2022 United States Senate elections in California
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The 2022 United States Senate elections in California will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California. There are two ballot items for the same Class 3 seat: a special election to fill the seat for the final weeks of the 117th United States Congress (ending on January 3, 2023), and a general election to fill it for the 118th Congress (beginning the same day).
Incumbent Democratic Senator Alex Padilla was appointed in 2021 by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy created by Kamala Harris's election to the vice presidency, and he is seeking a full term.[1][2] A jungle primary for each of the terms took place on June 7.[3] The top two candidates in each primary election, regardless of party, advanced to the special and regular general elections in November. With his advancement out of the primary, Mark Meuser became the first Republican since 2012 to advance to the general election, as both 2016 and 2018 featured solely Democrats. Interestingly, this race will be a rematch between the two, having previously also fought for the Secretary of State in 2018.
Candidates
Democratic Party
Advanced to general
- Alex Padilla, incumbent U.S. Senator (2021–present) and former Secretary of State of California (2015–2021)[4]
Eliminated in primary
- Akinyemi Agbede, mathematician[5]
- Dan O'Dowd, founder and president of Green Hills Software and candidate for U.S. Senate in 1994[6]
- Douglas Howard Pierce, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[5]
- Obaidul Huq Pirjada, attorney[5]
- Timothy J. Ursich, doctor[5]
Declined
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present) (endorsed Padilla)[7][8]
Republican Party
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- James P. Bradley, businessman, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018, and candidate for California's 33rd congressional district in 2020[5]
- Jon Elist, small business owner[5]
- Myron L. Hall, physician[5]
- Sarah Sun Liew, entrepreneur[5]
- Robert George Lucero Jr., consultant[5]
- Enrique Petris, businessman[5]
- Chuck Smith, retired law enforcement officer[5]
- Carlos Guillermo Tapia, businessman[5]
- Cordie Williams, marine veteran and doctor[5]
- Lijun Zhou, businesswoman (write-in, general election only)[9]
Withdrawn
- Elizabeth Heng, candidate for California's 16th congressional district in 2018 and former U.S. House staffer (ran in the CA-22 special election)[10][11][12]
- Yvonne R. Girard, retired government employee (died)[13]
Green Party
Eliminated in primary
- James "Henk" Conn, educator and candidate for mayor of Long Beach in 2018[5]
- Pamela Elizondo, entrepreneur[5]
Peace and Freedom Party
Eliminated in primary
- John Parker, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and Workers World nominee for President of the United States in 2004 (running as write-in for special election)[14]
No party preference
Eliminated in primary
- Daphne Bradford, entrepreneur and candidate for president in 2020[5]
- Eleanor Garcia, industrial worker (Socialist Workers Party)[5]
- Don J. Grundmann, chiropractor (Constitution Party)[5]
- Deon D. Jenkins[5]
- Irene Ratliff (write-in, both general and special elections)[9]
- Marc Alexander Roth (write-in, general election only)[9]
- Mark A. Ruzon (write-in, general election only), software engineer (American Solidarity Party)[9]
Endorsements
James P. Bradley (R)
- Individuals
- Andrew Wakefield, former physician and anti-vaccine activist[15]
Mark Meuser (R)
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- California Republican Party[18]
- California Pro–Life Council[19]
- Rebuild California[20]
Alex Padilla (D)
- U.S. Senators
- Chuck Schumer, U.S. Senator from New York and Senate Majority Leader[21]
- Dianne Feinstein, U.S. Senator from California[22]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[22]
- Statewide officials
- Gavin Newsom, Governor of California[22]
- Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California[22]
- Shirley Weber, Secretary of State of California[23]
- Rob Bonta, Attorney General of California[23]
- Betty Yee, State Controller of California[22]
- Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer[22]
- Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner[22]
- Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction[22]
- U.S. Representatives
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. Representative for CA-12 and Speaker of the House[21]
- Pete Aguilar, U.S. Representative for CA-31[21]
- Nanette Barragán, U.S. Representative for CA-44[21]
- Karen Bass, U.S. Representative for CA-37[21]
- Ami Bera, U.S. Representative for CA-07[21]
- Julia Brownley, U.S. Representative for CA-26[21]
- Salud Carbajal, U.S. Representative for CA-24[21]
- Tony Cárdenas, U.S. Representative for CA-27[21]
- Judy Chu, U.S. Representative for CA-29[21]
- Jim Costa, U.S. Representative for CA-16[21]
- Lou Correa, U.S. Representative for CA-46[21]
- Mark DeSaulnier, U.S. Representative for CA-11[21]
- Anna Eshoo, U.S. Representative for CA-18[21]
- John Garamendi, U.S. Representative for CA-03[21]
- Jimmy Gomez, U.S. Representative for CA-34[21]
