2023 Riojan regional election

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2023 Riojan regional election

← 2019 28 May 2023

All 33 seats in the Parliament of La Rioja
17 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Concha Andreu 2020b (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Concha Andreu Gonzalo Capellán Pablo Baena
Party PSOE PP Cs
Leader since 19 October 2014 13 October 2022 9 March 2019
Last election 15 seats, 38.7% 12 seats, 33.1% 4 seats, 11.5%
Current seats 15 12 4
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg13

  Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Henar Moreno
Party Podemos–IU–AV
Leader since 5 April 2022
Last election 2 seats, 6.6%
Current seats 2
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg15

Incumbent President

Concha Andreu
PSOE



The 2023 Riojan regional election will be held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the autonomous community of La Rioja. All 33 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of La Rioja is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of La Rioja, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Riojan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in La Rioja and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Riojans abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 33 members of the Parliament of La Rioja are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally.[1][3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of La Rioja expires four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament are fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 28 May 2023.[1][3][4]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of La Rioja and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances will not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remains of their four-year terms.[1]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in La Rioja, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PSOE Concha Andreu 2020b (cropped).jpg Concha Andreu Social democracy 38.67% 15 checkY
PP
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Gonzalo Capellán Conservatism
Christian democracy
33.06% 12 ☒N [5]
[6]
Cs Portrait placeholder.svg Pablo Baena Liberalism 11.53% 4 ☒N
Podemos–
IU–AV
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Henar Moreno Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
6.65% 2 checkY
PR+
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Rubén Antoñanzas Regionalism
Progressivism
4.61% 0 ☒N
Vox
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Maite Arnedo Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
3.87% 0 ☒N

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of La Rioja.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE PP Cs UPsimbol.svg PR+ Vox Lead
NueveCuatroUno[p 1] 1 May 2022 ? ? 31.0
11
47.0
17
3.9
0
5.4
1
6.5
2
6.3
2
16.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 2] 31 Jan–14 Mar 2022 ? ? 40.1
14
34.8
13
2.9
0
8.1
3
4.4
0
8.4
3
5.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 3] 2 Feb 2022 ? ? 39.7
15
36.7
14
3.1
0
7.7
2
4.3
0
7.7
2
3.0
NueveCuatroUno[p 4] 12 Dec 2021 ? ? 35.8
13
35.3
13
4.0
0
6.6
2
5.1
1
11.6
4
0.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 5] 3 Aug–12 Sep 2021 ? ? 40.5
15
38.1
14
3.8
0
5.6
2
4.4
0
6.1
2
2.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 6] 16 Jun–23 Jul 2021 ? ? 39.8
15
38.9
15
2.9
0
5.1
1
4.6
0
7.3
2
0.9
SyM Consulting[p 7][p 8] 22–23 Mar 2021 741 68.7 41.5
15/16
35.1
13/14
4.6
0
5.3
2
4.3
0
5.6
2
6.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 9] 31 Jan 2021 850 ? 37.5
13
35.4
13
6.3
2
6.3
2
4.9
0
8.3
3
2.1
SyM Consulting[p 10][p 11] 1–3 Jun 2020 793 69.5 33.5
12
37.1
13/14
5.9
2
7.8
2/3
4.2
0
9.1
3
3.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 12][p 13] 1 Apr–15 May 2020 ? ? 42.9
16
34.8
13
6.4
2
4.7
0
4.7
0
5.5
2
8.1
NueveCuatroUno[p 14] 5–6 May 2020 1,375 ? 30.0
11
34.8
13
7.9
3
6.0
2
5.8
2
6.0
2
4.8
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 67.0 34.9
(12)
34.2
(12)
7.1
(2)
9.9
(3)
11.5
(4)
0.7
2019 regional election 26 May 2019 65.9 38.7
15
33.1
12
11.5
4
6.6
2
4.6
0
3.9
0
5.6

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "El Refractómetro: el PP recuperaría la mayoría absoluta en La Rioja". NueveCuatroUno (in Spanish). 1 May 2022.
  2. ^ "ElectoPanel (La Rioja 15M): suben UP y Vox, bajan PSOE y PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 March 2022.
  3. ^ "La izquierda resiste y Andreu podría repetir mandato en 2023". El Día de La Rioja (in Spanish). 2 February 2022.
  4. ^ "El refractómetro: PP y Vox sumarían una ajustada mayoría en La Rioja". NueveCuatroUno (in Spanish). 12 December 2021.
  5. ^ "En La Rioja, el PSOE aumenta ligeramente, mientras PP pierde fuelle y Vox se desmorona, según una encuesta". Nuestra España (in Spanish). 15 September 2021.
  6. ^ "EP La Rioja (31JL): escenario muy apretado. Sube el PSOE, baja Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 July 2021.
  7. ^ "Estimación Marzo 2021. La Rioja". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 26 March 2021.
  8. ^ "LA RIOJA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/03/2021: UNIDAS PODEMOS 5,3% (2), PSOE 41,5% (15/16), PR+ 4,3%, Cs 4,6%, PP 35,1% (13/14), VOX 5,6% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 March 2021.
  9. ^ "ElectoPanel La Rioja (31E): bajada del PSOE, que deja a PP+Vox al borde de la absoluta. El PR+ se queda fuera". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 January 2021.
  10. ^ "Estimación Mayo 2020. La Rioja". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 10 June 2020.
  11. ^ "LA RIOJA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/06/2020: UNIDAS PODEMOS 7,8% (2/3), PSOE 33,5% (12), PR+ 4,2%, Cs 5,9% (2), PP 37,1% (13/14), VOX 9,1% (3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 June 2020.
  12. ^ "EP (17My): La Rioja – la izquierda perdería el Gobierno, aunque el PSOE roza la absoluta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  13. ^ "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  14. ^ "El PP volvería a ser el partido más votado en La Rioja". NueveCuatroUno (in Spanish). 10 May 2020.
Other
  1. ^ a b c d "Ley Orgánica 3/1982, de 9 de junio, de Estatuto de Autonomía de La Rioja". Organic Law No. 3 of 9 June 1982. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 September 2017.
  2. ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. ^ a b c "Ley 3/1991, de 21 de marzo, de elecciones a la Diputación General de La Rioja". Law No. 3 of 21 March 1991. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 September 2017.
  4. ^ a b "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  5. ^ "José Ignacio Ceniceros anuncia su adiós: no optará a la reelección en el PP". NueveCuatroUno (in Spanish). 23 January 2020. Retrieved 7 November 2021.
  6. ^ "Capellán, candidato por unanimidad para presidir el PP de La Rioja". El Correo (in Spanish). 13 October 2022. Retrieved 21 October 2022.