Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections (Andalusia)
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In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Andalusia are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
Cádiz
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SocialData/Grupo Viva[1][2] | 20–31 Dec 2021 | 601 | ? | 36.6 11 |
28.3 8 |
20.1 6 |
2.4 0 |
7.0 2 |
– | 8.3 |
| GAD3/La Voz de Cádiz[3] | 3–10 Dec 2021 | 602 | ? | 27.2 8 |
33.4 10 |
19.1 5/6 |
7.2 1/2 |
7.7 2 |
2.8 0 |
6.2 |
| Adelante Cádiz[4] | 20 Jun 2021 | 543 | ? | 38.8 12 |
27.6 9 |
14.5 4 |
5.6 1 |
5.8 1 |
– | 11.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[5] | 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 39.6 12 |
29.2 9 |
18.9 5 |
4.4 0 |
5.4 1 |
– | 10.4 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 62.6 | 43.6 13 |
22.0 6 |
17.2 5 |
11.0 3 |
3.8 0 |
– | 21.6 |
Chiclana de la Frontera
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
IULV | GCH |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAD3[6] | 22 May 2022 | 545 | ? | 39.8 12 |
27.5 8 |
? 0/1 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? 3 |
12.3 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 46.6 | 33.2 9 |
21.7 6 |
13.6 3 |
8.4 2 |
7.6 2 |
6.8 2 |
6.6 1 |
11.5 |
Córdoba
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
IULV |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP[7] | 5–15 Sep 2022 | 405 | ? | 42.9 14 |
20.0 6 |
5.3 1 |
[a] | 12.2 3 |
[a] | 16.1 5 |
22.9 |
| Universidad de Córdoba[8] | 16–31 May 2022 | 400 | ? | 39.0 13 |
24.6 8 |
5.8 1 |
13.4 4 |
9.6 3 |
3.2 0 |
– | 14.4 |
| Universidad de Córdoba[9] | 15 Oct–15 Nov 2020 | 400 | 58.0 | 33.1 10 |
25.8 8 |
12.4 3 |
10.4 3 |
9.6 3 |
6.3 2 |
– | 7.3 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.4 | 29.8 9 |
26.9 8 |
15.2 5 |
10.7 3 |
8.0 2 |
6.1 2 |
– | 2.9 |
El Ejido
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
IULV |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[10] | 13 May–22 Oct 2021 | 351 | ? | 39.1 11 |
30.1 8 |
20.7 6 |
3.9 0 |
– | 2.2 0 |
9.0 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.7 | 32.6 9 |
24.8 7 |
18.9 5 |
13.9 4 |
4.6 0 |
1.9 0 |
7.8 |
El Puerto de Santa María
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
UP | L | 
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SocialData/Grupo Viva[11] | 4–11 Nov 2021 | 800 | ? | 40.8 12 |
17.6 5 |
9.8 2 |
5.0 1 |
13.4 3 |
8.3 2 |
1.3 0 |
1.2 0 |
23.2 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 53.6 | 29.4 9 |
27.1 8 |
11.1 3 |
9.4 2 |
7.5 2 |
6.0 1 |
4.8 0 |
3.8 0 |
2.3 |
Fuente de Piedra
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deimos Estadística[12][13] | 15 May 2021 | 265 | ? | 50.5 6 |
25.3 3 |
18.0 2 |
6.0 0 |
25.2 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 79.3 | 51.8 6 |
38.9 4 |
8.4 1 |
– | 12.9 |
Granada
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[5] | 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 25.5 8 |
26.1 9 |
3.9 0 |
17.1 5 |
17.4 5 |
0.6 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 60.9 | 32.5 10 |
23.8 7 |
14.8 4 |
10.0 3 |
9.5 3 |
8.7 |
Jaén