- Josh Harder, U.S. Representative for CA-10[21]
- Jared Huffman, U.S. Representative for CA-02[21]
- Sara Jacobs, U.S. Representative for CA-53[21]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for CA-17[8]
- Barbara Lee, U.S. Representative for CA-13[21]
- Mike Levin, U.S. Representative for CA-49[21]
- Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative for CA-33[21]
- Zoe Lofgren, U.S. Representative for CA-19[21]
- Alan Lowenthal, U.S. Representative for CA-47[21]
- Doris Matsui, U.S. Representative for CA-06[21]
- Jerry McNerney, U.S. Representative for CA-09[21]
- Grace Napolitano, U.S. Representative for CA-32[21]
- Jimmy Panetta, U.S. Representative for CA-20[21]
- Scott Peters, U.S. Representative for CA-52[21]
- Katie Porter, U.S. Representative for CA-45[21]
- Raul Ruiz, U.S. Representative for CA-36[21]
- Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative for CA-28[21]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative for CA-14[21]
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. Representative for CA-15[21]
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, U.S. Representative for CA-40[21]
- Linda Sánchez, U.S. Representative for CA-38[21]
- Brad Sherman, U.S. Representative for CA-30[21]
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative for CA-41[21]
- Mike Thompson, U.S. Representative for CA-05[21]
- Norma Torres, U.S. Representative for CA-35[21]
- Juan Vargas, U.S. Representative for CA-51[21]
- Maxine Waters, U.S. Representative for CA-43[23]
- Organizations
- California Teachers Association[24]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[25]
- Equality California[26]
- NARAL Pro-Choice California[27]
- National Education Association[28]
- Stonewall Democrats[29]
- Newspapers
John Parker (P&F)
- Organizations
Primary elections
Campaign
Incumbent Senator Alex Padilla was appointed to the job in January 2021 following Kamala Harris's election to the office of Vice President of the United States.[37] Following his appointment, Padilla quickly began to focus on his 2022 re-election campaign, as the fact that he has not been elected to the position means that he has a relatively low profile.[7] Padilla's re-election strategy focuses on advocating for progressive policies and building ties with left-wing organizations that have a poor relationship with California's other Senator, Dianne Feinstein.[7][38] The potential Democratic opponent to Padilla considered most likely to join the race was U.S. Representative Ro Khanna, a staunchly left-wing Democrat who rose to prominence as the co-chair of the Bernie Sanders 2020 presidential campaign, and who had a loyal base of support from California's Asian-American and Pacific Islander communities.[7][8] On August 9, 2021, Khanna announced that he would be endorsing Padilla for re-election, which was viewed as likely ending any possibility that Padilla would face a serious Democratic opponent.[39] It was noted by the San Francisco Chronicle that it was considered unlikely that Padilla would face any serious Republican opponent, as California's heavily Democratic lean has caused potentially strong candidates, such as U.S. Representatives Mike Garcia and Young Kim, to prefer to remain in their positions rather than launch a long-shot Senate run.[40]
In April 2022, billionaire businessman Dan O'Dowd entered the race, launching an $650,000 dollar ad campaign.[6] O'Dowd's goal with this ad buy, and with entering the race in the first place, was to "make computers safe for humanity"[41][42] and draw the attention of the public and politicians to the dangers of Tesla's unfinished Full Self-Driving software being rolled out to 100,000 cars on public roads.[43]
Special election blanket primary
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | May 24–31, 2022 | 3,438 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 44% | 2% | 21% |
| SurveyUSA | May 13–15, 2022 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 40% | 2% | 22% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 3,740,582 | 55.0 | |
| Republican | Mark P. Meuser | 1,503,480 | 22.1 | |
| Republican | James P. Bradley | 472,052 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | Jon Elist | 403,722 | 5.9 | |
| Democratic | Timothy J. Ursich | 226,447 | 3.3 | |
| Democratic | Dan O'Dowd | 191,531 | 2.8 | |
| Republican | Myron L. Hall | 143,038 | 2.1 | |
| No party preference | Daphne Bradford | 112,191 | 1.6 | |
| Peace and Freedom | John Parker (write-in) | 9,951 | 0.1 | |
| No party preference | Irene Ratliff (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 6,803,006 | 100.0 | ||
Regular election blanket primary
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | May 24–31, 2022 | 3,438 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11% | 1% | 42% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 22% |
| SurveyUSA | May 13–15, 2022 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 24% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 3,725,544 | 54.1 | |
| Republican | Mark P. Meuser | 1,028,374 | 14.9 | |
| Republican | Cordie Williams | 474,321 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | Jon Elist | 289,716 | 4.2 | |
| Republican | Chuck Smith | 266,766 | 3.9 | |
