Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
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Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls. This map only represents polling data, it is not a prediction for the election. | |||||||||||||||||||
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2020 U.S. presidential election | |
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Attempts to overturn | |
Democratic Party | |
Republican Party | |
Third parties | |
Related races | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
Polling aggregation in swing states
The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison.
Alabama
- Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | September 1 – October 13, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 38.0% | 58.0% | 4.0% | Trump +20.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.8% | 57.4% | 4.8% | Trump +19.5 |
Average | 37.9% | 57.7% | 4.4% | Trump +19.8 |
- Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,808 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62%[c] | 36% | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 330 (LV) | ± 7.9% | 55% | 38% | 7% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 58% | 38% | 3% | 1% | 0%[d] |
Auburn University At Montgomery | Oct 23–28, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58% | 39% | – | 3% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,363 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 266 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 56% | 37% | 7% | – | – |
Moore Information (R)[A] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
Auburn University at Montgomery Archived November 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 30 – Oct 3, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | 37% | – | 6% | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,354 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 65% | 33% | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[B] | Aug 17–19, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 44% | 0% | 0%[e] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 36% | – | 2%[f] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,583 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Auburn University at Montgomery Archived July 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 55% | 41% | – | 4% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 649 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
FM3 Research/Doug Jones[C] | May 14–18, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 53% | 39% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Feb 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4% | 58% | 38% | – | – | 4% |
WPA Intelligence | Jan 7–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | 3% |
Alaska
- Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [g] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 6 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.8% | 49.4% | 6.8% | Trump +5.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.2% | 5.2% | Trump +7.7 |
Average | 43.7% | 50.3% | 6.0% | Trump +6.7 |
- Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 634 (LV) | ± 5% | 54%[i] | 45% | – | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 43% | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[D] | Oct 19–20, 2020 | 800 (V) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | - | – | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 9–14, 2020 | 423 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 39% | 8% | 2%[j] | 6%[k] |
Patinkin Research Strategies | Sep 30 – Oct 4, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 46% | – | 3%[l] | 2% |
Alaska Survey Research | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 563 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | 2% |
Harstad Strategic Research/Independent Alaska[E] | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 46% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 472 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | - | - | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | - | - | 2% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 885 (V) | – | 50% | 44% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling[m] | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | 6% |
Alaska Survey Research | Jun 23 – Jul 7, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 161 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | 2% |
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics | Jul 22 – Aug 9, 2019 | 321 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 40% | - | - | 15% |
Arizona
- Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 45.8% | 6.2% | Biden +2.2 |
Real Clear Politics | October 25 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.1% | 5.2% | Biden +2.6 |
Average | 48.2% | 46.3% | 5.5% | Biden +1.9 |
2020 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[n] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 2 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47%[o] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 2%[p] | – |
47%[q] | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 1% | ||||
48%[s] | 50% | - | - | 2%[t] | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,278 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46%[u] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 409 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 1% |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 360 (LV) | ± 7.1% | 46% | 51% | 4% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,195 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0%[v] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 50.4% | 48.1% | - | - | 1.5%[w] | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6%[x] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 1,059 (LV) | ± 3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Data Orbital | Oct 28–30 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45.3% | 45.9% | 3% | - | 6%[y] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 26–30 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3% | 43% | 49% | 3% | - | 1%[z] | 5%[aa] |
Grand Canyon Battleground Poll | Oct 25–30 | 910 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | 3% | - | 4% | |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 23–30 | 892 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 3% | - | 1%[ab] | 1% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 3%[ac] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 889 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 26–28 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 46.5% | 2.1% | - | 1.7%[ad] | 0.7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28 | 5,687 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 21–27 | 714 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47%[o] | 47% | 2% | 0% | 3%[ae] | – |
46%[q] | 48% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 304 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 44% | 52% | 3% | - | – | – |
Justice Collaborative Project[G] | Oct 22–25 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Oct 22–25 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 49% | 3% | - | 1%[ag] | 1% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research |
Oct 17–25 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 3% |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Oct 21–24 | 729 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune | Oct 15–24 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[H] | Oct 19–22 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46%[ai] | 46% | 4% | - | 2%[aj] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–21 | 658 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46%[o] | 50% | 1% | - | 2%[ak] | – |
46%[q] | 49% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 1,066 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 232 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 14–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46%[o] | 47% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 5% |
44%[am] | 49% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 5% | ||||
47%[an] | 45% | - | - | 3%[ac] | 5% | ||||
Data Orbital | Oct 16–18 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 3% | - | 5%[ao] | 2% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 13–16 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3%[ap] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–14 | 667 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47%[o] | 49% | 1% | 0% | 2%[aq] | – |
46%[q] | 50% | - | - | 2%[r] | 3% | ||||
Monmouth University | Oct 11–13 | 502 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1%[ar] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44%[as] | 51% | - | - | 2% | – | |||
47%[at] | 49% | - | - | 1% | – | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 750 (LV) | – | 45%[al] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 720 (LV) | – | 46%[al] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 6–8 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | 2%[ah] | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Oct 4–8 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45%[o] | 49% | 4% | - | 0%[au] | 3% |
47%[av] | 50% | - | - | 0%[au] | 3% | ||||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–7 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 633 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
Latino Decisions/Democrats for Education Reform[I] | Sep 28 – Oct 6 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 5% |
Basswood Research/American Action Forum[J] | Oct 3–5 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Data Orbital | Oct 3–5 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 3% | - | 3%[ax] | 4% |
HighGround Inc. [1] | Sep 28 – Oct 5 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 4%[ay] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 296 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 1–3 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 49% | 3% | – | 1%[z] | 6%[aa] |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Oct 1–3 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 3% | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Sep 23 – Oct 2 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Suffolk University | Sep 26–30 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | - | 1%[ag] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 7,100 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Strategies 360/Smart and Safe Arizona[K] | Sep 24–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 2%[az] | 4% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc/Center for American Greatness[H] | Sep 25–28 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28 | 808 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45%[o] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | 4% |
46%[av] | 50% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26 | 871 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
Data For Progress[L] | Sep 15–22 | 481 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | - | - | – | 10% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 262 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 15–20 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 48% | - | - | 2%[ba] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[M] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Data Orbital | Sep 14–17 | 550 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–17 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2%[r] | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–16 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 8% |
Monmouth University | Sep 11–15 | 420 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 4% | - | 1%[bb] | 3% |
420 (LV) | 46%[bc] | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
47%[bd] | 47% | - | - | 3% | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 10–15 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | 4% | - | 1%[z] | 6%[aa] |
Patinkin Research Strategies/Arizona Research Consortium (D) | Sep 10–13 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4% | 2% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | Aug 29 – Sep 13 | 1,298 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 45% | - | - | 4%[be] | 11% |
Gravis Marketing | Sep 10–11 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 9–11 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | - | - | 3%[ap] | 6% |
OH Predictive Insights | Sep 8–10 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1%[bf] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 901 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 46%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 470 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | 6%[bh] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 4 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 48% | 0% | 1% | 0%[bi] | 6% |
FOX News | Aug 29 – Sep 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | 3% | - | 1%[bj] | 6% |
858 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 49% | 3% | - | 3%[bk] | 6% | ||
Basswood Research/American Action Forum[J] | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48%[o] | 47% | 1%[bl] | 2% | – | 2% |
49%[av] | 48% | - | - | – | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 6,456 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 344 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–18 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 3%[bm] | 10% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 947 (LV) | ± (2–4%) | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47%[ai] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 428 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 5–8 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | 3% | - | 1%[bn] | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights | Aug 3–4 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[N] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2 | 1,215 (LV) | – | 43%[o] | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 10% |
44%[av] | 47% | - | - | – | 8% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 4,995 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC [2] | Jul 24–26 | 365 (LV) | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 16–25 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24 | 873 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 4%[bp] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–23 | 858 (LV) | – | 38% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 3%[bm] | 11% |
NBC News/Marist College | Jul 14–22 | 826 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[F] | Jul 17–18 | 960 (RV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[O] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Jul 6–15 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 345 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 7–10 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 4%[bq] | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights | Jul 6–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 0%[au] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Jun 26 – Jul 5 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 2,365 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | - | - | – | 2% |
Data Orbital | Jun 27–29 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3.3%[br] | 4.2% |
Morning Consult | Jun 16–25 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 311 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jun 27 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–17 | 865 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2%[bs] | 13% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–16 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 4%[bt] | 8% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Jun 13–15 | 1,368 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 5%[bu] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Jun 6–15 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 201 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 45% | - | - | 5%[bv] | – |
Morning Consult | May 27 – Jun 5 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
FOX News | May 30 – Jun 2 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 6%[bw] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 329 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 44% | - | - | 9% | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 784 (LV) | – | 47%[bg] | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 16–25 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
HighGround Inc. | May 18–22 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | - | - | 4%[bx] | 4%[aa] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 946 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 45% | - | - | 3%[by] | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights | May 9–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1%[ag] | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 6–15 | – (LV)[bo] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave | Apr 13–16 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 5% |
OH Predictive Insights | Apr 7–8 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | Mar 10–15 | 2,523 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | - | - | 1% | 5% |
Monmouth University | Mar 11–14 | 847 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Univision | Mar 6–11 | 1,036 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
OH Predictive Insights | Mar 3–4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 2–3 | 666 (V) | – | 46% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Climate Nexus | Feb 11–15 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 42% | - | - | – | 13% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Team McSally/Politico[P] | Jan 22–24 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | Jan 2–4 | 760 (V) | – | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
2019 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[n] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OH Predictive Insights | Dec 3–4 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 44% | 0%[au] | 10% |
Emerson College | Oct 25–28 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–23 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | – | – |
Bendixen & Amandi International | Sep 9–12 | 520 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 42% | 12% | 3% |
OH Predictive Insights | Aug 13–14 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | – | 12% |
Fabrizio Ward LLC | Jul 29–31 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 45% | – | 4% |
OH Predictive Insights | May 1–2 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | – | 7% |
OH Predictive Insights | Feb 12–13 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | – | 7% |
Arkansas
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 35.0% | 60.3% | 4.7% | Trump +25.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 58.9% | 4.9% | Trump +22.8 |
Average | 35.6% | 59.6% | 4.8% | Trump +24.0 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[bz] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,309 (LV) | ± 4% | 61%[ca] | 38% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,239 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | - | – | – |
University of Arkansas | Oct 9–21, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 65% | 32% | - | - | 3% | – |
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 2%[cb] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 771 (LV) | – | 62% | 38% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 689 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 747 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | - | - | – | 2% |
Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics | Jun 9–10, 2020 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | - | - | 5%[cc] | 3% |
California
- Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.7% | 32.3% | 6.0% | Biden +29.4 |
Real Clear Politics | September 26 – October 21, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | 60.7% | 31.0% | 8.3% | Biden +29.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 61.6% | 32.4% | 6.0% | Biden +29.2 |
Average | 61.3% | 31.9% | 6.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[cd] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2021 | 12,370 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 36%[ce] | 62% | – | – | – | – |
David Binder Research | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 62% | – | – | 3% | 4% |
USC Schwarzenegger Institute | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,155 (RV) | ± 3% | 28% | 65% | – | – | 4%[cf] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 30 – Oct 28, 2020 | 22,450 (LV) | – | 37%[ce] | 61% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 35% | 62% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
UC Berkeley/LA Times[3] | Oct 16–21, 2020 | 5,352 (LV) | ± 2% | 29% | 65% | 1% | 0% | 0%[cg][ch] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Oct 9–18, 2020 | 1,185 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 32% | 58% | 3% | 2% | 1%[ci] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 20,346 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyUSA | Sep 26–28, 2020 | 588 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 34% | 59% | – | – | 3%[cj] | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 19–21, 2020 | 1,775 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | 1% | 1% | 1%[ck] | 8% |
UC Berkeley/LA Times[4] | Sep 9–15, 2020 | 5,942 (LV) | ± 2% | 28% | 67% | 1% | 0% | 0%[cg][ch] | 3% |
Public Policy Institute of California | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 31% | 60% | 3% | 2% | 1%[ci] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front [cl] | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 17,537 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
David Binder Research | Aug 22–24, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 31% | 61% | – | – | 3%[cm] | 5% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 9, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 25% | 61% | 1% | 1% | 2%[cn] | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 19,027 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | – | – | – | 2% |
University of California Berkeley[5] | Jul 21–27, 2020 | 6,756 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 28% | 67% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 8,412 (LV) | – | 36% | 62% | – | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 19–26, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 33% | 57% | – | – | 6%[co] | 3% |
