2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia
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| Elections in West Virginia |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of West Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Manchin was elected in a 2010 special election to complete the term vacated by the late Robert Byrd. He won his first full term in a landslide in 2012, and was narrowly re-elected to a second full term in 2018. He has indicated that he is running for reelection to a third full term in office.[1]
West Virginia was a Democratic stronghold from the New Deal through the 1990s, but the state has rapidly swung towards the Republican Party in the years since. It is now staunchly Republican, giving Donald Trump a 39 percentage point margin of victory in the 2020 presidential election, his second-strongest performance in the nation. However, Manchin has continued to see electoral success, successfully positioning himself as a centrist Democrat with strong ties to the state. The Republican Party has reportedly identified the contest as a top priority in the 2024 election cycle.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Publicly expressed interest
- Joe Manchin, incumbent U.S. Senator (2010–present)[3]
Potential
- Stephen Smith, nonprofit executive, founder of West Virginia Can't Wait, and candidate for Governor in 2020[4]
Endorsements
Joe Manchin
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Stephen A. Schwarzman, Chairman of the Strategic and Policy Forum (2017) (Republican)[1]
- U.S. Senators
- Susan Collins, U.S. Senator from Maine (1997–present) (Republican)[5]
- Lisa Murkowski, U.S. Senator from Alaska (2002–present) (Republican)[6]
- Individuals
- Leon Cooperman, businessman (Republican)[1]
- Ken Langone, co-founder of The Home Depot (Republican)[1]
- Bernard Marcus, co-founder of The Home Depot (Republican)[1]
- Nelson Peltz, chairman of The Wendy's Company (Republican)[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Publicly expressed interest
- Derrick Evans, former state delegate from the 19th district (2020–2021) and convicted felon[7]
- Jim Justice, Governor of West Virginia (2017–present)[8]
- Alex Mooney, U.S. Representative for West Virginia's 2nd congressional district (2015–present)[9][10]
Potential
- David McKinley, outgoing U.S. Representative for West Virginia's 1st congressional district (2011–2023)[9]
- Carol Miller, U.S. Representative for West Virginia's 3rd congressional district (2019–present)[9]
- Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia attorney general and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[11]
- Mac Warner, West Virginia secretary of state[11]
- Riley Moore, West Virginia State Treasurer[12]
Constitution primary
Candidates
Publicly expressed interest
- Don Blankenship, former chairman and CEO of Massey Energy, Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018, and Constitution nominee for President of the United States in 2020[13]
General election
Polling
Hypothetical polling
- Joe Manchin vs. Jim Justice
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Manchin (D) |
Jim Justice (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triton Polling & Research (R) | August 24–26, 2022 | 762 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 32% | 47% | 21% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R) | January 17–20, 2022 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 37% | 22% |
- Joe Manchin vs. Alex Mooney
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Manchin (D) |
Alex Mooney (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triton Polling & Research (R) | August 24–26, 2022 | 762 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 45% | 12% | 5% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R) | January 17–20, 2022 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 28% | 16% | 7% |
- Joe Manchin vs. Patrick Morrisey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Manchin (D) |
Patrick Morrisey (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triton Polling & Research (R) | August 24–26, 2022 | 762 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 50% | 9% | 5% |
| Triton Polling & Research (R) | January 17–20, 2022 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 29% | 7% | 16% |
Notes
References
- ^ a b c d e f Schwartz, Brian (October 12, 2021). "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin". CNBC.
Over a lunch choice of chicken or fish, Manchin told the crowd of donors that he plans to run for reelection in 2024...
- ^ Everett, Burgess. "GOP eyes 2024 payback for Manchin's Dems-only deal". POLITICO. Retrieved October 10, 2022.
- ^ Everett, Burgess. "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
- ^ "Politics1 - Online Guide to West Virginia Elections, Candidates & Politics".
- ^ Everett, Burgess (July 26, 2021). "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks". politico.
- ^ Schnell, Mychael (February 6, 2022). "Manchin crosses party lines in officially endorsing Murkowski". The Hill.
Later in the interview on Sunday, Murkowski said she will endorse Manchin if he decides to run for reelection in 2024.
- ^ "Former West Virginia legislator convicted on Jan. 6 charges mulls run for federal office". CBS News.
- ^ King, Joselyn (September 27, 2022). "Justice considering U.S. Senate run". The Parkersburg News and Sentinel. Retrieved September 27, 2022.
- ^ a b c Mutnick, Ally (October 12, 2021). "3 members, 2 seats: West Virginia Republicans gird for redistricting showdown". Politico.
- ^ Fung, Katherine (May 10, 2022). "Trump-Backed Mooney Targets Manchin's Seat Minutes After GOP Primary Win". Newsweek.
- ^ a b "A Way-Too-Early Peek at the 2024 Governor's Race". West Virginia Metro News. January 25, 2021. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
- ^ Everett, Burgess. "GOP eyes 2024 payback for Manchin's Dems-only deal". POLITICO. Retrieved August 6, 2022.
- ^ "Don Blankenship - Report From the Presidential Candidate". Youtube.com. The Constitution Party. Retrieved October 18, 2021.