| Republican | James P. Bradley | 235,788 | 3.4 | |
| Democratic | Douglas Howard Pierce | 116,771 | 1.7 | |
| Peace and Freedom | John Parker | 105,477 | 1.5 | |
| Republican | Sarah Sun Liew | 76,994 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic | Dan O'Dowd | 74,916 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 70,971 | 1.0 | |
| Republican | Myron L. Hall | 66,161 | 1.0 | |
| Democratic | Timothy J. Ursich | 58,348 | 0.8 | |
| Republican | Robert George Lucero Jr. | 53,398 | 0.8 | |
| Green | James "Henk" Conn | 35,983 | 0.5 | |
| No party preference | Eleanor Garcia[b] | 34,625 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | Carlos Guillermo Tapia | 33,870 | 0.5 | |
| Green | Pamela Elizondo | 31,981 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | Enrique Petris | 31,883 | 0.5 | |
| Democratic | Obaidul Huq Pirjada | 27,889 | 0.4 | |
| No party preference | Daphne Bradford | 26,900 | 0.4 | |
| No party preference | Don J. Grundmann[c] | 10,181 | 0.1 | |
| No party preference | Deon D. Jenkins | 6,936 | 0.1 | |
| No party preference | Mark A. Ruzon (write-in) | 206 | 0.0 | |
| Republican | Lijun Zhou (write-in) | 58 | 0.0 | |
| No party preference | Irene Ratliff (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
| No party preference | Marc Alexander Roth (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 6,884,065 | 100.0 | ||
General elections
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[47] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[48] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe D | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[50] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[51] | Safe D | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News[52] | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[53] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[54] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[55] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
- Special election
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Mark Meuser (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
- Regular election
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Mark Meuser (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | July 22 – October 20, 2022 | 208 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 65% | 35% | – |
| SurveyUSA | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | 11% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | N/A | |||
| Republican | Mark Meuser | N/A | |||
| Total votes | N/A | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | N/A | |||
| Republican | Mark Meuser | N/A | |||
| Total votes | N/A | ||||
See also
- 2022 California elections
- 117th United States Congress
- List of special elections to the United States Senate
Notes
- ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Garcia is listed on the ballot as a "no party preference" candidate because the Socialist Workers Party did not have ballot access in California at the time the ballot was printed.[45]
- ^ Grundmann is listed on the ballot as a "no party preference" candidate because the Constitution Party did not have ballot access in California at the time the ballot was printed.[46]
References
- ^ Wilson, Reid (September 28, 2021). "California rule change means Padilla faces extra election". The Hill. Archived from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
- ^ Willon, Phil; McGreevy, Patrick (December 22, 2020). "Alex Padilla becomes California's first Latino U.S. senator, replacing Kamala Harris". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved December 22, 2020.
- ^ "Statewide Direct Primary Election - June 7, 2022". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on December 23, 2020. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
- ^ Ting, Eric (December 23, 2020). "Alex Padilla and Shirley Weber will run in 2022. They'll likely have challengers". SF Gate.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t "Primary Election - June 7, 2022". Retrieved March 26, 2022.
- ^ a b Cadelago, Christopher (April 16, 2022). "He wants to destroy Elon Musk. He could end up endangering the Dems' Senate plans". Politico. Archived from the original on April 16, 2022. Retrieved April 16, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Haberkorn, Jennifer (May 3, 2021). "Sen. Alex Padilla, just months into the job, has a year and a half to convince voters he should keep it". Los Angeles Times.
- ^ a b c Marinucci, Carla (August 9, 2021). "Khanna won't challenge Padilla for Senate, ends intraparty threat from left". Politico. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "Official Certified List of Write-In Candidates - June 7, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State. May 27, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- ^ "FILING FEC-1503114". fec.gov. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- ^ Miller, Thaddeus (March 8, 2021). "Fresno native to challenge for a U.S. Senate seat, blasts Newsom. Can she win?". Fresno Bee.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Taub, David (December 17, 2021). "Heng Enters House Race Even as the Lines Keep Changing". GV Wire. Retrieved December 18, 2021.