SurveyUSA | May 18–19, 2020 | 537 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 30% | 58% | – | – | 5% | 7% |
Emerson College | May 8–10, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 35%[cp] | 65% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 28–29, 2020 | 962 (RV) | – | 29% | 67% | – | – | – | 3% |
AtlasIntel | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 62% | – | – | 12% | – |
YouGov | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 (RV) | – | 31% | 59% | – | – | 4% | 4% |
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 3%[cq] | 3% |
University of California Berkeley | Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 (RV) | – | 31% | 58% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 57% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/USC Price-Schwarzenegger Institute | Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 30% | 60% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 35% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 36% | 56% | – | – | 3%[cq] | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 32% | 59% | – | – | – | 9% |
Emerson College | Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 36% | 64% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | – | – | – | 11% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 27% | 61% | – | – | – | 12% |
SurveyUSA | Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 56% | – | – | – | 11% |
Colorado
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 15 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 52.0% | 40.6% | 7.4% | Biden +11.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.6% | 41.1% | 5.3% | Biden +12.5 |
Average | 52.8% | 40.8% | 6.4% | Biden +12.0 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[cr] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,991 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44%[cs] | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 502 (LV)[ct] | ± 4.4% | 41% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 54% | 3% | 1% | 0%[cu] | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 455 (LV) | ± 6% | 41% | 55% | 3% | 1% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,925 (LV) | – | 40% | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
RBI Strategies | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 55% | 3% | 1% | 1%[cv] | 1% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 51% | – | – | 1%[cw] | 3% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 53% | – | – | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | Oct 8–13, 2020 | 519 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 39% | 54% | – | – | 3%[cx] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 837 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/University of Colorado | Oct 5–9, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.64% | 38% | 47% | – | – | 3% | 11% |
SurveyUSA/9News/Colorado Politics | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 5%[cy] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,717 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43%[cz] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 2%[da] | 8% |
Global Strategy Group/Progress Colorado[Q] | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | 4% | 1% | 1%[db] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,385 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult[6] | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 638 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[cz] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 16–25, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[7] | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[dc] | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 6–15, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 7 – Aug 5, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,337 (LV) | – | 40% | 58% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39%[cz] | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 13–22, 2020 | ~600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 891 (V) | – | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United | Jun 29–30, 2020 | 840 (V) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 56% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 572 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D) | May 7–11, 2020 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 53% | – | – | – | 7% |
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson/Colorado Politics | May 1–3, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 36% | 55% | – | – | 3%[cx] | 6% |
Montana State University Bozeman | Apr 10–19, 2020 | 379 (LV) | – | 35% | 53% | – | – | 3% | 8% |
Climate Nexus | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 46% | – | – | – | 11% |
Emerson College | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 51% | – | – | 1%[dd] | 5% |
Connecticut
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.6% | 32.4% | 9.0% | Biden +26.3 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[de] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,031 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38%[df] | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 367 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 33% | 64% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,782 (LV) | – | 35% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 8–21, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.02% | 26% | 51% | - | - | 2% | 20% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,415 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 35% | 64% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,360 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 32% | 65% | - | - | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA | May 19–24, 2020 | 808 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 7%[dg] | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 3%[dh] | 7% |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Mar 24 – Apr 3, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Feb 24 – Mar 12, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 2020 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 52% | - | - | – | 16% |
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Sep 17 – Oct 2, 2019 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 52% | - | - | – | 15% |
Delaware
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 5 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.5% | 7.0% | Biden +22.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.9% | 34.6% | 6.5% | Biden +24.3 |
Average | 58.2% | 35.1% | 6.8% | Biden +23.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 656 (LV) | ± 6% | 38%[dj] | 60% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,323 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 395 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | 2% |
University of Delaware | Sep 21–27, 2020 | 847 (LV) | – | 33% | 54% | 2% | 1% | 10%[dk] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 348 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | - | 1% |
PPP | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 710 (V) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 58% | - | - | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 232 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2% |
Gonzales Research | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 56% | - | - | 4% |
District of Columbia
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 90.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | Biden +85.0 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 6% | 5%[dl] | 94% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 969 (LV) | – | 9% | 89% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 343 (LV) | – | 12% | 86% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 252 (LV) | – | 16% | 83% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 290 (LV) | – | 8% | 91% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 151 (LV) | – | 11% | 87% | - | - | – | 3% |
Florida
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 24 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.0% | 5.3% | Biden +2.7 |
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.9% | 47.0% | 5.1% | Biden +0.9 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.1% | 46.6% | 4.3% | Biden +2.5 |
Average | 48.6% | 46.5% | 4.9% | Biden +2.1 |
State polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insider Advantage/Fox 35 | Nov 1–2, 2020[al] | 400 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1%[dm] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 8,792 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 49%[dn] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 517 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.45% | 48% | 51% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[H] | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | - | 2%[do] | 3% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,657 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 9% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 53% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 51% | 1% | 1% | 0%[dp] | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 670 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46%[o] | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[dq] | – |
46%[dr] | 50% | - | - | 2%[r] | 2% | ||||
47%[ds] | 51% | - | - | 2%[dt] | – | ||||
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[R] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 768 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 3%[du] | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 27–31, 2020 | 1,451 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[dv] | 6%[dw] |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 4,451 (LV) | ± 2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 2,758 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 48% | 49% | 1% | - | – | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 28–30, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47%[o] | 51% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 0% |
45%[dx] | 52% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 0% | ||||
48%[dy] | 49% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 0% | ||||
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2%[dz] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 786 (LV) | ± 3% | 48.5% | 48.5% | - | - | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Climate Power 2020[S] | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 941 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,148 (LV) | ± >=3% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 24–29, 2020 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 0%[ea] | 0% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,587 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.89% | 50% | 47% | 2% | - | 1%[dm] | 1% |
Monmouth University | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 509 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[eb] | 2% |
509 (LV) | 45%[ec] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
46%[ed] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 14,571 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 25–27, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 1% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 45% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 11% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47%[o] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2%[ee] | – |
47%[dr] | 49% | - | - | 3%[ef] | 2% | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/Institute of Politics at Florida State University | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | 6% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Florida Atlantic University | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 937 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[H] | Oct 23–25, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 44% | 2% | - | 3%[eg] | 3% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research |
Oct 17–25, 2020 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.56% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 3% |
Ryan Tyson (R) | Released Oct 24, 2020 | – (V)[eh] | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | 3%[ei] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 24, 2020 | 665 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,228 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ej] | 0% |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | Oct 21–22, 2020 | 2,527 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 2%[ek] | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48%[o] | 50% | - | - | 1%[el] | 1% |
46%[dx] | 52% | - | - | 1%[el] | 1% | ||||
48%[dy] | 46% | - | - | 1%[el] | 1% | ||||
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | - | - | 3%[em] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46%[o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2%[ee] | – |
46%[dr] | 50% | - | - | 1%[en] | 3% | ||||
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 1% |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[eo] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 4,685 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 547 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Oct 12–16, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 48% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill[8] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 965 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–14, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47%[o] | 50% | 0% | 0% | 2%[ep] | – |
47%[dr] | 49% | - | - | 1%[en] | 3% | ||||
Trafalgar Group | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 2.94% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1%[dm] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 1,519 (LV) | – | 44%[al] | 50% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | Oct 11–12, 2020 | 2,215 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 49% | - | - | 1%[eq] | 2% |
Emerson College | Oct 10–12, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48%[er] | 51% | - | - | 1%[dm] | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1%[es] | 6% |
Clearview Research | Oct 7–12, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.18% | 40%[o] | 47% | - | - | 4%[et] | 9% |
39%[eu] | 48% | - | - | 4%[et] | 9% | ||||
41%[ev] | 46% | - | - | 4%[et] | 9% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 4,785 (LV) | ± 1.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 42%[al] | 53% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Florida Atlantic University | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 4–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 46%[o] | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
44%[dx] | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47%[dy] | 46% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Insider Advantage/Hannity Exclusive (R) | Oct 6–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 46% | 1% | - | – | 10% |
YouGov/CCES | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 3,755 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 1%[en] | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,256 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 51% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today[9] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45%[o] | 45% | 2% | 0%[ew] | 2%[ex] | 6% |
46%[ey] | 45% | - | - | 2%[ez] | 7% | ||||
University of North Florida | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 3,134 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 3%[dw] |
St. Leo University | Sep 27 – Oct 2, 2020 | 489 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[dv] | 8%[dw] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 12,962 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce | Sep 23–29, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44%[al] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./Center for American Greatness[H] | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | 3% | - | – | 8%[dw] |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 1,073 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | Sep 21–22, 2020 | 2,906 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ek] | 2% |
Data For Progress[T] | Sep 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | - | - | – | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 702 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 15–20, 2020 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 47% | - | - | 1%[fa] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[U] | Sep 17–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 15–18, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 1%[fb] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–17, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14, 2020 | 1,158 (LV) | ± 2.88% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
Monmouth University | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 428 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | 1%[fc] | 3% |
428 (LV) | 45%[fd] | 50% | - | - | 1%[fe] | 3% | |||
46%[ff] | 49% | - | - | 1%[fe] | 3% | ||||
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,009 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | - | - | 4%[fg] | 11% |
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 11–12, 2020 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 50% | - | - | 0%[fh] | – |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics/AARP | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 2,689 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ek] | 2% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2%[fi] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 3,914 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 43%[bg] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 1,144 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 4%[fj] | – |
Marist College/NBC | Aug 31 – Sep 5, 2020 | 760 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Trafalgar Group | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | - | 1%[fk] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
GQR Research (D) | Aug 26 – Sep 3, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac Archived September 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 48% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 12,286 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 3,790 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Opinium/The Guardian[10] | Aug 21–26, 2020 | 684 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 1,262 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP | Aug 21–22, 2020 | 671 (V) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | – | 41% | 49% | 1% | - | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 3,484 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[V] | Aug 11–15, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | 2% | - | 1%[fl] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 469 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[W] | Aug 2–4, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 13,945 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC[11] | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 685 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 3,760 (LV) | ± 1.6% | 46%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[eh] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 880 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2%[fm] | 2% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 811 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 2% | – | 9% |
Mason-Dixon | Jul 20–23, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | Jul 16–20, 2020 | 924 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6%[fn] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jul 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[eh] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Florida Politics/AARP Florida/St. Pete Polls | Jul 13–14, 2020 | 3,018 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 2%[fo] | 3% |
Gravis Marketing | Jul 13, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 53% | - | - | – | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,206 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2%[fp] | 8% |
Morning Consult | Jun 26 – Jul 5, 2020 | – (LV)[eh] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 46% | 46% | - | - | 5%[fq] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 5,663 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 951 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jun 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[eh] | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 6%[fr] | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 47% | - | - | 4%[fs] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–15, 2020 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 41% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 11% |
Morning Consult | Jun 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[eh] | – | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 713 (LV)[al] | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | 3%[ft] | – |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Released Jun 11, 2020 | – (V)[eh] | – | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[H] | Jun 9–11, 2020 | 875 (LV) | – | 40% | 51% | - | - | 4%[fu] | 5% |
Morning Consult | May 27 – Jun 5, 2020 | – (LV)[eh] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31, 2020 | 1,186 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
Cygnal (R) | May 18–30, 2020 | 881 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43.8% | 47% | - | - | 3.3%[fv] | 5.9% |
St. Pete Polls | May 26–27, 2020 | 4,763 (RV) | ± 1.4% | 46.7% | 47.5% | - | - | 2.7%[fw] | 3.1% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 3,593 (LV) | – | 48%[bg] | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 16–25, 2020 | – (LV)[eh] | – | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Point Blank Political | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 1%[fx] | <1%[fy] | 2% | 8% |
