Opinion polling for the 45th Canadian federal election
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This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 45th Canadian federal election.
National polls
Pre-campaign period
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/cc/Opinion_polling_during_the_pre-campaign_period_of_the_45th_Canadian_federal_election.svg/800px-Opinion_polling_during_the_pre-campaign_period_of_the_45th_Canadian_federal_election.svg.png)
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] |
Link | CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | PPC | GPC | Others[b] | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | October 26, 2022 | [1] | 35 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | 4 |
Abacus Data | October 26, 2022 | [2] | 34 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 1,500 | online | 3 |
Nanos Research | October 21, 2022 | [3] | 36 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 6 |
Nanos Research | October 14, 2022 | [4] | 35 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1 |
Leger | October 10, 2022 | [5] | 33 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | ±2.50 pp | 1,534 | online | 2 |
Nanos Research | October 7, 2022 | [6] | 33 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1 |
Nanos Research | September 30, 2022 | [7] | 33 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 5 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 4 |
Mainstreet Research | September 22, 2022 | [8] | 40.8 | 32.7 | 12.4 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | ±3.0 pp | 1,088 | IVR | 8.1 |
Angus Reid | September 22, 2022 | [9] | 37 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | ±2 pp | 5,014 | online | 7 |
Ipsos | September 21, 2022 | [10] | 35 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | online | 5 |
Leger | September 18, 2022 | [11] | 34 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ±2.51 pp | 1,522 | online | 6 |
EKOS | September 16, 2022 | [12] | 33.7 | 31.7 | 20.1 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 0.5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,005 | IVR | 2.0 |
Nanos Research | September 16, 2022 | [13] | 30.7 | 28.4 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 4.8 | — | ±3.00 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 2.3 |
Abacus Data | September 14, 2022 | [14] | 35 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 1,990 | online | 5 |
Pierre Poilievre is elected leader of the Conservative Party | |||||||||||||
Abacus Data | August 30, 2022 | [15] | 33 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 1 |
Nanos Research | August 19, 2022 | [13] | 32.5 | 33.3 | 20.1 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | — | ±3.00 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.8 |
Leger | August 7, 2022 | [16] | 28 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ±2.52 pp | 1,509 | online | 5 |
Nanos Research | August 5, 2022 | [17] | 32.6 | 29.0 | 22.7 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 6.8 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 3.6 |
Abacus Data | July 27, 2022 | [18] | 35 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.0 pp | 2,400 | online | 5 |
Mainstreet Research | July 18, 2022 | [19] | 38.3 | 27.6 | 18.1 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | ±2.3 pp | 1,749 | IVR | 10.7 |
Abacus Data | July 17, 2022 | [20] | 33 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 2 |
Leger | July 10, 2022 | [21] | 28 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | ±2.49 pp | 1,538 | online | 4 |
Nanos Research | July 8, 2022 | [17] | 34.1 | 30.6 | 20.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 5.4 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (3/4) | telephone (rolling) | 3.5 |
Abacus Data | June 23, 2022 | [22] | 34 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±1.8 pp | 3,026 | online | 4 |
Ipsos | June 20, 2022 | [23] | 33 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 2,002 | online | 1 |
Nanos Research | June 17, 2022 | [24] | 35.5 | 30.5 | 19.2 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 5.1 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 5.0 |
Mainstreet Research | June 16, 2022 | [25] | 25.8 | 34.0 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | ±2.8 pp | 1,200 | online | 8.2 |
Leger | June 12, 2022 | [26] | 32 | 30 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,528 | online | 2 |
Abacus Data | May 24, 2022 | [27] | 31 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 0 |
Nanos Research | May 20, 2022 | [24] | 32.5 | 34.4 | 19.6 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 4.1 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 1.9 |
EKOS | May 17, 2022 | [28] | 35.4 | 29.2 | 19.9 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,244 | IVR | 6.2 |
EKOS | May 9, 2022 | [29] | 31.4 | 31.8 | 20.3 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 2 | ±2.1 pp | 2,140 | IVR | 0.4 |