- ^ "Yvonne For US Senate 2022". Yvonne For US Senate 2022. February 26, 2007. Retrieved June 3, 2022.
- ^ a b Winger, Richard (November 15, 2021). "Two California Ballot-Qualified Parties Will Run a Joint Campaign for Statewide Office in 2022".
- ^ Laurance, Jeremy (May 5, 2018). "Andrew Wakefield's MMR vaccine theory has been discredited for years, but he just won't go away". Independent.
- ^ "Letter: Vote for Meuser for US Senate". www.chicoer.com. October 1, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "News-Press announces its election endorsements". newspress.com. October 25, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ Mehta, Seema (April 24, 2022). "California GOP endorses Brian Dahle for governor despite controversy over payment to party". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
- ^ "Mark Meuser's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "Rebuild California Endorsements 2022 Primary Election". www.rebuildcalifornia.com. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao Marinucci, Carla; Jeremy B. White; Graph Massara; Richard Tzul (April 20, 2021). "PADILLA launches 2022 reelection bid — PELOSI defends WATERS' remarks on CHAUVIN trial — CALIFORNIA giving up on climate ambitions? — GOP leaders want border meeting with HARRIS". Politico.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Marinucci, Carla (April 22, 2021). "NEWSOM declares drought emergency — CAITLYN JENNER's spotty voting record — Quake nightmare: the HOLLYWOOD FAULT — PELOSI's Floyd speech slammed". Politico.
- ^ a b c "Alex Padilla Endorsements". alex-padilla.com. Retrieved May 9, 2021.
- ^ "Elections 2022". California Teachers Association.
- ^ "Sen. Padilla launches 2022 Senate campaign". KTXL. April 20, 2021.
- ^ "Election Center". Equality California. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsements". NARAL Pro-Choice California. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved October 29, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsements". www.stonewalldems.org. Stonewall Democrats. Retrieved March 7, 2022.
- ^ "Por Alex Padilla para el Senado federal". La Opinión (in Spanish). May 16, 2022. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsement: Our recommendations for House seats in the San Diego area and for the U.S. Senate". The San Diego Union-Tribune. May 19, 2022. Retrieved May 20, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsement: The nation needs Alex Padilla in the U.S. Senate". Los Angeles Times. September 29, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "This U.S. Senate candidate is hard at work for California. Voters should look no further". www.fresnobee.com. October 5, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsement: Alex Padilla for U.S. Senate". www.ocregister.com. August 25, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "Editorial: Alex Padilla is the standout choice for U.S. Senate". www.marinij.com. September 26, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "California US Senator Alex Padilla deserves a full term". www.sanluisobispo.com. October 5, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ Deruy, Emily (January 18, 2021). "Alex Padilla: 5 things to know about California's new senator". Mercury News. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
- ^ Garofoli, Joe (June 16, 2021). "Progressives fed up with Feinstein, want her to resign now". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
- ^ Garofoli, Joe (August 9, 2021). "Khanna considered challenging Padilla, but now he's endorsing him for Senate". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
- ^ Wildermuth, John (December 19, 2020). "Can California GOP find a Senate candidate in 2022? If not, Alex Padilla could be set for years". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved February 8, 2021.
- ^ "About Dan O'Dowd - Dan O'Dowd for U.S. Senate".
- ^ Korosec, Kirsten (April 20, 2022). "Billionaire's Senate run focuses on banning 'self-driving' Tesla's". techcrunch.com.
- ^ Loveday, Steven (April 18, 2022). "Elon Musk Says Tesla's FSD Now Has over 100,000 Beta Testers". Insideevs.com.
- ^ a b "Primary Election - Statement of the Vote, June 7, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State.
- ^ Stone, Betsey (February 7, 2022). "Socialist Workers Party conference launches 2022 California campaign". The Militant. Vol. 86, no. 5. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- ^ "Political Body: Constitution Party of California" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. Sacramento. April 12, 2021. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- ^ "California Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
External links
- Official campaign websites
Categories:
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- Articles with short description
- Use mdy dates from August 2020
- United States Senate elections in California
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 California elections
- United States Senate special elections
- Special elections to the 117th United States Congress
- California special elections