Point Blank Political | May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 6–15, 2020 | – (LV)[eh] | – | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14, 2020 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 3%[fz] | 10% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 8–12, 2020 | 928 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | Apr 18–21, 2020 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 16–20, 2020 | 1,385 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 46% | - | - | 3% | 7% |
St. Pete Polls | Apr 16–17, 2020 | 5,659 (RV) | ± 1.3% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | 4% |
University of North Florida | Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 | 3,244 (RV) | ± 1.7% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
AtlasIntel | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | - | - | 10% | – |
Univision | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | - | - | – | 7% |
Florida Atlantic University | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 1,216 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Feb, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | - | - | – | 10%[dw] |
Saint Leo University | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | - | - | – | 8% |
University of North Florida | Feb 10–18, 2020 | 668 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Florida Atlantic University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Cherry Communications/Florida Chamber of Commerce[X] | Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | - | - | – | 8% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
University of North Florida | Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6%[ga] | 3% |
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 1% | 6% |
St. Pete Polls | Jun 15–16, 2019 | 3,095 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 44% | - | - | – | 7% |
Georgia
Graphical summary
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.4% | 5.0% | Biden +0.2 |
Real Clear Politics | Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.2% | 48.2% | 4.6% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.5% | 47.4% | 4.1% | Biden +1.2 |
Average | 47.8% | 47.7% | 4.6% | Biden +0.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 50% | 45% | 3% | 1%[dm] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,962 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48%[gb] | 50% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[H] | Nov 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 4% | – | 2% |
AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2020 | 380 (LV) | – | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 438 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 44% | 54% | 2% | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 0%[gc] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 679 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49%[ai] | 48% | – | 2%[ah] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,743 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Oct 28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 4%[gd] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,019 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | – | – | – |
Monmouth University | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 1%[ge] | 2% |
504 (LV) | 46%[gf] | 50% | – | – | – | |||
48%[gg] | 50% | – | – | – | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | – | 2%[ah] | 0% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,090 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2%[gh] | 0% |
University of Georgia/AJC | Oct 14–23, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 4% |
Landmark Communications/WSBTV | Oct 21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 4% |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 2%[gi] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48%[ai] | 47% | – | 5%[gj] | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 2%[gk] | 7%[aa] |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[J] | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46%[ai] | 49% | – | 3%[gl] | 4%[aa] |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff[Y] | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 51% | – | 1%[dm] | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 46% | 48% | – | 2%[gm] | 4% |
Data for Progress | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 1%[gn] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,837 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 8–9, 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 47% | – | 3%[cv] | 3% |
Landmark Communications | Oct 7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48.6% | 46.8% | 0.7% | – | 3.9% |
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,456 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – |
University of Georgia/AJC | Sep 27 – Oct 6, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 46% | 3% | – | 3% |
Landmark Communications/WSB | Sep 30, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,468 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | – | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[Z] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 50% | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 50% | – | 1%[dm] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.49% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1%[go] | 8% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | – | 2%[ah] | 5% |
Monmouth University | Sep 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0%[gp] | 4% |
402 (LV) | 48%[gf] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | |||
50%[gg] | 45% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | 0%[gq] | 8%[aa] |
University of Georgia/AJC | Sep 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4% | 47% | 47% | 1% | – | 4% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45%[gr] | 45% | 1% | 0%[gs] | 8% |
46%[gt] | 46% | – | – | 8% | ||||
GBAO Strategies/Warnock for Georgia[AA] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 1%[go] | 6% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,486 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 48%[gu] | 46% | – | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | 1%[gv] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[J] | Aug 30 – Sep 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46%[ai] | 47% | 2% | 1%[gw] | 4% |
Landmark Communications/WSB | Aug 29–31, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | 2% | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,772 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,392 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | – | – | – |
HarrisX/Matt Lieberman[AB] | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 52% | – | 2%[gx] | – |
PPP/Fair Fight Action[AC] | Aug 24–25, 2020 | 782 (V) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 6% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,265 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 46% | – | – | – |
Landmark Communications | Aug 14–15, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 3% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 46% | – | 4%[gy] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 3%[gz] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER[AD] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 44% | – | 6%[ha] | 10%[aa] |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,745 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Monmouth University | Jul 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 3% |
402 (LV) | 48%[gf] | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | |||
49%[gg] | 46% | 2% | – | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,337 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 722 (V) | – | 45% | 46% | – | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group | Jul 15–18, 2020 | 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 2% | 2%[hb] | 2% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[AE] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Jon Ossoff[Y] | Jul 9–15, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 10% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jul 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | - | – | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Tableau | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 2,059 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United[AF] | Jun 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | - | – | 6% |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | - | 4%[hc] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 661 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | - | – | 6% |
TargetSmart | May 21–27, 2020 | 321 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | - | 10%[hd] | 6% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,396 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 48% | - | 3%[cv] | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D)[12] | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | - | – | 6%[he] |
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee[AG] | May 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | - | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 46% | 47% | - | – | 7%[hf] |
Cygnal/David Ralston[13][AH] | Apr 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | - | 7% | 5% |
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate[AI] | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | - | – | 6% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | Mar 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 47% | - | 4% | – |
University of Georgia | Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | 4% | 2% |
Mason-Dixon | Dec 19–23, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | - | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 1,303 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | - | – | 10% |
Climate Nexus | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 688 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | – | 5% |
University of Georgia | Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 | 1,028 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | - | 3% | 4%[hg] |
Zogby Analytics | Oct 28–30, 2019 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | - | – | 11% |
Hawaii
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 1–16, 2020 | November 2, 2020 | 63.5% | 30.5% | 5.9% | Biden +33.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 64.3% | 30.0% | 5.7% | Biden +34.3 |
Average | 63.8% | 30.6% | 5.6% | Biden +33.2 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 5% | 31%[hh] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,263 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 12–14, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 29% | 58% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
MRG Research/Civil Beat/HNN | Oct 2–7, 2020 | 988 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 28% | 61% | - | - | 4%[hi] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 474 (LV) | – | 33% | 66% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 362 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 356 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | - | – | 2% |
MRG Research | Jul 27–30, 2020 | 975 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 29% | 56% | - | - | 6%[hj] | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 207 (LV) | – | 30% | 67% | - | - | – | 3% |
Idaho
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 56.6% | 4.9% | Trump +18.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 909 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 58%[hk] | 40% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,799 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 761 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | - | – | 1% |
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front Archived September 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 737 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 671 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 266 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | - | – | 1% |
Illinois
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 56.3% | 37.7% | 6.0% | Biden +18.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 55.0% | 39.0% | 6.0% | Biden +16.0 |
Average | 55.7% | 38.4% | 5.9% | Biden +17.3 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 5,643 (LV) | ± 2% | 40%[hl] | 58% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 55% | - | - | 1%[hm] | 6% |
Victory Research | Oct 28 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 6% | 44% | 55% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,056 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 424 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 43% | 54% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 8,392 (LV) | – | 36% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
Victory Research | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.82% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 4% | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 6,773 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 7,565 (LV) | – | 38% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 3,000 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | - | - | – | 2% |
Indiana
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 14 - November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 51.0% | 7.0% | Trump +9.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.0% | 52.9% | 5.1% | Trump +10.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,729 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54%[hn] | 44% | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 264 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 55% | 43% | 2% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 42% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,734 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 53% | 42% | 5% | – | – |
Ragnar Research (R) | Oct 18–21, 2020 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 40% | 5% | – | 7% |
SurveyUSA/Election Twitter | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 49% | 42% | – | 3% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,367 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | – |
Change Research/IndyPolitics | Sep 3–7, 2020 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 39% | 5% | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,672 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020[ho] | 900 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 38% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,175 (LV) | – | 56% | 43% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 57% | 40% | – | – | – |
Victoria Research/Tallian for Attorney General[14][AJ] | May 21–23, 2020 | 894 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 39% | – | – | – |
Indy Politics/Change Research | Apr 10–13, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 39% | – | 5% | 3% |
Iowa
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 31 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.2% | 47.8% | 6.0% | Trump +1.6 |
Real Clear Politics | October 23 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.6% | 47.6% | 6.8% | Trump +2.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.3% | 47.6% | 6.1% | Trump +1.3 |
Average | 46.0% | 47.7% | 6.3% | Trump +1.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | Nov 1–2, 2020 | 871 (V) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – November 2, 2020 | 1,489 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51%[hp] | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Change Research | Oct 29 – November 1, 2020 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 2%[hq] | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 29 – November 1, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | – | – | 3%[hr] | 0% |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – November 1, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1%[hs] | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49%[ai] | 47% | – | – | 4% | 0% |
InsiderAdvantage/Center for American Greatness[H] | October 30, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 1% | – | – | 6% |
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | – | – | 8%[ht] | 2%[hu] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,005 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 2% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,225 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 46% | – | – | 1%[hv] | 6% |
RABA Research/WHO13 News | Oct 21–24, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Emerson College | Oct 19–21, 2020 | 435 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48%[ai] | 48% | – | – | 4%[et] | 0% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47%[o] | 47% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 4% |
45%[hw] | 49% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 4% | ||||
49%[hx] | 48% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 4% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1%[z] | 7%[hy] |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[H] | Oct 18–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 2% | – | – | 8% |
Monmouth University | Oct 15–19, 2020 | 501 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 0%[hz] | 2%[ia] | 2% |
501 (LV)[gf] | 47% | 50% | – | – | – | – | |||
501 (LV)[gg] | 46% | 51% | – | – | – | – | |||
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | – | – | 2%[ib] | 0% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[J] | Oct 5–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 46%[ai] | 47% | – | – | 3%[ic] | 4%[hy] |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 3–6, 2020 | 756 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 4%[et] | 1% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 1–5, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 50% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,276 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47%[o] | 44% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
50%[id] | 45% | – | – | – | 5% | ||||
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[AK] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
RABA Research/WHO13 News | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | – | – | 2%[ie] | 4% |
Monmouth University | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 1%[if] | 2% |
402 (LV) | 49%[gf] | 46% | 2% | – | 2%[ig] | 2% | |||
49%[gg] | 46% | 2% | – | 2%[ig] | 2% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 16–22, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.99% | 42% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1%[z] | 10%[hy] |
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | Sep 14–17, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 4%[et] | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – September 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 45% | – | – | 1%[ih] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[J] | Aug 30 – September 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 51%[ai] | 43% | 3% | 1% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 983 (LV) | – | 53% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Monmouth University | Jul 30 – August 3, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 3% | – | <1%[ii] | 3% |
401 (LV) | 48%[gf] | 46% | 2% | <1%[ij] | 3% | ||||
47%[gg] | 47% | 2% | 0%[ik] | 3% | |||||
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – August 2, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | – | 44%[o] | 42% | 3% | 1% | – | 10% |
46%[id] | 45% | – | – | – | 9% | ||||
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,095 (LV) | – | 54% | 45% | – | – | – | 1% |
RMG Research | Jul 27–30, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 40% | – | – | 7% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 1,118 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 6% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[AL] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 455 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | – | – | – | 2% |
Selzer/Des Moines Register | Jun 7–10, 2020 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 10%[il] | 3% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Jun 6–8, 2020 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | – | – | 7%[im] | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/Emily's List[AM] | Jun 3–4, 2020 | 963 (V) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling[15] | Apr 30 – May 1, 2020 | 1,222 (V) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 46% | – | – | – | 6% |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave | Apr 13–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | – | 1% | 6% |
Selzer/Des Moines Register | Mar 2–5, 2020 | 667 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 41% | – | – | – | – |
The New York Times/Siena College | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 1,689 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 5%[in] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | Dec 29–31, 2019 | 964 (V) | – | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College | Dec 7–10, 2019 | 1,043 (RV) | ± 3% | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | 6% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 25–30, 2019 | 1,435 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 44% | – | – | 3% | 5% |
Emerson College | Oct 13–16, 2019 | 888 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
WPA Intelligence (R) | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | 5% |
Emerson College | Mar 21–24, 2019 | 707 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 53% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Jan 30 – February 2, 2019 | 831 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
Kansas
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–22 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.0% | 51.7% | 5.3% | Trump +8.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.0% | 53.9% | 5.1% | Trump +12.9 |
Average | 42.0% | 52.8% | 5.2% | Trump +10.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,321 (LV) | ± 3% | 55%[io] | 44% | – | – | – |
Data For Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 41% | 3% | 2%[ip] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,442 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 47% | – | – | – |
PPP/Protect Our Care[AN] | Oct 19–20, 2020 | 897 (V) | ± 3.3% | 54% | 42% | – | – | 4% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 41% | 4% | 2%[iq] | 6%[ir] |
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC[AO] | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 2,453 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 56% | 39% | 2% | – | 3% |
