.3 8 |
8.9 3/4 |
6.5 2 |
1.0 0 |
1.5 0 |
– | 23.0 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[2] | 6–10 Jun 2022 | 1,449 | 59.5 | 44.6 | 22.3 | 14.7 | 7.8 | 7.3 | – | 1.7 | – | 22.3 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[14] | 5–12 May 2022 | 600 | ? | 45.7 | 22.2 | 15.1 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | – | 23.5 |
| Ikerfel/Biscay Deputation[15][16] | 8–29 Dec 2021 | 2,503 | 55.4 | 44.6 25/26 |
21.9 12/13 |
14.8 8 |
8.3 4 |
6.6 1 |
0.8 0 |
1.9 0 |
– | 22.7 |
| Gizaker/Biscay Deputation[17] | 16–30 Jun 2021 | 3,000 | 60.7 | 45.5 26 |
21.0 11 |
15.0 8 |
9.1 4 |
6.4 2 |
1.1 0 |
1.0 0 |
– | 24.5 |
| 2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 50.4 | 42.2 | 23.7 | 13.5 | 8.5 | [a] | [a] | 1.9 | 6.8 | 18.5 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 66.8 | 35.2 | 15.0 | 19.1 | 15.4 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 2.4 | – | 16.1 |
| 2019 foral election | 26 May 2019 | — | 65.7 | 43.1 25 |
19.7 10 |
16.5 8 |
10.5 6 |
6.6 2 |
1.2 0 |
0.9 0 |
– | 23.4 |
Gipuzkoa
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikerfel/GPS[1] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,084 | 59.5 | 36.3 | 33.0 | 16.6 | 7.0 | 4.4 | – | 1.0 | – | 3.3 |
| Ikerfel/GPS[2] | 6–10 Jun 2022 | 1,084 | 60.0 | 36.4 | 33.5 | 15.9 | 7.0 | 4.7 | – | 1.1 | – | 2.9 |
| Gizaker/Gipuzkoa Deputation[18][19] | 16–24 May 2022 | 1,200 | 64.1 | 37.0 21 |
33.2 19 |
15.5 7 |
8.3 3 |
4.0 1 |
– | 1.0 0 |
– | 3.8 |
| Gizaker/EiTB[20] | 5–12 May 2022 | 600 | ? | 36.3 | 33.8 | 16.7 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – | 2.5 |
| Gizaker/Gipuzkoa Deputation[21] | 19–24 Nov 2021 | 1,200 | 63.9 | 36.9 21 |
34.5 19 |
15.2 8 |
8.0 2 |
4.8 1 |
– | 1.0 0 |
– | 2.4 |
| Gizaker/Gipuzkoa Deputation[22] | 26–29 Apr 2021 | 1,200 | 63.2 | 37.5 21 |
33.2 19 |
16.3 8 |
7.7 2 |
4.1 1 |
– | 0.9 0 |
– | 4.3 |
| Gizaker/Gipuzkoa Deputation[23][24] | 24 Nov–1 Dec 2020 | 1,200 | ? | 36.9 21 |
33.5 19 |
15.0 7 |
8.6 3 |
3.8 1 |
0.8 0 |
– | – | 3.4 |
| 2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 52.2 | 36.1 | 34.9 | 12.8 | 7.1 | [a] | [a] | 1.3 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Gizaker/Gipuzkoa Deputation[25][26] | 11–20 May 2020 | 850 | 63.0 | 34.2 | 31.4 | 18.5 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 0.5 | – | – | 2.8 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 65.8 | 30.5 | 25.8 | 18.1 | 15.0 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | – | 4.7 |
| 2019 foral election | 26 May 2019 | — | 66.7 | 35.6 20 |
31.6 17 |
17.1 9 |
8.9 4 |
4.7 1 |
1.0 0 |
– | – | 4.0 |
Notes
References
- ^ a b c d e f "Elecciones a Juntas Generales y Elecciones Municipales en capitales: Previsión de voto (Octubre 2022)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 14 October 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f "Elecciones a Juntas Generales y Elecciones Municipales en capitales: Previsión de voto (Junio 2022)" (PDF). Eusko Jaurlaritza (in Spanish). 17 June 2022.