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[14] | 13 May–18 Sep 2021 | 364 | ? | 38.0 12 |
36.6 12 |
3.8 0 |
– | 9.4 3 |
4.0 0 |
3.2 0 |
1.4 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 59.9 | 37.0 11 |
27.0 8 |
15.4 4 |
6.3 2 |
6.3 2 |
– | – | 10.0 |
Jerez de la Frontera
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
GJ |
|
|
IULV |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[15] | 13 May–18 Sep 2021 | 352 | ? | 31.1 10 |
37.7 12 |
3.2 0 |
– | 1.1 0 |
8.2 2 |
[a] | [a] | 5.3 1 |
8.3 2 |
6.6 |
| GAD3/PP[16][17] | 17–23 Jun 2021 | 601 | ? | 26.8 9 |
41.3 13 |
4.2 0 |
– | 5.1 1 |
9.0 3 |
5.5 1 |
3.3 0 |
– | – | 14.5 |
| PoliticAnd[18][19] | 30 Nov–10 Dec 2020 | 500 | 53.4 | 38.1 11/12 |
27.9 8/9 |
8.3 2 |
10.6 3 |
3.4 0 |
7.6 2 |
[b] | [b] | – | – | 10.2 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 52.2 | 32.1 10 |
28.3 9 |
13.7 4 |
11.2 3 |
5.3 1 |
4.8 0 |
[b] | [b] | – | – | 3.8 |
Málaga
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dialoga Consultores/El Español[20] | 26 Sep–13 Oct 2021 | 1,200 | ? | ? 14/15 |
? 9/10 |
? 2/3 |
? 0 |
? 3/4 |
– | – | ? |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[21] | 11 Mar 2021 | 1,500 | ? | 34.1 12 |
35.0 12 |
– | 4.7 0 |
14.9 5 |
5.6 2 |
3.9 0 |
0.9 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.5 | 39.7 14 |
32.5 12 |
10.6 3 |
7.8 2 |
4.4 0 |
– | – | 7.2 |
Puente Genil
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
IULV |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva[22][23] | 28 Sep–7 Oct 2020 | 500 | ? | 47.2 10/11 |
23.8 5/6 |
13.1 3/4 |
6.5 1/2 |
5.4 0/1 |
3.2 0 |
23.4 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 59.2 | 44.1 10 |
22.2 5 |
20.7 5 |
8.0 1 |
2.7 0 |
1.3 0 |
21.9 |
San Roque
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
SR100 |
|
|
PIVG |
|
|
IULV | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Demoscopia/PSOE[24] | 4–14 Jun 2021 | 701 | ? | 46.9 12 |
18.3 4 |
11.4 2 |
– | 1.1 0 |
5.1 1 |
6.9 1 |
5.3 1 |
3.8 0 |
28.6 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 57.7 | 44.8 11 |
20.7 5 |
8.4 2 |
7.2 1 |
7.2 1 |
6.4 1 |
4.3 0 |
[b] | [b] | 24.1 |
Seville
Vélez-Málaga
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
GI PMTM |
|
|
|
IULV |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social Data/AxSí[25] | 27 Jan 2022 | ? | ? | ? 9 |
? 5 |
? 6 |
? 4 |
– | – | – | ? 1 |
? |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 55.5 | 28.9 9 |
20.5 7 |
20.3 7 |
6.6 2 |
4.8 0 |
4.0 0 |
3.9 0 |
3.7 0 |
8.4 |
Notes
References
- ^ "Kichi ganaría las elecciones en Cádiz pero necesitaría al PSOE para gobernar". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 19 January 2022.
- ^ "CÁDIZ. Encuesta SocialData 19/01/2022: ADELANTE 36,6% (11), IU 3,4%, PSOE 20,1% (6), Cs 2,4%, PP 28,3% (8), VOX 7,0% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 19 January 2022.
- ^ "El respaldo de los gaditanos a la gestión de Kichi empieza a dar síntomas de debilidad". La Voz de Cádiz (in Spanish). 17 January 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta electoral en Cádiz: Kichi mantendría el liderazgo perdiendo un solo concejal". Diario de Cádiz (in Spanish). 20 June 2021.