Fort Hays State University | Sep 21 – Oct 1, 2020 | 306 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 52% | 38% | – | 11%[is] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,135 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | – | – | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | 42% | – | 4%[it] | 1% |
Data For Progress (D) | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48%[iu] | 42% | 3% | 1%[iv] | 7% |
49%[iw] | 45% | – | – | 6% | ||||
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC[AO] | Sep 15–16, 2020 | 794 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 922 (LV) | – | 54% | 45% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 5–9, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 41% | – | 5%[ix] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling[AP] | Aug 5–6, 2020 | 864 (V) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 43% | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,295 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 466 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – Jun 1, 2020 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 40% | – | 6%[iy] | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D) Archived May 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Apr 15–22, 2020 | 1,632 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 1,567 (V) | – | 52% | 40% | – | – | 8% |
DFM Research Archived February 10, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020 | 600 (A) | ±4% | 51% | 43% | – | 3%[cv] | 3% |
Kentucky
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–20 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 3.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.9% | 55.6% | 4.5% | Trump +15.7 |
Average | 40.0% | 56.3% | 3.7% | Trump +16.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,009 (LV) | ± 3% | 59%[iz] | 40% | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 7.4% | 55% | 42% | 4% | – | – |
Bluegrass Community & Technical College | Oct 12–28, 2020 | 250 (RV) | – | 52% | 39% | – | – | 9% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,621 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | Oct 12–15, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4% | 56% | 39% | - | 1% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,479 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | – | 1% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19, 2020 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55%[ja] | 35% | 1% | 1%[jb] | 8% |
56%[jc] | 38% | - | – | 6% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 58% | 38% | - | 1%[jd] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,231 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 909 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 41% | - | 4%[je] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 793 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 35% | - | 2%[jf] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,709 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | – | 1% |
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund[AQ] | Jul 25–29, 2020 | 3,020 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 45% | - | – | – |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[AR] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 34% | - | – | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[AS] | Jul 7–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 596 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | – | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[AS] | Jun 2020 | – (V)[bo] | – | 54% | 39% | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Data for Progress | Jun 13–15, 2020 | 898 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 37% | - | 5%[jg] | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrath[AS] | May 2020 | – (V)[bo] | – | 57% | 36% | - | – | – |
RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits[AT] | May 21–24, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 36% | - | 6%[jh] | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | May 14–15, 2020 | 1,104 (V) | – | 55% | 39% | - | 5%[jg] | 2% |
Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund[AU] | Apr 7–12, 2020[ji] | 4,000 (RV) | – | 55% | 34% | - | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 41% | - | – | 4% |
Gravis Marketing | Jun 11–12, 2019 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 57% | 37% | - | – | 6% |
Louisiana
- Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 14–27 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.0% | 56.5% | 7.5% | Trump +20.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.1% | 57.6% | 5.3% | Trump +20.6 |
Average | 36.6% | 57.1% | 6.4% | Trump +20.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,556 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62%[jj] | 36% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 378 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 57% | 39% | 4% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,633 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | – |
University of New Orleans | Oct 22, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 59% | 36% | – | – | 4% | 1% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 54% | 36% | 3% | – | 1%[jk] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,475 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[AV] | Sep 2–5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 42% | 2% | – | No voters[jl] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,587 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 13–17, 2020 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 54% | 38% | 3% | – | 1%[jk] | 4% |
ALG Research/Perkins for LA[16][AW] | Aug 6–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,998 (LV) | – | 60% | 39% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,134 (LV) | – | 60% | 37% | – | – | – | 3% |
Maine
Graphical summary (statewide)
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 6 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.8% | 40.2% | 8.0% | Biden +11.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.3% | 40.3% | 6.4% | Biden +13.0 |
Average | 53.1% | 40.3% | 7.2% | Biden +12.3 |
Statewide polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 52% | 4% | 2% | 1%[jm] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,274 (LV) | ± 4% | 42%[jn] | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 611 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43%[jo] | 54% | – | – | 2%[jp] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,995 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyUSA/FairVote | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40%[o] | 53% | 2% | 2% | 1%[jq] | 2% |
42%[jr] | 55% | – | – | 1%[js] | 2% | ||||
Colby College | Oct 21–25, 2020 | 879 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 51% | – | – | 4%[jt] | 8% |
Pan Atlantic Research | Oct 2–6, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 50% | – | – | 6%[ju] | 4% |
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Sep 25 – Oct 4, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40%[o] | 51% | 3% | 1% | 2%[jv] | 3% |
40%[jw] | 52% | – | – | 5%[jx] | 3% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 729 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 23–28, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 39%[o] | 53% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
41%[jy] | 55% | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
Colby College | Sep 17–23, 2020 | 847 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 4%[jz] | 6% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 39%[o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1%[ka] | 7% |
39%[jr] | 51% | – | – | 2%[kb] | 8% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 663 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 38%[kc] | 55% | 0% | 0% | 1%[kd] | 6%[ke] |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 10–14, 2020 | 1,183 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 38% | 59% | – | – | 0%[kf] | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 54% | – | – | 1%[kg] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 502 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
Critical Insights/Digital Research/Bangor Daily News | Jul 28 – Aug 9, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 38% | 45% | – | – | 11%[kh] | 6% |
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 6%[ki] | 4% |
RMG Research | Jul 27 – Aug 2, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 50% | – | – | 7%[kj] | 4% |
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 866 (LV) | – | 42%[o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | – | 7% |
43%[kk] | 53% | – | – | – | 4% | ||||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 733 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | – | – | – | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 962 (V) | – | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 5% |
Colby College/SocialSphere | Jul 18–24, 2020 | 888 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 50% | – | – | 5%[kl] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | Jul 2–3, 2020 | 1,022 (V) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 53% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 202 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | – | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 2–3, 2020 | 872 (V) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 52% | – | – | – | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019 | 939 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 54% | – | – | – | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 50% | – | – | – | 5% |
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Maryland
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 7–26 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 60.0% | 31.7% | 8.3% | Biden +28.3 |
Real Clear Politics | September 4 – October 24, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 60.3% | 31.0% | 8.7% | Biden +29.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 63.1% | 31.6% | 5.3% | Biden +31.4 |
Average | 61.1% | 31.4% | 7.4% | Biden +29.7 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,216 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 31%[km] | 66% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 31% | 67% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,820 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | – | – | – | – |
Gonzalez Maryland Poll | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 33% | 58% | – | – | 3%[cv] | 6% |
Goucher College | Sep 30 – Oct 4, 2020 | 776 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 30% | 61% | 2% | 2% | 3%[kn] | 2% |
Change Research/Our Voice Maryland | Sep 29 – Oct 1, 2020 | 650 (V) | ± 4.55% | 32% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,364 (LV) | – | 31% | 67% | – | – | – | 2% |
OpinionWorks | Sep 4–11, 2020 | 753 (LV) | – | 30% | 62% | – | – | 3%[cv] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,813 (LV) | – | 31% | 66% | – | – | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,911 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,175 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | – | – | – | 2% |
Gonzalez Maryland Poll | May 19–23, 2020 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 59% | – | – | – | 6% |
Goucher College | Feb 13–19, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 35% | 60% | – | – | 1%[ko] | 4%[kp] |
Massachusetts
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 65.0% | 28.7% | 6.3% | Biden +36.3 |
RealClearPolitics | July 31 – August 27, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 64.0% | 28.3% | 7.7% | Biden +35.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 64.6% | 28.9% | 6.5% | Biden +35.8 |
Average | 64.5% | 28.6% | 6.8% | Biden +35.9 |
- Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MassInc | Oct 23–30, 2020 | 929 (LV) | – | 28% | 62% | - | - | 8%[kq] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,848 (LV) | – | 28% | 70% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Oct 14–21, 2020 | 713 (LV) | – | 29% | 64% | - | - | 3%[kr] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,655 (LV) | – | 32% | 66% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,286 (LV) | – | 29% | 69% | - | - | – | 2% |
Emerson College/WHDH | Aug 25–27, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
MassINC/WBUR | Aug 6–9, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | 63% | - | - | 5%[ks] | 4% |
UMass/YouGov | Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.9% | 28% | 61% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,509 (LV) | – | 26% | 72% | - | - | – | 2% |
MassINC | Jul 17–20, 2020 | 797 (RV) | – | 23% | 55% | - | - | 10%[kt] | 12% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,091 (LV) | – | 27% | 71% | - | - | – | 2% |
Emerson College/7 News | May 4–5, 2020 | 740 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 33%[ku] | 67% | - | - | – | – |
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | Apr 27 – May 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 30% | 58% | - | - | 7%[kv] | 4% |
Emerson College | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 761 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 69% | - | - | – | – |
Michigan
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.9% | 44.4% | 5.7% | Biden +5.5 |
Real Clear Politics | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 4.2% | Biden +4.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.2% | 43.2% | 5.6% | Biden +7.9 |
Average | 50.4% | 44.5% | 5.1% | Biden +5.9 |
2020 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 4,549 (LV) | ± 2% | 46%[kw] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.01% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 413 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 45% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 654 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43%[o] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2%[kx] | – |
42%[ky] | 52% | - | - | 3%[af] | 3% | ||||
45%[kz] | 53% | - | - | 2%[la] | – | ||||
Trafalgar Group | Oct 30–31 | 1,033 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1% | 3% |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31 | 686 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 6% | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[H] | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 49% | 2% | - | – | 3% |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 1,736 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 44.5% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–30 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45%[ai] | 52% | - | - | 3%[cv] | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[AX] | Oct 29–30 | 745 (V) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 54% | 1% | 0% | – | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30 | 993 (LV) | – | 39% | 53% | - | - | 8%[lb] | – |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 23–30 | 907 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 53% | 2% | 1% | 1%[lc] | 2% |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 29 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.43% | 45% | 52% | 1% | 1% | 0%[ld] | 0% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 27–29 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44%[o] | 51% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
42%[dx] | 53% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
45%[dy] | 50% | - | - | 3% | 2% | ||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 1,212 (LV) | – | 41% | 54% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
EPIC-MRA | Oct 25–28 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 5%[le] | 6%[dw] |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 25–28 | 1,058 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 49% | 47% | 2% | - | 1%[dm] | 1% |
Kiaer Research | Oct 21–28 | 669 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 2%[lf] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 7,541 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 25–27 | 759 (LV) | ± 3.56% | 42% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 0%[lg] | 2% |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 40% | 59% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 23–26 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0%[lh] | 6%[dw] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 652 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43%[o] | 53% | 1% | 0% | 2%[kx] | – |
43%[ky] | 52% | - | - | 3%[af] | 3% | ||||
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News | Oct 23–25 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 49% | - | - | 2%[li] | 4% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 20–25 | 789 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 0% | 0%[lj] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 24 | 679 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[AY] | Oct 21–22 | 804 (V) | – | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Oct 13–21 | 681 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | 5%[lk] | – |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Fox News | Oct 17–20 | 1,032 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 2%[ll] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–20 | 686 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44%[o] | 52% | 2% | 0% | 2%[kx] | – |
44%[ky] | 51% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 1,717 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 718 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
EPIC-MRA | Oct 15–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5%[lm] | 8%[dw] |
Mitchell Research (R)/MIRS | Oct 18 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.27% | 41% | 51% | 3% | 1% | 1%[dm] | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Oct 15–18 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 45% | 3% | 2% | 2%[ah] | 2% |
Data For Progress | Oct 15–18 | 830 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
Zia Poll/Painter Communications/MIRS News | Oct 11–18 | 2,851 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 11–14 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 47% | 46% | 3% | 2% | 2%[ah] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 972 (LV) | – | 42%[al] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 8–13 | 800 (LV) | – | 42%[o] | 48% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
39%[dx] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
44%[dy] | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||||
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–13 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44%[o] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 2%[ln] | – |
43%[ky] | 51% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Oct 8–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 4%[lo] | 9%[dw] |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Oct 8–11 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 52% | - | - | 4%[lp] | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 6–11 | 614 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[lq] | 8%[dw] |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 1,710 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 827 (LV) | – | 41%[al] | 51% | 2% | 1% | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 6–9 | 1,190 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2%[lr] | 0% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[ls] | 4% |
Emerson College | Oct 6–7 | 716 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43%[ai] | 54% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[J] | Oct 3–6 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44%[ai] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 6 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 2%[r] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 676 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Glengariff Group/Detroit News | Sep 30 – Oct 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 5%[lt] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[AX] | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | 746 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 3,297 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Sep 26–28 | 1,042 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1%[dm] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 0%[lu] | 6% |
Marist College/NBC | Sep 19–23 | 799 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1% | 3% |
ALG Research/Committee to Protect Medicare[BB] | Sep 17–23 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Sep 20–22 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46.7% | 46.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2%[lv] | 3.2% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 1%[lw] | 6% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal |
Sep 10–21 | 641 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 568 (LV) | – | 43% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[BC] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Sep 14–19 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42%[o] | 48% | 1% | 0% | – | 9% |
44%[lx] | 50% | - | - | – | 6% | ||||
MRG | Sep 14–19 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | - | 8%[ly] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16 | 637 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Sep 11–15 | 517 (RV) | – | 42% | 53% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14 | 930 (LV) | ± 3.21% | 39% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0%[lu] | 9% |
EPIC-MRA | Sep 10–15 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 40% | 48% | - | - | 5%[lm] | 7%[dw] |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 50% | - | - | 1%[lz] | 5% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,455 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42%[ma] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 876 (LV) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 7%[mb] | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[17] | Sep 2–3 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44%[ai] | 53% | - | - | 3%[mc] | – |