- ^ "Bildu le arrebataría un concejal al PNV en el Ayuntamiento de Bilbao si hoy se celebrasen elecciones". Crónica Vasca (in Spanish). 30 May 2022.
- ^ "El PNV conseguiría la mayoría absoluta en Bilbao". EiTB (in Spanish). 30 May 2022.
- ^ "La ciudadanía de Bilbao valora de forma positiva la gestión del Ayuntamiento y sus proyectos y se muestra satisfecha de la villa como lugar para vivir". bilbao.eus (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.
- ^ "BILBAO. Encuesta Gizaker 10/06/2021: EH BILDU 17,1% (5), EAJ-PNV 43,0% (14), PODEMOS-IU 8,8% (2), PSE-EE 15,7% (5), PP 9,5% (3), VOX 2,7%". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 June 2021.
- ^ "El PNV lograría ser la primera fuerza en San Sebastián, con un representante más que en 2019". EiTB (in Spanish). 30 May 2022.
- ^ "Especial EP Municipal (15J'20): así ha cambiado el panorama en 14 ciudades españolas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 June 2020.
- ^ "El PNV ganaría en Vitoria-Gasteiz, empatado con EH Bildu en concejales". EiTB (in Spanish). 30 May 2022.
- ^ "EP Vitoria-Gasteiz (14O): triple empate técnico PNV, EH Bildu, PSE con ventaja para los jeltzales". Electomanía (in Spanish). 14 October 2021.
- ^ "El sociómetro de Vitoria-Gasteiz 2021 refleja el alto nivel de satisfacción de la ciudadanía con el municipio y apunta a la recuperación del optimismo tras la pandemia de la COVID19". City Council of Vitoria (in Spanish). 30 July 2021.
- ^ "El PNV obtendría una holgada victoria en Álava, con el 32 % de los votos" (PDF). EiTB (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
- ^ "Estudio de opinión pública de Bizkaia. Julio 2022" (PDF). Gizaker (in Spanish). 19 July 2022.
- ^ "El PNV rozaría la mayoría absoluta en Bizkaia, con el 45,7 % de los votos". EiTB (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
- ^ "Estudio de opinión pública de Bizkaia. Enero 2022" (PDF). Ikerfel (in Spanish). 4 February 2022.
- ^ "BIZKAIA (JJ. GG.). Encuesta Ikerfel 04/02/2022: EH BILDU 21,9% (12/13), EAJ-PNV 44,6% (25/26), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU 8,3% (4), PSE-EE 14,8% (8), Cs 0,8%, PP 6,6% (1), VOX 1,9%". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 February 2022.
- ^ "Estudio de opinión pública de Bizkaia. Julio 2021" (PDF). Gizaker (in Spanish). 2 August 2021.
- ^ "La ciudadanía de Gipuzkoa da por superada la pandemia y su estado anímico evoluciona a mejor". Gipuzkoa Deputation (in Spanish). 2 June 2022.
- ^ "Sociómetro Gipuzkoa Mayo 2022" (PDF). Gipuzkoa Foral Deputation (in Spanish).
- ^ "Posible pugna en Gipuzkoa entre el PNV y EH Bildu, con un margen del 2,5 % de los votos". EiTB (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
- ^ "La portavoz Mendoza destaca que "Gipuzkoa cuenta con un sistema de cuidados del que sentir orgullo, y la ciudadanía es consciente de ello"". Gipuzkoa Deputation (in Spanish). 9 December 2021.
- ^ "Sociómetro Gipuzkoa Abril 2021". Gipuzkoa Foral Deputation (in Spanish).
- ^ "Sociómetro político Gipuzkoa - diciembre 2020". Diputación de Gipuzkoa (in Spanish). 22 Dec 2020. Retrieved 18 May 2021.
- ^ "El PNV mantiene la hegemonía en Gipuzkoa, pero se estrecha su ventaja con EH Bildu". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 22 Dec 2020.
- ^ "Análisis de la Percepción Ciudadana durante el Inicio de la Desescalada del Confinamiento" (PDF). Diputación de Gipuzkoa (in Spanish). 27 May 2020. Retrieved 18 May 2021.
- ^ "El PNV gana en Gipuzkoa con casi tres puntos de ventaja sobre EH Bildu". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 27 May 2020.