- ^ a b "Especial EP Municipal (15J'20): así ha cambiado el panorama en 14 ciudades españolas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 June 2020.
- ^ "José María Román amplía su ventaja y roza la mayoría absoluta en Chiclana". Diario de Cádiz (in Spanish). 1 December 2020.
- ^ "CÓRDOBA. Encuesta interna PP 25/09/2022: PODEMOS-IU 16,1% (5), PSOE 20,0% (6), Cs 5,3% (1), PP 42,9% (14), VOX 12,2% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 September 2022.
- ^ "Un sondeo de la UCO estima que el PP ganará el 19J en Córdoba capital con un 10,49% más de apoyos que en 2018". Europa Press (in Spanish). 7 June 2022.
- ^ "CÓRDOBA. Encuesta UCO 01/12/2020: IU 10,4% (3), PODEMOS 6,3% (2), PSOE 25,8% (8), Cs 12,4% (3), PP 33,1% (10), VOX 9,6% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 December 2020.
- ^ "EP El Ejido (26O): arrasa la derecha con subida de PP y Vox, que suman casi el 70%". Electomanía (in Spanish). 26 October 2021.
- ^ "El PP acaricia la mayoría absoluta y el PSOE se desploma en El Puerto". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 2 December 2021.
- ^ "El PSOE repetiría mayoría absoluta en Fuente de Piedra si se celebrasen hoy elecciones". SER Andalucía Centro (in Spanish). 26 May 2021.
- ^ "FUENTE DE PIEDRA (Málaga). Encuesta Deimos Estadística 26/05/2021: ADELANTE-IU 25,3% (3), PSOE 50,5% (6), PP 18,0% (2), VOX 6,0%". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 May 2021.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Jaén (20S): absoluta para PP y Vox, con Cs sin representación". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 September 2021.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Jerez (21S): vuelco a la derecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 21 September 2021.
- ^ "Una encuesta de GAD3 para el PP le pronostica una holgada victoria en Jerez". Diario de Jerez (in Spanish). 4 July 2021.
- ^ "JEREZ DE LA FRONTERA (Cádiz). Encuesta GAD3 04/07/2021: IULV-CA 3,3%, PODEMOS 5,5% (1), GANEMOS 5,1% (1), PSOE 26,8% (9), Cs 4,2%, PP 41,3% (13), VOX 9,0% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 July 2021.
- ^ "El PSOE afianzaría su victoria en Jerez en unas elecciones municipales". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 20 December 2020.
- ^ "JEREZ DE LA FRONTERA. Encuesta PoliticAnd 21/12/2020: ADELANTE 10,6% (3), GANEMOS 3,4%, PSOE 38,1% (11/12), Cs 8,3% (2), PP 27,9% (8/9), VOX 7,6% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 December 2020.
- ^ "El PP rozaría la mayoría absoluta en Málaga en las próximas municipales". El Español (in Spanish). 29 October 2021.
- ^ "AndPanel Málaga (11M): Cs se queda fuera, Vox irrumpe con 5 escaños y deja al PP en sus manos para seguir gobernando". Electomanía (in Spanish). 11 March 2021.
- ^ "El PSOE reeditaría triunfo en las próximas elecciones municipales". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 31 October 2020.
- ^ "PUENTE GENIL. Encuesta SW Demoscopia 31/10/2020: IU 13,1% (3/4), PODEMOS 3,2%, PSOE 47,2% (10/11), Cs 6,5% (1/2), PP 23,8% (5/6), VOX 5,4% (0/1)". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 November 2020.
- ^ "Una encuesta del PSOE otorga mayoría absoluta con 12 concejales a Ruiz Boix en San Roque". EuropaSur (in Spanish). 23 October 2021.
- ^ "El PSOE se desinfla en Vélez-Málaga y perdería dos concejales". Ronda Semanal (in Spanish). 27 January 2022.