Glengariff Group | Sep 1–3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 4%[md] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 40% | 51% | 1% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum[J] | Aug 30 – Sep 2 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 44%[ai] | 51% | 2% | 1% | 0%[me] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 2,962 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 1,424 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[AX] | Aug 28–29 | 897 (V) | – | 44% | 48% | 3% | 1% | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 809 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 14–23 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 45% | 3% | - | 1%[mf] | 4% |
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–19 | 812 (LV) | – | 38% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1%[mg] | 9% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,212 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Aug 11–15 | 600 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 413 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 761 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 5%[mh] | 6% |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[BD] | Jul 30 – Aug 4 | 1,245 (LV) | – | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research | Jul 30–31 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 3,083 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
EPIC-MRA | Jul 25–30 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 51% | 3% | - | - | 6% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[AX] | Jul 28–29 | 876 (V) | – | 43% | 49% | - | - | 6%[mi] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC[18] | Jul 24–26 | 413 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 1,320 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 21–24 | 1,156 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2%[mj] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–24 | 811 (LV) | – | 37% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2%[mk] | 10% |
CNN/SSRS | Jul 18–24 | 927 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 52% | - | - | 5%[ml] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing[19] | Jul 22 | 754 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | 7% |
Fox News | Jul 18–20 | 756 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4%[mm] | 7% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Jul 13–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 7% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[BE] | Jul 11–16 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 45% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 824 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords (D)[BF] | Jul 9–10 | 1,041 (V) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 699 (LV)[al] | – | 43% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan (D)[AX] | Jun 26–27 | 1,237 (V) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | 5%[mn] | 1% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Jun 17–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 56% | - | - | 2%[mo] | 7% |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 16–18 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 45% | 46% | - | - | 5%[lm] | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Jun 8–17 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 47% | - | - | 8%[mp] | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–16 | 826 (LV) | ± 3.41% | 36% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2%[mq] | 12% |
TargetPoint | Jun 11–16 | 1,000 (A) | – | 33% | 49% | - | - | 4%[mr] | 14% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 353 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 47% | - | - | 3%[ms] | – |
TIPP/American Greatness PAC Archived June 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[H] | Jun 9–12 | 859 (LV) | – | 38% | 51% | - | - | 4%[mt] | 7% |
Kiaer Research | May 31 – Jun 7 | 543 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 35% | 50% | - | - | 6%[mu] | 8% |
EPIC-MRA | May 31 – Jun 4 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
EPIC-MRA | May 30 – Jun 3 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 53% | - | - | – | 6%[dw] |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 620 (LV)[al] | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/Progress Michigan[AX] | May 29–30 | 1,582 (V) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 50% | - | - | 4%[mv] | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 1,325 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[BG] | May 18–19 | 1,234 (V) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/Crooked Media | May 11–17 | 3,070 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 970 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 47% | - | - | 3%[mw] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | May 1–5 | 600 (LV) | ± 3% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[BH] | Apr 28–29 | 1,270 (V) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[BI] | Apr 20–21 | 1,277 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Fox News | Apr 18–21 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 49% | - | - | 3% | 6% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Apr 15–20 | 612 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Apr 9–11 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research/CAP Action[BJ] | Apr 6–8 | 303 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | - | - | 4% | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Mar 31 – Apr 1 | 1,019 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 7% |
SPRY Strategies | Mar 30 – Apr 1 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | - | - | – | 8% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 997 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | - | - | 5% | |
Marketing Resource Group | Mar 16–20 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | - | - | 9%[mx] | 6% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) | Mar 12–16 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
AtlasIntel | Mar 7–9 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 44% | - | - | 10% | – |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8 | 566 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | - | - | 6%[my] | 7% |
Monmouth University | Mar 5–8 | 977 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 9% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 5–7 | 550 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov | Feb 11–20 | 1,249 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University Archived May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 12–18 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | - | - | 6%[mz] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 43% | 43% | - | - | – | 14% |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[20] | Jan 9–12 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | 6% |
Glengariff Group Inc. | Jan 3–7 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | 5% |
2017–2019 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 41% | 8% [na] | 5% [dw] |
Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 1,051 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 56% | – | – |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–25, 2019 | 501 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 44% | 45% | – | – |
Target Insyght | Sep 24–26, 2019 | 800 (LV) | – | 35% | 54% | – | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Sep 7–9, 2019 | 529 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | 17% | – |
EPIC-MRA | Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 51% | – | 8% |
Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 49% | 5%[nb] | 10% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 46% | 11% | – |
EPIC-MRA | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 52% | – | 7% |
Glengariff Group | May 28–30, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | – | 4% |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 42% | 45% | – | 12% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Mar 19–21, 2019 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 4% | – |
Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
Glengariff Group Archived April 22, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 53% | – | 5% |
EPIC-MRA | Apr 28–30, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 52% | – | 9% |
Zogby Analytics | Sep 2017 | 800 (V) | – | 35% | 52% | – | 13% |
Minnesota
- Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 27 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.6% | 41.8% | 6.6% | Biden +9.8 |
Real Clear Politics | October 12–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.0% | 43.7% | 8.3% | Biden +4.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 51.8% | 42.7% | 5.5% | Biden +9.2 |
Average | 50.5% | 42.7% | 6.8% | Biden +7.8 |
- Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,031 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 41%[nc] | 56% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 1%[nd] | 4% |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | 4% | 2% | 1%[ne] | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 466 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 43% | 53% | 4% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 770 (V) | – | 43% | 54% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30, 2020 | 1,138 (LV) | – | 44% | 53% | - | - | 3%[nf] | – |
St. Cloud State University | Oct 10–29, 2020 | 372 (A) | ± 6.7% | 39% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,498 (LV) | – | 42% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyUSA/KSTP/ABC6 News | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | - | - | 5%[ng] | 6% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 53% | - | - | – | 8% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,065 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 45% | 48% | 2% | - | 4%[nh] | 1% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 53% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
SurveyUSA/KSTP | Oct 16–20, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/MinnPost | Oct 12–15, 2020[ni] | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 2%[nj] | 2% |
David Binder Research/Focus on Rural America | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 41% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyUSA/ABC6 News | Oct 1–6, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | - | - | 3%[nk] | 10% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,808 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | - | – | 2% |
Suffolk University | Sep 20–24, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 4%[nl] | 6% |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11 |
Sep 21–23, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | - | - | 2% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–17, 2020 | 718 (LV) | ± 3.66% | 42% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 1%[nm] | 5% |
ABC/Washington Post | Sep 8–13, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 57% | - | - | 1%[nn] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Sep 4–13, 2020 | 643 (LV) | ± 4% | 44%[bg] | 48% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2%[no] | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 0%[np] | 5%[nq] |
SurveyUSA | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 553 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 40% | 49% | - | - | 4%[nr] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 649 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44%[bg] | 49% | - | - | – | – |
PPP | Sep 3–4, 2020 | 877 (V) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis[BK] | Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 48% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,939 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | - | - | – | 1% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 43% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 15–18, 2020 | 1,141 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 4% | - | 1%[ns] | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 733 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49%[nt] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
David Binder Research | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 200 (LV) | – | 36% | 54% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,288 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Jul 23–25, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 2% | - | 3%[nu] | 2% |
Public Policy Polling/Giffords Archived July 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[BL] | Jul 22–23, 2020 | 1,218 (V) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 52% | - | - | – | 6% |
FOX News | Jul 18–20, 2020 | 776 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 51% | - | - | 6%[nv] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 860 (LV) | – | 42% | 57% | - | - | – | 1% |
Gravis Marketing | Jun 19, 2020 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42%[nw] | 58%[nx] | - | - | – | – |
Morning Consult | May 27– Jun 5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Jason Lewis[BK] | May 26–28, 2020 | 510 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | – | – | – | 8% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 647 (LV) | – | 42% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune /MPR News/KARE 11 |
May 18–20, 2020 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | – | 7% |
Morning Consult | May 7–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 55% | - | - | – | – |
Mason-Dixon/StarTribune | Oct 14–16, 2019 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 50% | - | - | – | 12% |
Mississippi
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–27, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 40.0% | 57.0% | 3.0% | Trump +17.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 39.6% | 55.5% | 4.9% | Trump +15.9 |
Average | 39.8% | 56.3% | 3.9% | Trump +16.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,461 (LV) | ± 4% | 61%[ny] | 37% | - | - | – | – |
Data For Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 55% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 1%[nz] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 507 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 55% | 41% | - | - | 3%[oa] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,116 (LV) | – | 62% | 37% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 782 (LV) | – | 55% | 44% | - | - | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 607 (LV) | – | 61% | 36% | - | - | – | 3% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[BM] | Aug 28–30, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 40% | No voters | - | No voters[ob] | 6% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group/Mike Espy[BN] | Jul 30 – Aug 9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53%[oc] | 43% | - | - | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 733 (LV) | – | 59% | 39% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 425 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | - | - | – | 2% |
Chism Strategies (D) | Jun 2–4, 2020 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 41% | - | - | 6%[od] | 3% |
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College | Apr 8–9, 2020 | 508 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 38% | - | - | 7% | 7% |
Mason-Dixon | Feb 26–28, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 41% | - | - | – | 3% |
Missouri
- Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 13 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.7% | 51.3% | 5.0% | Trump +7.6 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.6% | 4.8% | Trump +8.0 |
Average | 43.7% | 51.5% | 4.9% | Trump +7.8 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,926 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54%[oe] | 44% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 487 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 55% | 43% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,109 (LV) | ± 3% | 52% | 43% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 1% | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 4,759 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Oct 14–15, 2020 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 45% | 1% | 1% | - | 2% |
YouGov/SLU | Sep 24 – Oct 7, 2020 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 43% | - | - | 3% | 2% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Missouri[BO] | Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 980 (LV) | ± 3% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,157 (LV) | – | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | 2% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Sep 16–17, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 53% | 45% | - | - | – | 2% |
We Ask America | Sep 1–3, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 49% | 44% | - | - | 5%[of] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,863 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | Aug 26–28, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 52% | 41% | 3% | - | 1%[og] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,261 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/Saint Louis University | Jun 23 – Jul 1, 2020 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.95% | 50% | 43% | - | - | 4% | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 868 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | - | - | – | 1% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout[BO] | Jun 16–22, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Jun 10–11, 2020 | 1,152 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | - | - | – | 6% |
We Ask America | May 26–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 48% | 44% | - | - | 3%[oh] | 5% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | – | 53% | 42% | - | - | – | 5% |
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[BP] | Jan 20–22, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 50% | 43% | - | - | – | 7% |
Remington Research Group | Sep 18–19, 2019 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 42% | - | - | – | 5% |
Remington Research Group | Apr 10–11, 2019 | 955 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | - | - | – | 6% |
Montana
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 44.8% | 50.2% | 5.0% | Trump +5.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.4% | 49.8% | 4.8% | Trump +4.4 |
Average | 45.1% | 50.0% | 4.9% | Trump +4.9 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | 2% | 1%[oi] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 4% | 52%[oj] | 46% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,471 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 48% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[BQ] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 47% | – | – | 3% |
Montana State University Billings | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 45% | 1% | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 18–20, 2020 | 758 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 2%[ok] | 3%[ol] |
Strategies 360/NBCMT | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 43% | 3% | – | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50%[om] | 46% | 2% | 4%[et] | 0% |
48%[on] | 48% | 2% | 4%[et] | 0% | ||||
52%[oo] | 44% | 2% | 4%[et] | 0% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | Oct 9–10, 2020 | 798 (V) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 46% | - | 2%[op] | 0% |
Emerson College | Oct 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 56% | 44% | – | – | – |
Data For Progress (D) | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 737 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 43% | 3% | 0%[oq] | 5% |
Montana State University Bozeman | Sep 14 – Oct 2, 2020 | 1,607 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 44% | – | 4% | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 480 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 42% | 2% | 2%[or] | 5%[ol] |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP | Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | 0%[os] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 562 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | 1% |
Expedition Strategies/House Majority PAC[BR] | Aug 22–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 44% | – | – | 7%[ol] |
Emerson College | Jul 31 – Aug 2, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54%[ot] | 46% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 527 (LV) | – | 53% | 44% | – | – | 3% |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 917 (V) | – | 50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[BS] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 42% | – | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Jul 11–13, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 45% | - | 5%[ou] | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/Election Twitter | Jul 9–10, 2020 | 1,224 (V) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 166 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | 2% |
University of Montana | Jun 17–26, 2020 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 38% | – | – | 10% |
Montana State University Bozeman | Apr 10–27, 2020 | 459 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 40% | – | 11% | 5% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | Apr 14–21, 2020 | 1,712 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 7%[ov] |
University of Montana | Feb 12–22, 2020 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | – | – | 10% |
University of Montana | Sep 26 – Oct 3, 2019 | 303 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 54% | 47% | – | – | – |
Nebraska
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.5% | 52.1% | 5.4% | Trump +9.7 |
- Statewide
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,742 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56%[ow] | 43% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,423 (LV) | – | 53% | 46% | - | - | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 799 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 53% | 47% | - | - | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 910 (LV) | – | 54% | 44% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 267 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | - | - | 2% |
- in Nebraska's 1st congressional district
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strategies 360/Kate Bolz[BT] | Jul 16–22, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – |
- in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Nevada | Oct 30 – Nov 2, 2020 | 191 (LV) | ± 7% | 44% | 50% | 5% | – | – |
Change Research | Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | 2% | 0%[ox] | 0% |
Emerson College | Oct 29–30, 2020 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48%[oy] | 50% | - | 2%[oz] | – |