Abacus Data | May 6, 2022 | [30] | 33 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 2 |
Mainstreet Research | April 29, 2022 | [31] | 38.4 | 32.2 | 16.9 | 6.7 | — | 2.8 | 3.1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,327 | IVR | 6.2 |
Nanos Research | April 22, 2022 | [32] | 35.6 | 30.0 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 5.5 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 5.6 |
Leger | April 10, 2022 | [33] | 29 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,538 | online | 2 |
Abacus Data | April 9, 2022 | [34] | 31 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | online | 2 |
Nanos Research | April 8, 2022 | [35] | 33 | 33 | 18 | — | — | — | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0 |
Nanos Research | April 1, 2022 | [35] | 31 | 33 | 21 | — | — | — | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 2 |
Abacus Data | March 25, 2022 | [36] | 33 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 2 |
Nanos Research | March 25, 2022 | [32] | 31.3 | 32.2 | 21.6 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 4.8 | — | ±2.9 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.9 |
The Liberals and NDP enter into a confidence-and-supply agreement. | |||||||||||||
Nanos Research | March 11, 2022 | [37] | 29.3 | 32.1 | 22.2 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 4.9 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 2.8 |
Leger | March 6, 2022 | [38] | 28 | 33 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.5 pp | 1,591 | online | 5 |
Nanos Research | February 25, 2022 | [39] | 32.2 | 30.3 | 17.7 | — | 5.4 | 6.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 1.9 |
Abacus Data | February 22, 2022 | [40] | 31 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±1.4 pp | 5,200 | online | 0 |
Ipsos | February 21, 2022 | [41] | 32 | 32 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | online | 0 |
Mainstreet Research | February 17, 2022 | [42] | 38.7 | 30.6 | 14.6 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | ±2.7 pp | 1,323 | IVR | 8.1 |
Nanos Research | February 11, 2022 | [43] | 31.1 | 30.6 | 16.9 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 6.4 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/2) | telephone (rolling) | 0.5 |
Abacus Data | February 8, 2022 | [44] | 30 | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | online | 3 |
Leger | February 6, 2022 | [45] | 29 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | ±2.49 pp | 1,546 | online | 4 |
Erin O'Toole is removed as leader of the Conservative Party. Candice Bergen is named interim leader. | |||||||||||||
Nanos Research | January 28, 2022 | [46] | 30.4 | 29.9 | 20.7 | — | 6.7 | 5.8 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.5 |
Mainstreet Research | January 23, 2022 | [47] | 29.3 | 29.4 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 12.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 | ±2.3 pp | 1,813 | IVR | 0.1 |
Leger | January 23, 2022 | [48] | 31 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | ±2.51 pp | 1,525 | online | 3 |
Nanos Research | January 21, 2022 | [49] | 29.4 | 28.4 | 22.3 | 5.6 | — | 7.0 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 1.0 |
EKOS | January 17, 2022 | [50] | 29.7 | 30.3 | 19.5 | 5.9 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1 | ±1.9 pp | 2,612 | IVR | 0.6 |
Nanos Research | January 14, 2022 | [51] | 28.5 | 28.2 | 24.3 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 6.3 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.3 |
Angus Reid | January 12, 2022 | [52] | 29 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | ±2.0 pp | 5,002 | online | 5 |
Abacus Data | January 12, 2022 | [53] | 30 | 32 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ±2.089 pp | 2,200 | online | 2 |
Nanos Research | January 7, 2022 | [54] | 29.0 | 30.6 | 21.4 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 6.1 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 1.6 |
Discover by Navigator | January 5, 2022 | [55] | 29 | 32 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 4 | — | — | 2,513 | online | 3 |
EKOS | December 21, 2021 | [56] | 25 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | ±3.1 pp | 1,015 | IVR | 7 |
Nanos Research | December 10, 2021 | [54] | 30.4 | 33.3 | 19.8 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 7.0 | — | ±3.0 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 2.9 |
Leger | December 5, 2021 | [57] | 29 | 36 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ±2.49 pp | 1,547 | online | 7 |
Mainstreet Research | November 30, 2021 | [58] | 30.3 | 33.5 | 15.7 | 5.5 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 1.9 | ±2.36 pp | 1,719 | IVR | 3.2 |
Abacus Data | November 30, 2021 | [59] | 30 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,025 | online | 2 |
Angus Reid | November 29, 2021 | [60] | 29 | 35 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ±2 pp | 2,005 | online | 6 |
Amita Kuttner is named interim leader of the Green Party | |||||||||||||