FM3 Research/Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[BU] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 53% | - | 5%[pa] | – |
Siena College/NYT | Sep 25–27, 2020 | 420 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 41% | 48% | 4% | 1%[pb] | 6%[ol] |
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[BV] | Sep 14–16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 50% | - | 1%[pc] | 3%[ol] |
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[BV] | Jul 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | 2%[pd] | 3%[ol] |
GQR/Kara Eastman[BW] | Jun 30 – Jul 5, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 44% | 51% | - | – | – |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick[BX] | May 7–10, 2020 | 448 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 52% | - | – | – |
Nevada
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 16–31, 2020 | November 1, 2020 | 49.4% | 44.4% | 6.2% | Biden +5.0 |
Real Clear Politics | October 23 – November 2, 2020 | November 1, 2020 | 48.7% | 46.3% | 5.0% | Biden +2.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.7% | 44.4% | 5.9% | Biden +5.3 |
Average | 49.3% | 45.0% | 5.7% | Biden +4.3 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 49% | 48% | 1% | 1%[dm] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 2,366 (LV) | ± 3% | 49%[pe] | 49% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 1,442 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 44% | 51% | 3% | 2%[pf] | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 49% | - | 4%[pg] | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 2.98% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1%[dm] | 1% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 50% | – | – | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,333 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 49% | 3% | 2%[ph] | 4%[ol] |
BUSR/University of Nevada | Oct 16–21, Oct 23, 2020 |
809 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 50% | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 712 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 52% | - | 3%[pi] | 1% |
WPA Intelligence/Las Vegas Review-Journal/AARP | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 44% | 3% | 5%[pj] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 6–9, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 52% | - | 2%[pk] | 0% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 2–6, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 48% | 3% | 1%[pl] | 6%[ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,239 (LV) | – | 47% | 51% | - | - | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[H] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 750 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | 2%[pm] | 1% |
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR | Sep 10–25, 2020 | 641 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 46% | - | 7%[pn] | 6% |
Fox News | Sep 20–23, 2020 | 810 (LV) | ± 3% | 41% | 52% | 3% | 2%[po] | 2% |
911 (RV) | ± 3% | 40% | 50% | 3% | 3%[pp] | 4% | ||
ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)[BY] | Sep 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | – | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 8–10, 2020 | 462 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 42% | 46% | 3% | 1%[pq] | 7%[ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 998 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | – | 1% |
Qualtrics/University of Nevada/BUSR | Aug 20–30, 2020 | 682 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 44% | – | 5%[pr] | 12% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,021 (LV) | – | 52% | 47% | - | - | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 609 (LV) | – | 49% | 50% | - | - | 1% |
ALG Research/The Nevada Independent (D)[BZ] | Apr 27–30, 2020 | 763 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel | Feb 19–21, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | 15% | – |
FOX News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 1,505 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 39% | 47% | – | 9%[ps] | 4% |
FOX News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 1,506 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 40% | 47% | – | 9%[ps] | 4% |
Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2019 | 1,089 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 49% | – | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Aug 14–16, 2019 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 49% | – | – | 8% |
Emerson College | Mar 28–30, 2019 | 719 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 52% | – | – | – |
New Hampshire
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 14–29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.4% | 42.4% | 4.2% | Biden +11.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.9% | 42.8% | 3.3% | Biden +11.1 |
Average | 53.7% | 42.6% | 3.8% | Biden +11.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45%[pt] | 54% | - | – | – |
American Research Group | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 58% | 1% | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 53% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,791 (LV) | – | 44% | 55% | - | – | – |
Saint Anselm College | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | 2% | – | 2% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 757 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 53% | 2% | 1%[pu] | 2% |
University of New Hampshire | Oct 9–12, 2020 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 55% | 0% | 0%[pv] | 2% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 51% | 2% | 3%[pw] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 53% | - | 4%[et] | 2% |
Emerson College | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45%[ai] | 53% | - | 2%[px] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 637 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | – | 2% |
American Research Group | Sep 25–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 53% | 1% | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire | Sep 24–28, 2020 | 972 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 53% | 1% | 0%[pv] | 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Center for American Greatness[H] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 850 (LV) | ± 4% | 42%[ai] | 56% | - | 1%[py] | 1% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell | Sep 17–25, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44%[pz] | 52% | 1% | 2%[qa] | 1% |
44%[qb] | 53% | - | 0%[pv] | 1% | ||||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 8–11, 2020 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 2%[qc] | 7%[qd] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 444 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
Saint Anselm College | Aug 15–17, 2020 | 1,042 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | - | 4%[et] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 2% |
University of New Hampshire | Jul 16–28, 2020 | 1,893 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 40% | 53% | - | 4%[qe] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 191 (LV) | – | 39% | 61% | - | – | 1% |
University of New Hampshire | Jun 18–22, 2020 | 936 (LV) | – | 39% | 52% | - | 6%[qf] | 3% |
Saint Anselm College | Jun 13–16, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 49% | - | 5% | 3% |
University of New Hampshire | May 14–18, 2020 | 790 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | - | 5%[qg] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College | Apr 23–27, 2020 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | 2% | 7% |
University of New Hampshire | Feb 19–25, 2020 | 569 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 44% | - | 8%[qh] | 2% |
AtlasIntel | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3% | 46% | 44% | - | 11% | – |
McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal[21] | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49%[qi] | 45% | - | –[qj] | –[qj] |
Marist College/NBC News | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 51% | - | 2% | 5% |
Emerson College | Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | - | – | – |
547 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | - | – | 13% | ||
Saint Anselm College | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 51% | - | – | 6% |
Emerson College | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 53% | - | – | 7% |
Emerson College | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
American Research Group | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 53% | - | – | 8% |
New Jersey
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 9 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 56.5% | 37.3% | 6.2% | Biden +19.2 |
Real Clear Politics | September 4 – October 13, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 54.7% | 37.3% | 8.0% | Biden +17.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.4% | 37.9% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Average | 56.5% | 37.5% | 7.8% | Biden +19.0 |
- Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,870 (LV) | ± 2% | 38%[qk] | 59% | - | - | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 59% | - | - | 1%[ql] | 5% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 40% | 59% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 6,472 (LV) | – | 37% | 60% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 386 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 38% | 62% | 0% | 0% | – | – |
Rutgers-Eagleton | Oct 19–24, 2020 | 834 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 59% | - | - | 1%[qm] | 1% |
Stockton College | Oct 7–13, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 36% | 56% | - | - | – | – |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler | Oct 5–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 56% | - | - | 10%[qn] | – |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020 | 582 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 38% | 53% | - | - | 5%[qo] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,952 (LV) | – | 37% | 60% | - | - | – | 3% |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler | Sep 8–16, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 38% | 52% | - | - | 10%[qn] | – |
Emerson College | Sep 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40%[qp] | 58% | - | - | 2%[qq] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,309 (LV) | – | 40% | 57% | - | - | – | 3% |
DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler | Aug 5–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.383% | 33% | 52% | - | - | 15%[qr] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,426 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 2% |
Pollfish/DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler | Jul 7–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.383% | 33% | 51% | - | - | 7%[qs] | 8% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,110 (LV) | – | 37% | 61% | - | - | – | 3% |
Quinnipiac | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 35% | 54% | - | - | 3%[qt] | 8% |
Rutgers-Eagleton | Apr 22 – May 2, 2020 | 689 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 33% | 56% | - | - | 5%[qu] | 7% |
Monmouth University | Apr 16–19, 2020 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 54% | - | - | 2% | 6% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | Feb 12–16, 2020 | 715 (RV) | – | 35% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
New Mexico
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 6 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.5% | 40.5% | 6.0% | Biden +13.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.8% | 42.3% | 3.9% | Biden +11.5 |
Average | 53.7% | 41.4% | 4.9% | Biden +12.3 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,481 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42%[qv] | 56% | – | – | – | – |
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal | Oct 23–29, 2020 | 1,180 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 54% | – | – | 3%[qw] | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,719 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/Ben Ray Luján (D)[CA] | Oct 14–17, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 53% | 2% | – | 2%[qx] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | – | 44% | 54% | – | – | – | 1% |
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal | Aug 26 – Sep 2, 2020 | 1,123 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 39% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,087 (LV) | – | 43% | 56% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 904 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 506 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% |
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report | Jun 12–13, 2020 | 740 (V) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 53% | – | – | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling/The Majority Institute[CB] | Apr 20–21, 2020 | 1,091 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 52% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Jan 3–6, 2020 | 967 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 54% | – | – | – | – |
New York
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | April 30 – September 29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 59.7% | 31.0% | 9.3% | Biden +28.7 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 62.3% | 32.9% | 4.8% | Biden +29.4 |
Average | 61.0% | 32.0% | 7.1% | Biden +29.1 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 6,548 (LV) | ± 2% | 35%[qy] | 63% | – | – | – | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 34% | 64% | - | - | 2%[qz] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 10,220 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | – |
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 495 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 33% | 65% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 10,007 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Siena College | Sep 27–29, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 29% | 61% | 0% | 1% | 2%[ra] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 9,969 (LV) | – | 34% | 64% | - | - | – | 2% |
Public Policy Polling | Aug 20–22, 2020 | 1,029 (V) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 63% | - | - | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 10,280 (LV) | – | 34% | 63% | - | - | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 4,555 (LV) | – | 33% | 65% | - | - | – | 2% |
Siena College | Jun 23–25, 2020 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 32% | 57% | - | - | – | 10% |
Siena College | May 17–21, 2020 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 32% | 57% | - | - | – | 11% |
Quinnipiac University | Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 32% | 55% | - | - | 5%[rb] | 8% |
Siena College | Apr 19–23, 2020 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 29% | 65% | - | - | – | 6% |
Siena College | Mar 22–26, 2020 | 566 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 33% | 58% | - | - | – | 10% |
Siena College | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 658 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 55% | - | - | – | 5% |
North Carolina
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 31 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.8% | 47.5% | 4.7% | Biden +0.3 |
Real Clear Politics | October 26 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 47.6% | 47.8% | 4.6% | Trump +0.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.9% | 47.1% | 4.0% | Biden +1.8 |
Average | 48.1% | 47.5% | 4.4% | Biden +0.6 |
June 1 – October 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 5,363 (LV) | ± 2% | 48%[rc] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 | 473 (LV) | ± 4.51% | 47% | 49% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 690 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 52% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48%[o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 2%[rd] | – |
48%[re] | 49% | - | - | 3%[af] | 1% | ||||
48%[rf] | 50% | - | - | 2%[dt] | – | ||||
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[rg] | – |
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[CC] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 676 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | - | - | 3% | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[H] | Oct 30–31, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 44% | 2% | - | – | 7% |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31, 2020 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47%[ai] | 47% | - | - | 6%[rh] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31, 2020 | 1,982 (LV) | ± 2% | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
CNN/SSRS | Oct 23–30, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 51% | 2% | 1% | 1%[ri] | 1% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 28–29, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | 2%[dt] | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 27–29, 2020 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 47% | 3% | - | 1%[dm] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 1,489 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill | Oct 26–29, 2020 | 903 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | - | - | – | 3% |
East Carolina University | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 1,103 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48%[ai] | 50% | - | - | 2%[rj] | 0%[rk] |
Cardinal Point Analytics (R)/NSJ | Oct 27–28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 2%[rl] | 2% |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 25–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2% | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,720 (LV) | – | 47% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 4% |
Public Policy Polling/Protect Our Care[CD] | Oct 26–27, 2020 | 937 (V) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
Meeting Street Insights/Carolina Partnership for Reform (R) | Oct 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 23–27, 2020 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 0%[dv] | 4%[ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 21–27, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48%[o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1%[rm] | – |
48%[re] | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 1% | ||||
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 24–26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47%[o] | 48% | - | - | 3%[rn] | 2% |
46%[dx] | 50% | - | - | 3%[rn] | 2% | ||||
49%[dy] | 47% | - | - | 3%[rn] | 2% | ||||
Swayable | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 396 (LV) | ± 6.8% | 48% | 50% | 2% | 0% | – | – |
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 2% |
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Oct 20–26, 2020 | 911 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 1%[ro] | 2% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | Oct 22–25, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.37% | 46% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0%[rp] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Oct 20–23, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 51% | – | – | 2%[rq] | 0% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 20–22, 2020 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48.8% | 46% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.8%[rr] | 1.7% |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20, 2020 | 1000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 50% | 1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 3.6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 20–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 14–20, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47%[o] | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1%[rm] | – |
46%[re] | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 2% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20, 2020 | 1,904 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Meredith College | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 0%[rs] | 4% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19, 2020 | 521 (LV)[al] | – | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
East Carolina University | Oct 15–18, 2020 | 1,155 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47%[ai] | 51% | - | - | 2%[rt] | 0% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 646 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48%[o] | 49% | 1% | 0%[rk] | 0%[ru] | 1% |
48%[rv] | 50% | - | - | 0%[ru] | 1% | ||||
Emerson College | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49%[ai] | 49% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 11–14, 2020 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13, 2020 | 994 (LV) | – | 46%[al] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 9–13, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1%[rw] | 8%[ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 7–13, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48%[o] | 48% | 2% | 0% | 1%[rm] | – |
47%[re] | 48% | - | - | 3%[af] | 3% | ||||
Monmouth University | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 3% | 0% | 0%[rx] | 2% |
500 (LV)[ry] | 46% | 50% | - | - | 2% | 2% | |||
500 (LV)[rz] | 48% | 49% | - | - | 2% | 1% | |||
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV | Oct 8–11, 2020 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 3% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc./American Greatness PAC[H] | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 48% | 2% | - | 1%[sa] | 4% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | Oct 7–11, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 45%[o] | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
43%[dx] | 49% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
47%[dy] | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11, 2020 | 1,993 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CCES | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2020 | 1,627 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 750 (LV) | – | 42%[al] | 49% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 938 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0%[lu] | 5% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 6, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2%[r] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 4–5, 2020 | 911 (V) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 3% |
Data For Progress (D) | Sep 30 - Oct 5, 2020 | 1,285 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | 2% | 0% | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 396 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
East Carolina University | Oct 2–4, 2020 | 1,232 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 50% | - | - | 2%[sb] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 3,495 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
ALG Research/Piedmont Rising[CE] | Sep 22–28, 2020 | 822 (V) | – | 47% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[CF] | Sep 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–26, 2020 | 1,097 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 22–25, 2020 | 1,213 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 48% | - | - | 2%[sc] | 4% |
YouGov/UMass Lowell | Sep 18–25, 2020 | 921 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47%[o] | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[sd] | 2% |
49%[se] | 48% | - | - | 2%[sf] | 2% | ||||
Meredith College | Sep 18–22, 2020 | 705 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1%[sg] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20, 2020 | 579 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 0%[rs] | 8% |
Emerson College | Sep 16–18, 2020 | 717 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49%[ai] | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0%[dv] | 8%[ol] |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 3%[af] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–15, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 0%[lu] | 5% |
Suffolk University/USA Today | Sep 11–14, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 42.8% | 46.2% | 4.8% | 0.2% | 1.8%[sh] | 4.2% |
SurveyUSA/WRAL TV | Sep 10–13, 2020 | 596 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 5% |
CNN/SSRS | Sep 9–13, 2020 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0%[si] | 2% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | Aug 29 – Sep 13, 2020 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 45% | - | - | 4%[sj] | 9% |
Trafalgar | Sep 9–11, 2020 | 1,046 (LV) | ± 3% | 47.8% | 46.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.5%[sk] | 2.5% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[22] | Sep 7–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 49%[ai] | 48% | - | - | 3%[sl] | – |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8, 2020 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 48% | - | - | 1%[sm] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 | 1,592 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 47%[sn] | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6, 2020 | 442 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | 4%[so] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.18% | 44% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 9% |
Monmouth University | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 1%[sp] | 3% |
401 (LV)[sq] | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
401 (LV)[sr] | 46% | 48% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
Fox News | Aug 29 – Sep 1, 2020 | 722 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0%[ss] | 2% |
804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 2%[st] | 3% | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,914 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | - | - | – | 2% |
East Carolina University | Aug 29–30, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 47% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 3% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30, 2020 | 1,567 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23, 2020 | 560 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Aug 14–23, 2020 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – | 1%[dm] | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–17, 2020 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.09% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16, 2020 | 1,493 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
East Carolina University | Aug 12–13, 2020 | 1,255 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 3%[su] | 4% |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10, 2020 | 673 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51%[sv] | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Harper Polling/Civitas | Aug 6–10, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 1%[sg] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9, 2020 | 493 (LV) | – | 48% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[H] | Aug 6–8, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48%[al] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Data for Progress | Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 | 1,170 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
44% | 46% | 2% | 1% | – | 7% | ||||
Public Policy Polling/Giffords[CG] | Jul 30–31, 2020 | 934 (V) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 28–31, 2020 | 1,129 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 48% | – | – | 2%[sw] | 5% |
HIT Strategies/DFER[CH] | Jul 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 47% | – | – | 4%[sx] | 10%[ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 3,466 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC[23] | Jul 24–26, 2020 | 284 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26, 2020 | 1,504 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[F] | Jul 23–24, 2020 | 884 (V) | – | 46% | 49% | – | – | – | 5% |
Cardinal Point Analytics Archived July 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 22–24, 2020 | 735 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 47% | 1% | – | – | 4% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23, 2020 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 44% | 4% | 1% | – | 11% |
Marist College/NBC News | Jul 14–22, 2020 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 51% | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–21, 2020 | 919 (LV) | – | 42% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[CI] | Jul 11–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | 5% |
Cardinal Point Analytics | Jul 13–15, 2020 | 547 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 48% | 1% | – | – | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12, 2020 | 655 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Jul 7–8, 2020 | 818 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | – | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,498 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | - | - | – | 1% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28, 2020 | 468 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 51% | – | – | – | – |
East Carolina University | Jun 22–25, 2020 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 45% | – | – | 7%[sy] | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 22–23, 2020 | 1,157 (V) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | 6% |
Fox News | Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3% | 45% | 47% | – | – | 5%[sz] | 3% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Jun 8–18, 2020 | 653 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 40% | 49% | – | – | 4%[ta] | 7% |
Gravis Marketing/OANN | Jun 17, 2020 | 631 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 43% | – | – | – | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–17, 2020 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.26% | 40% | 46% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14, 2020 | 378 (LV)[al] | – | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling[24] | Jun 2–3, 2020 | 913 (V) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | – | – | – | 6% |
January 1, 2020 – May 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31, 2020 | 806 (LV) | – | 45% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
Harper Polling/Civitas | May 26–28, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26, 2020 | 1,403 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | – | – |
Neighbourhood Research & Media | May 12–21, 2020 | 391 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14, 2020 | 859 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 45% | 3%[tb] | 8% |
Meeting Street Insights (R) Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | May 9–13, 2020 | 500 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
East Carolina University | May 7–9, 2020 | 1,111 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 7%[tc] | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 2–4, 2020 | 1,362 (RV) | ± 3% | 46% | 49% | 4%[td] | 2% |
Meredith College | Apr 27–28, 2020 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 47% | 5%[te] | 7% |
SurveyUSA | Apr 23–26, 2020 | 580 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 50% | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling[CJ] | Apr 20–21, 2020 | 1,275 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | – | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang/Put NC First (D) | Apr 13–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | – | – |
GBAO Strategies/PLUS Paid Family Leave | Apr 13–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | 1% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | Apr 14–15, 2020 | 1,318 (V) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
Harper Polling | Apr 5–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | – | 9% |
East Carolina University | Feb 27–28, 2020 | 1,288 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 48% | – | – |
NBC News/Marist College | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 2,120 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 2,366 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 49% | – | 6% |
Climate Nexus | Feb 11–15, 2020 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 46% | – | 11% |
January 1, 2018 – December 31, 2019
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 1,504 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | – | – |
East Carolina University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 2–9, 2019 | 1,076 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% | –[tf] |
Meredith College | Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019 | 996 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 35% | 20%[tg] | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 4–6, 2019 | 963 (V) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 51% | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,113 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 49% | – | 10% |
Harper Polling | Aug 1–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | – | 11% |
Fabrizio Ward/AARP | Jul 29–31, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling | Jun 17–18, 2019 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | – | 5% |
Emerson College | May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 | 932 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 56% | – | – |
Spry Strategies (R)[CK] | May 25 – Jun 1, 2019 | 730 (LV) | – | 52% | 41% | – | 7% |
Harper Polling | Feb 11–13, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling | Jan 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 49% | – | 7% |
Meredith College | Jan 21–25, 2018 | 621 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 8% | 1% |
North Dakota
Graphical summary
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 19, 2020 | 38.0% | 57.5% | 4.5% | Trump +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.7% | 56.0% | 5.3% | Trump +17.3 |
Average | 38.4% | 56.8% | 4.8% | Trump +18.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 7% | 59%[th] | 39% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 700 (LV) | – | 57% | 42% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 249 (LV) | – | 63% | 34% | – | – | 3% |
DFM Research/North Dakota Voters First | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 460 (A) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 37% | – | 4%[ti] | 7% |
DFM Research/North Dakota Voters First | Sep 12–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 56% | 37% | – | 3%[tj] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 269 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 261 (LV) | – | 63% | 36% | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 88 (LV) | – | 71% | 28% | – | – | 1% |
DFM Research | Mar 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 38% | – | 2% | 5% |
DFM Research | Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 | 600 (A) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 34% | – | 2% | 5% |
1892 Polling/Doug Burgum[CL] | Jul 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | 34% | – | – | – |
DFM Research | May 14–18, 2019 | 400 (A) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 39% | – | 2% | 5% |
Ohio
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | November 1–2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.7% | 47.6% | 5.7% | Trump +0.9 |
Real Clear Politics | October 28, 2020 – November 1, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.3% | 47.3% | 6.4% | Trump +1.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.6% | 47.5% | 5.7% | Trump +0.8 |
Average | 46.6% | 47.5% | 5.9% | Trump +0.9 |
June 1, 2020 – October 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 6,025 (LV) | ± 2% | 51%[tk] | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | – | 3%[ac] | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 4% |
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 516 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 52% | 47% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 1,136 (LV) | ± 3% | 49% | 48% | – | – | 1%[dm] | 1% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 1,440 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 47% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 8% |
Survey Monkey/Tableau | Oct 20 – Nov 1 | 5,305 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | – | – | – | |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 30–31 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 49% | 44% | – | – | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–31 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49%[ai] | 50% | – | – | 2%[ah] | – |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 2,179 (LV) | ± 2% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 29–30 | 660 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 3% | – |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 27–28 | 613 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 8,089 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27 | 1,186 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 48% | – | – | 1%[dm] | 8% |
Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 440 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 55% | 44% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
Fox News | Oct 17–20 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 1%[tl] | 3% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 2,271 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2%[dt] | 4% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 8–12 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Oct 8–11 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 47% | – | – | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 2,283 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 49% | 46% | – | – | – | – |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,009 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 0% | 1%[tm] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 2–6 | 661 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0%[tn] | 7%[to] |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 1–3 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 48% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 1%[dm] | 4% |
YouGov/CBS | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,114 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 47% | – | – | 1%[tp] | 5% |
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum[J] | Sep 28 – Oct 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 0%[tq] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 4,012 (LV) | – | 51% | 47% | – | – | – | 2% |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[CM] | Sep 24–27 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 47% | – | – | – | – |
Fox News | Sep 20–23 | 830 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 0%[tr] | 2% |
907 (RV) | ± 3% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 2% | 2%[ts] | 3% | ||
Quinnipiac University | Sep 17–21 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% | 48% | – | – | 2% | 4% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 1%[tm] | 7% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Sep 11–15 | 556 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48%[tt] | 45% | – | – | 5%[tu] | 1% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 1,963 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 50%[tv] | 45% | – | – | – | – |
OnMessage Inc./American Action Forum[J] | Aug 31 – Sep 3 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 51% | 45% | – | – | 2%[ts] | 3% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[25] | Sep 1–2 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 47%[ai] | 51% | – | – | 3%[ac] | – |
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute[CN] | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 3,220 (LV) | – | 51% | 48% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 1,811 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 50% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Aug 13–17 | 631 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | – | 4%[tw] | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,744 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 49% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
TargetSmart/Progress Ohio[CO] | Jul 28 – Aug 3 | 1,249 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 8%[tx] | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 3,694 (LV) | – | 52% | 46% | – | – | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 1,741 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 48% | 45% | – | – | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Jul 21–24 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 2%[ty] | 7% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 1% | – | 11% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/AGPAC Archived July 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[H] | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 50% | – | – | 2%[dt] | 2% |
University of Akron | Jun 24 – Jul 15 | 1,037 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 6%[tz] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 1,610 (LV) | – | 50% | 49% | – | – | – | 1% |
Quinnipiac | Jun 18–22 | 1,139 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 46% | – | – | 4%[ua] | 5% |
Fox News | May 30 – Jun 2 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 45% | – | – | 6%[ub] | 6% |
January 1, 2020 – May 31, 2020
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 1,720 (LV) | – | 50% | 42% | – | – | |
Emerson College | May 8–10 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51%[uc] | 49% | – | – | |
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Apr 20–25 | 797 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 45% | – | 11% | |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% | |
Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | – | 5% | |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College | Mar 10–13 | 1,710 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 5% |
January 1, 2018 – December 31, 2019
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | Oct 10–11, 2019 | 776 (V) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
Climate Nexus[ud] | Oct 1–7, 2019 | 1112 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
42% | 48% | – | 10% | ||||
Emerson College | Sep 29 – October 2, 2019 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University Archived July 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Jul 17–22, 2019 | 1,431 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 50% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling | Nov 27–28, 2018 | 648 (V) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% |
Oklahoma
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 17–21, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 38.5% | 58.5% | 3.0% | Trump +20.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 59.2% | 4.6% | Trump +23.0 |
Average | 37.4% | 58.9% | 3.7% | Trump +21.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,902 (LV) | ± 3% | 65%[ue] | 35% | – | ||
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 3,191 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – |
SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6 | Oct 15–20, 2020 | 5,466 (LV) | ± 1.33% | 59% | 37% | 1% | 2%[uf] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,174 (LV) | – | 63% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
Amber Integrated | Sep 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 55% | 33% | 1% | 5%[ug] | 6% |
SoonerPoll/News9[26] | Sep 2–8, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 60% | 35% | – | 1%[uf] | 4% |
SoonerPoll | Aug 13–31, 2020 | 379 (LV) | ± 5.03% | 60% | 35% | – | 2%[uh] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,009 (LV) | – | 64% | 35% | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,410 (LV) | – | 64% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US Senate[CP] | Jul 29–30, 2020 | 572 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 36% | – | 5%[ui] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 591 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | 1% |
Amber Integrated | Jun 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 36% | – | 4%[uj] | 5% |
Amber Integrated | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 33% | – | 4% | 5% |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/OK Sooner |
Feb 10–13, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 62% | 34% | – | – | 4% |
Oregon
Graphical summary
Polls
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | 58.0% | 38.5% | 3.5% | Biden +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.7% | 37.4% | 3.9% | Biden +21.3 |