EKOS | November 21, 2021 | [61] | 26.6 | 30.4 | 19.1 | 5.9 | 11.4 | 5.2 | 1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,006 | IVR | 3.8 |
Leger | November 7, 2021 | [62] | 26 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ±2.48 pp | 1,565 | online | 9 |
Nanos Research | October 29, 2021 | [63] | 30.1 | 30.8 | 21.6 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.1 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 (1/4) | telephone (rolling) | 0.7 |
Mainstreet Research | October 24, 2021 | [64] | 33.3 | 33.8 | 15.4 | 5.5 | — | 3.0 | 8.9 | ±2.4 pp | 1,711 | IVR | 0.5 |
Nanos Research | October 22, 2021 | [65] | 30.8 | 29.9 | 23.1 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | — | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | telephone (rolling) | 0.9 |
Abacus Data | October 20, 2021 | [66] | 30 | 33 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ±1.9 pp | 2,220 | online | 3 |
Annamie Paul announces her intention to resign as the leader of the Green Party | |||||||||||||
2021 election | September 20, 2021 | HTML | 33.7 | 32.6 | 17.8 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | — | 17,042,591 | — | 1.1 |
Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] |
Link | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead | ||||||
CPC | LPC | NDP | BQ | PPC | GPC |
Regional polls
A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level:
Alberta
Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Others | Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yorkville Strategies | March 9, 2022 | [67] | 18 | 48 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 3 | ±4 pp | 600 | Phone | 28 |
Leadership polls
Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best Prime Minister:
September 2022 – present
Polling firm | Last date
of polling |
Link | Justin Trudeau | Pierre Poilievre | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Amita Kuttner | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nanos Research | October 28, 2022 | [68] | 30.7 | 28.9 | 15.1 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 15.9 | ±3.1%pp | 1.8 |
Research Co. | October 26, 2022 | [1] | 30 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | ±3.1%pp | 4 |
Nanos Research | October 21, 2022 | [69] | 29.5 | 30.0 | 16.2 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 15.0 | ±3.1%pp | 0.5 |
Nanos Research | October 14, 2022 | [70] | 29.8 | 30.0 | 14.9 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 18.1 | ±3.1%pp | 0.2 |
Nanos Research | October 7, 2022 | [71] | 29.0 | 27.0 | 19.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 17.7 | ±3.1%pp | 2.0 |
Nanos Research | September 30, 2022 | [72] | 28.2 | 24.8 | 20.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 19.6 | ±3.1%pp | 3.4 |
Nanos Research | September 23, 2022 | [73] | 29.2 | 20.9 | 19.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 22.9 | ±3.1% pp | 8.3 |
Ipsos | September 20, 2022 | [74] | 31 | 35 | 26 | 8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4 |
Leger | September 18, 2022 | [11] | 24 | 21 | 17 | N/A | 1 | 3 | N/A | N/A | 3 |
Nanos Research | September 16, 2022 | [75] | 27.4 | 18.4 | 20.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 6.5 |
February 2022 – September 2022
Polling firm | Last date
of polling |
Link | Justin Trudeau | Candice Bergen | Jagmeet Singh | Yves-François Blanchet | Amita Kuttner | Maxime Bernier | Unsure | Margin of error[c] |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nanos Research | September 9, 2022 | [76] | 29.6 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 10.3 |
Nanos Research | September 2, 2022 | [77] | 31.1 | 18.8 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 25.4 | ±2.9 pp | 12.3 |
Nanos Research | August 26, 2022 | [78] | 31.1 | 18.1 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 25.6 | ±2.9 pp | 13.0 |
Nanos Research | August 19, 2022 | [79] | 30.1 | 19.2 | 17.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 24.4 | ±2.9 pp | 10.9 |
Nanos Research | August 12, 2022 | [80] | 28.7 | 17.8 | 18.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 26.6 | ±2.9 pp | 10.6 |
Nanos Research | August 5, 2022 | [81] | 26.7 | 18.2 | 19.0 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 26.2 | ±3.0 pp | 7.7 |
Nanos Research | July 29, 2022 | [82] | 27.8 | 17.6 | 18.9 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 26.9 | ±3.0 pp | 8.9 |
Nanos Research | July 22, 2022 | [83] | 27.3 | 16.6 | 18.8 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 28.7 | ±3.0 pp | 8.5 |
Nanos Research | July 15, 2022 | [84] | 28.1 | 17.7 | 18.9 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 26.4 | ±3.0 pp | 9.2 |
Nanos Research | July 8, 2022 | [85] | 29.9 | 18.1 | 17.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 26.5 | ±3.0 pp | 11.8 |
Nanos Research | July 1, 2022 | [86] | 30.1 | 19.5 | 17.2 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 25.4 | ±3.0 pp | 10.6 |
Nanos Research | June 24, 2022 | [87] | 31.0 | 18.5 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 25.3 | ±3.0 pp | 12.5 |