Average | 58.4% | 38.0% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Pacific Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,543 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 39%[uk] | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.3% | 37% | 60% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,422 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,109 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 944 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 56% | – | – | 3%[ul] | 2% |
DHM Research | Sep 3–8, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 51% | – | – | 6%[um] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,648 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,890 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 872 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | – | – | – | 2% |
Pennsylvania
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 22 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 49.4% | 45.7% | 4.9% | Biden +3.7 |
Real Clear Politics | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 48.7% | 47.5% | 3.8% | Biden +1.2 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 50.2% | 45.6% | 4.2% | Biden +4.6 |
Average | 49.4% | 46.3% | 4.3% | Biden +3.1 |
2020 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | Nov 1–2 | 499 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49%[ai] | 48% | 1% | - | 0%[un] | 0% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2 | 6,045 (LV) | ± 2% | 47%[uo] | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47%[ai] | 50% | - | - | 1%[up] | – |
Research Co. | Oct 31 – Nov 1 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 4% |
AYTM/Aspiration | Oct 30 – Nov 1 | 340 (LV) | – | 49% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.71% | 46% | 50% | 2% | - | – | 2% |
Marist College/NBC | Oct 29 – Nov 1 | 772 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Monmouth University | Oct 28 – Nov 1 | 502(RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 0%[uq] | 4% |
502 (LV) | 44%[ur] | 51% | - | - | – | – | |||
45%[us] | 50% | - | - | – | – | ||||
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,107 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 50% | 2% | - | – | – |
Data for Progress | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 1,417 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 52% | 2% | 0% | 0%[ut] | – |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 27 – Nov 1 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45%[o] | 51% | 1% | 1% | 2%[uu] | – |
44%[uv] | 51% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
46%[uw] | 52% | - | - | 2%[dt] | – | ||||
Trafalgar | Oct 30–31 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.93% | 48% | 46% | 2% | - | 1%[dm] | 4% |
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[CQ] | Oct 30–31 | 879 (LV) | ± 3% | 48% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[H] | Oct 30–31 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48.7% | 47.4% | 1.3% | - | – | 2.6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 26–31 | 1,862 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 49% | 2% | - | 0%[dv] | 5%[ol] |
Morning Consult | Oct 22–31 | 2,686 (LV) | ± 2% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Oct 29–30 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47%[ai] | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
AtlasIntel | Oct 29–30 | 672 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 49% | - | - | 2% | – |
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart | Oct 25–30 | 998 (LV) | – | 42% | 56% | - | - | 2%[ux] | – |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[CR] | Oct 28–29 | 1,012 (V) | – | 45% | 52% | - | - | – | 3% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 26–29 | 2,125 (LV) | – | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1% | 3% |
Harvard-Harris/The Hill | Oct 26–29 | 901 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 3% |
ABC/Washington Post | Oct 24–29 | 824 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | 3% | - | 0%[uy] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Oct 23–28 | 419 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 49% | - | - | 4%[uz] | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28 | 10,599 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | - |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 29, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 25–27 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45%[o] | 51% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
44%[dx] | 52% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
47%[dy] | 49% | - | - | 2% | 2% | ||||
Quinnipiac University | Oct 23–27 | 1,324 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 4% |
Swayable | Oct 23–26 | 491 (LV) | ± 6% | 46% | 52% | 2% | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Oct 23–26 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 20–26 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44%[o] | 51% | 3% | 0% | 1%[va] | – |
45%[uv] | 50% | - | - | 3%[af] | 2% | ||||
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[H] | Oct 25 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48.5% | 45.5% | 3.3% | - | – | 2.8% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 24–25 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.91% | 48% | 48% | 2% | - | 1%[dm] | 1% |
Wick Surveys | Oct 24–25 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 47% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College | Oct 19–25 | 558 (LV) | ± 5% | 44% | 50% | 2% | - | 1%[vb] | 3% |
Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research |
Oct 17–25 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.64% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | Oct 23 | 602 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[CS] | Oct 21–22 | 980 (V) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Oct 17–21 | 1,577 (A) | 3% | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Oct 13–21 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 3%[vc] | – |
Citizen Data | Oct 17–20 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 44% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
CNN/SSRS[permanent dead link] | Oct 15–20 | 843 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 53% | 2% | - | 1%[vd] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Archived November 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 13–20 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2%[ve] | 4% |
Morning Consult | Oct 11–20 | 2,563 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Fox News | Oct 18–19 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 45% | 50% | 1% | - | 1%[vf] | 2% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Oct 18–19 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 3% |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 16–19 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 51% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 16–19 | 574 (LV)[al] | – | 47% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Suffolk University/USA Today[27] | Oct 15–19 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 4%[vg] | 4% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 13–19 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45%[o] | 49% | 2% | 0% | 3%[vh] | – |
45%[uv] | 49% | - | - | 3%[af] | 4% | ||||
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Oct 13–15 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 46% | 48% | 3% | - | 2%[ah] | 2% |
HarrisX/The Hill | Oct 12–15 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 46% | 51% | - | - | – | – |
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness Archived October 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[H] | Oct 12–13 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 2% | - | – | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 10–13 | 1,289 (LV) | – | 43%[al] | 51% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 10–12 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 45% | 47% | 3% | - | 3%[cv] | 2% |
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 7–12 | 800 (LV) | – | 43%[o] | 49% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% |
42%[dx] | 50% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
45%[dy] | 47% | 1% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Oct 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 2%[ah] | 1% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Oct 6–11 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45%[o] | 51% | 1% | 0% | 2%[vi] | – |
44%[uv] | 51% | - | - | 1%[vj] | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | Oct 2–11 | 2,610 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 9–10 | 1,145 (LV) | – | 44%[al] | 49% | 1% | - | – | – |
Whitman Insight Strategies | Oct 5–9 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 3% |
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 30 – Oct 8 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 0% | 0%[vk] | 4% |
YouGov/CCES Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 29 – Oct 7 | 2,703 (LV) | – | 44% | 52% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Oct 4–6 | 927 (LV) | ± 3.22% | 42% | 49% | 1% | - | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Emerson College | Oct 4–5 | 688 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47%[ai] | 51% | - | - | 2%[ah] | – |
Quinnipiac University | Oct 1–5 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 54% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 3% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 29 – Oct 5 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 2%[r] | 3% |
Change Research/CNBC | Oct 2–4 | 468 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Monmouth University | Sep 30 – Oct 4 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 54% | 1% | - | 0%[uq] | 2% |
500 (LV) | 43%[ur] | 54% | - | - | – | – | |||
45%[us] | 53% | - | - | – | – | ||||
YouGov/CBS | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 1,287 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 2%[vl] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 30 – Oct 2 | 706 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 49% | 3% | - | 0%[dv] | 5%[ol] |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30 | 4,613 (LV) | – | 46% | 52% | - | - | – | 2% |
ABC News/Washington Post | Sep 21–26 | 567 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 54% | - | - | 0%[vm] | 1% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Sep 25–27 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 49% | 2% | - | 0%[dv] | 8%[ol] |
TIPP/The Federalist | Sep 24–26 | 774 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1%[vn] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 23–25 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.08% | 44% | 50% | 0% | – | 1%[aw] | 5% |
Fox News | Sep 20–23 | 856 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 51% | 2% | – | 1%[vf] | 2% |
910 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | 2% | – | 2%[vo] | 3% | ||
Baldwin Wallace University | Sep 9–22 | 1,012 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 0% | 1%[vp] | 5% |
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Sep 18–21 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 2%[ah] | 2% |
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research Center/Wisconsin State Journal |
Sep 10–21 | 642 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 18–20 | 579 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College | Sep 14–20 | 480 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[permanent dead link][CT] | Sep 17–19 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 53% | - | - | – | – |
CPEC[CU] | Sep 15–17 | 830 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 45% | 50% | - | - | 1%[vq] | 4% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | Sep 15–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2%[ah] | 2% |
Ipsos/Reuters | Sep 11–16 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 2%[r] | 4% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Sep 11–15 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 52% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 2% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Sep 12–14 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3.04% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 0%[vr] | 5% |
Climate Nexus | Sep 8–11 | 659 (RV) | ± 4% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 3%[vs] | 6% |
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP | Aug 28 – Sep 8 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 49% | - | - | 1%[vt] | 4% |
Marist College/NBC News | Aug 31 – Sep 7 | 771 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 53% | - | - | 1% | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 29 – Sep 7 | 2,227 (LV) | ± (2%-4%) | 45%[vu] | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Sep 4–6 | 829 (LV) | – | 46% | 50% | - | - | 4%[vv] | – |
TargetSmart Archived October 4, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 3–6 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3% | 3% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | Aug 26 – Sep 4 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 44% | - | - | 6%[vw] | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Aug 30 – Sep 3 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.02% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 7% |
Quinnipiac Archived September 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Aug 28 – Sep 1 | 1,235 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 52% | - | - | 1%[dm] | 3% |
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute[CV] | Aug 26 – Sep 1 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Monmouth University | Aug 28–31 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1%[vx] | 4% |
400 (LV) | 46%[vy] | 49% | - | - | 2% | 3% | |||
47%[vz] | 48% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Aug 26–31 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31 | 3,531 (LV) | – | 45% | 53% | - | - | – | 2% |
Morning Consult | Aug 21–30 | 2,158 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 45% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports | Aug 25–27 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 48%[wa] | 48% | - | - | 4%[wb] | – |
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[CW] | Aug 20–24 | 971 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 52% | - | - | – | 5% |
Franklin & Marshall College | Aug 17–24 | 681 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 42%[ai] | 50% | - | - | 3%[wc] | 7% |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 21–23 | 984 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | – |
Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020 /League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club[CX] |
Aug 13–19 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42%[o] | 50% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% |
43%[wd] | 53% | - | - | – | 4% | ||||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | Aug 16–17 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 1%[aw] | 8% |
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[BA] | Aug 13–17 | 617 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | 3%[cv] | 1% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Aug 11–17 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | - | - | 3%[we] | 3% |
Morning Consult | Aug 7–16 | 1,777 (LV) | ± (2%–4%) | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Emerson College | Aug 8–10 | 843 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47%[wf] | 53% | - | - | – | – |
Change Research/CNBC | Aug 7–9 | 456 (RV) | – | 44% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
YouGov/CBS | Aug 4–7 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 49% | - | - | 3%[wg] | 5% |
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[CY] | Aug 2–4 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 50% | - | - | – | 4% |
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 742 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2%[wh] | 5% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31 | 4,208 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC[28] | Jul 24–26 | 382 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Franklin & Marshall College | Jul 20–26 | 667 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 41% | 50% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 6% |
Morning Consult | Jul 17–26 | 2,092 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[29] | Jul 22–24 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | - | - | – | 8% |
Zogby Analytics | Jul 21–23 | 809 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 44% | 4% | 2% | - | 8% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Jul 17–22 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jul 19–21 | 1,016 (LV) | – | 41% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 2%[wi] | 8% |
Fox News | Jul 18–20 | 793 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 50% | - | - | 5%[wj] | 6% |
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC Archived July 31, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[H] | Jul 15–16 | 750 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 51% | - | - | 2%[dt] | 1% |
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[CZ] | Jul 11–16 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | - | - | – | 5% |
Monmouth University | Jul 9–13 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 53% | - | - | 3%[wk] | 4% |
401 (LV) | 42%[vy] | 52% | - | - | 3% | 3% | |||
44%[vz] | 51% | - | - | 2% | 3% | ||||
Change Research/CNBC | Jul 10–12 | 743 (LV) | – | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Trafalgar Group | Jun 29 – Jul 2 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 43% | 48% | - | - | 6%[wl] | 3% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30 | 2,184 (LV) | – | 48% | 50% | - | - | – | 2% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 26–28 | 760 (LV)[al] | – | 44% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43 | Jun 15–23 | 715 (LV) | – | 41% | 46% | - | - | 5% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Jun 14–16 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.92% | 39% | 49% | 1% | 1% | 1%[wm] | 9% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Jun 8–16 | 651 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 50% | - | - | 3%[wn] | 6% |
Change Research/CNBC | Jun 12–14 | 491 (LV)[al] | – | 46% | 49% | - | - | 3%[wo] | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Jun 8–11 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | - | - | – | 4% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Jun 6–11 | 1,221 (A) | 3.6% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | May 30 – Jun 2 | 2,045 (A) | 2.4% | 46% | 49% | - | - | – | 5% |
Change Research/CNBC | May 29–31 | 579 (LV)[al] | – | 50% | 46% | - | - | 2% | 2% |
Morning Consult | May 17–26 | 2,120 (LV) | – | 44%[al] | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | May 10–14 | 963 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 48% | - | - | 2%[wp] | 11% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[AZ] | May 9–13 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | - | - | – | 4% |
Harper Polling (R) Archived May 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Apr 21–26 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | - | - | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling[DA] | Apr 20–21 | 1,251 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | - | - | – | 5% |
Fox News | Apr 18–21 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 50% | - | - | – | – |
Ipsos | Apr 15–20 | 578 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Suquehanna Research/Fox 43 | Apr 14–20 | 693 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | - | - | – | – |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Apr 16–18 | 600 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Apr 4–8 | 1,912 (A) | 2.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | – | 6% |
Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes | Mar 17–25 | 973 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | 9% |
Change Research | Mar 21–23 | 510 (LV) | – | 50% | 47% | - | - | – | 4% |
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[AZ] | Mar 19–21 | 600 (RV) | – | 47% | 45% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Mar 14–18 | 1,589 (A) | 2.7% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8 | 725 (RV) | – | 40% | 46% | - | - | 5%[wq] | 8% |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 5–7 | 533 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 44% | - | - | – | – |
Civiqs/Dan Hopkins | Feb 27 – Mar 3 | 2,462 (A) | 2.2% | 48% | 46% | - | - | – | 7% |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Feb 12–20 | 424 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 47% | - | - | 2% | 4% |
YouGov | Feb 11–20 | 1,171 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | - | - | – | – |
Quinnipiac University Archived May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Feb 12–18 | 849 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | - | 6%[wr] | 3% |
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute | Feb 6–18 | 500 (RV) | – | 42% | 47% | - | - | – | 11% |
2017–2019 polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[di] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived December 9, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Dec 3–5, 2019 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 41% | 8%[ws] | 6%[ol] |
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | Nov 4–9, 2019 | 410 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 43% | 52% | 4% | 2% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | Oct 13–25, 2019 | 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 46% | – | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Sep 7–9, 2019 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 45% | 14% | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | Jun 11–13, 2019 | 565 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 43% | 15% | – |
Quinnipiac University | May 9–14, 2019 | 978 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 53% | 1% | 3% |
WPA Intelligence | Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 45% | 46% | – | 8% |
Emerson College | Mar 26–28, 2019 | 808 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 55% | – | – |
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Archived April 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine | Mar 19–21, 2019 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 50% | 4% | – |
Rhode Island
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump |
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