Nanos Research | June 17, 2022 | [88] | 29.8 | 18.2 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 25.8 | ±3.0 pp | 11.6 |
Nanos Research | June 10, 2022 | [89] | 29.8 | 19.3 | 16.0 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 24.3 | ±3.1 pp | 10.5 |
Nanos Research | June 3, 2022 | [90] | 28.8 | 19.9 | 16.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 24.5 | ±3.0 pp | 8.9 |
Nanos Research | May 27, 2022 | [91] | 30.7 | 20.6 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 22.2 | ±3.0 pp | 10.1 |
Nanos Research | May 20, 2022 | [92] | 31.1 | 20.5 | 16.6 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 21.7 | ±3.0 pp | 10.6 |
Nanos Research | May 13, 2022 | [93] | 31.9 | 20.3 | 17.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 21.7 | ±3.1 pp | 11.6 |
Nanos Research | May 6, 2022 | [94] | 30.8 | 20.3 | 18.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 22.6 | ±3.1 pp | 10.5 |
Nanos Research | April 29, 2022 | [95] | 29.7 | 21.5 | 16.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 22.9 | ±3.1 pp | 8.2 |
Nanos Research | April 22, 2022 | [96] | 29.7 | 20.4 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 23.3 | ±3.1 pp | 9.3 |
Nanos Research | April 15, 2022 | [97] | 29.7 | 19.1 | 17.4 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.6 |
Nanos Research | April 8, 2022 | [98] | 31.8 | 18.5 | 17.1 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 5.2 | 21.3 | ±3.1 pp | 13.3 |
Nanos Research | April 1, 2022 | [99] | 30.0 | 16.9 | 19.0 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 23.3 | ±3.1 pp | 11.0 |
Nanos Research | March 25, 2022 | [100] | 30.4 | 17.1 | 19.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.9 |
Nanos Research | March 18, 2022 | [101] | 30.0 | 18.5 | 19.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 23.2 | ±3.1 pp | 10.7 |
Nanos Research | March 11, 2022 | [102] | 31.0 | 17.2 | 19.1 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 22.4 | ±3.1 pp | 11.9 |
Nanos Research | March 4, 2022 | [103] | 30.6 | 18.0 | 17.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 23.4 | ±3.1 pp | 12.6 |
Nanos Research | February 25, 2022 | [104] | 29.9 | 19.2 | 17.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 7.3 | 22.0 | ±3.1 pp | 10.7 |
Nanos Research | February 18, 2022 | [105] | 28.6 | 19.2 | 16.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 22.5 | ±3.1 pp | 9.4 |
Government approval polls
Polling firm | Last date of polling[a] | Link | Approve | Disapprove | Unsure/ Neither |
Margin of error[c] |
Sample size[d] |
Polling method[e] | Net approval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Abacus Data | October 26, 2022 | [2] | 35% | 47% | 18% | ±2.1 pp | 1,500 | Online | -12% |
Ipsos | September 21, 2022 | [10] | 42% | 58% | — | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | Online | -16% |
Abacus Data | September 14, 2022 | [18] | 37% | 49% | 14% | ±2.2 pp | 1,990 | Online | -12% |
Abacus Data | August 30, 2022 | [18] | 36% | 49% | 15% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | -13% |
Abacus Data | July 27, 2022 | [18] | 34% | 51% | 15% | ±2.0 pp | 2,400 | Online | –17% |
Abacus Data | July 17, 2022 | [20] | 38% | 46% | 16% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –8% |
Abacus Data | June 23, 2022 | [20] | 38% | 45% | 17% | ±1.8 pp | 3,026 | Online | –7% |
Abacus Data | May 24, 2022 | [27] | 40% | 43% | 17% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –3% |
Abacus Data | May 6, 2022 | [30] | 41% | 42% | 17% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –1% |
Abacus Data | April 9, 2022 | [34] | 41% | 44% | 15% | ±2.1 pp | 2,000 | Online | –3% |
Abacus Data | March 25, 2022 | [36] | 40% | 42% | 18% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –2% |
Abacus Data | February 22, 2022 | [40] | 39% | 46% | 15% | ±1.4 pp | 5,200 | Online | –7% |
Abacus Data | February 8, 2022 | [44] | 38% | 45% | 16% | ±2.6 pp | 1,500 | Online | –7% |
Ipsos | January 17, 2022 | [106] | 49% | 51% | — | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | Online | –2% |
Abacus Data | January 12, 2022 | [53] | 44% | 40% | 16% | ±2.1 pp | 2,200 | Online | +4% |
Abacus Data | November 30, 2021 | [59] | 41% | 44% | 15% | ±2.2 pp | 2,025 | Online | –3% |
Ipsos | November 15, 2021 | [107] | 48% | 52% | — | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | Online | –4% |
Abacus Data | October 20, 2021 | [66] | 42% | 43% | 16% | ±1.9 pp | 2,200 | Online | –1% |
Notes
- ^ a b c Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
- ^ Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
- ^ a b c d e f In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
- ^ a b c d Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
- ^ a b c d "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
References
- ^ a b "Conservatives Have Four-Point Lead Over Liberals in Canada". October 31, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022.
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