2020 United States presidential election in Virginia

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Virginia
Flag of Virginia.svg
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout75.08 Increase 5.8 pp[1]
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 13 0
Popular vote 2,413,568 1,962,430
Percentage 54.11% 44.00%
Virginia Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County and independent city results
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Virginia
Federal government
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State government
Governor
Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Senate
House of Delegates
State elections
Ballot measures
Statewide
Fairfax County
2016
Alexandria
Mayor
(List)
Hampton
Mayor
Henrico County
Commonwealth's Attorney
Norfolk
Mayor
Richmond
Mayor
City Council
Virginia Beach
Mayor
City Council

The 2020 United States presidential election in Virginia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state Biden would win, or a likely blue state. On the day of the election, Biden won Virginia with 54.11% of the vote, and by a margin of 10.11%, the best performance for a Democratic presidential candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944.[4] Biden became the first Democratic nominee to win Chesterfield County and Lynchburg City since 1948, Virginia Beach City since 1964, James City County since 1968, and Stafford County since 1976.[5] He also flipped Chesapeake City back to the Democratic Party. Trump flipped no counties or independent cities in the state. Nevertheless, Biden became the first Democrat since 1992 to win without Buckingham County, and the first since 1960 to win without Westmoreland County, a notable bellwether.

The diversification of Northern Virginia as well as sliding suburban support for Republicans allowed Biden to win the once-key battleground state without actively campaigning in it. Biden won Henrico County, Loudoun County, Prince William County, and Fairfax County with 63.7%, 61.5%, 62.6%, and 69.9%, respectively; all four were former suburban bastions of the Republican Party in Virginia, the first outside Richmond and the others in Northern Virginia. All four had voted Republican in every election from 1968 through 2000. In Arlington County, a closer DC-area suburban county that had turned Democratic several decades earlier, Biden won with 80.6% of the vote, becoming the first nominee of either party in more than a century to crack 80% there. Biden's combined margin in Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, and Arlington Counties was greater than his statewide margin of victory. Crucially for his performance in Northern Virginia, Biden carried government workers by 18%.[6]

In this election, Virginia weighed in as 5.6% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. Although Virginia was considered a reliably Republican state at the presidential level from 1952 to 2004 (having only gone to the Democrats once during that period, in Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide), it has not voted Republican in a presidential election since 2004. Migration into counties in Northern Virginia close to Washington, D.C. has tilted these densely populated areas towards the Democrats. This was the first election since 1988 that a presidential candidate won Virginia by double digits (George H. W. Bush having carried the state by 20.5% in his first run), and the first election in which any presidential candidate received over 2 million votes in Virginia.

As fellow Southern state Georgia tilted towards Biden, he became the first Democrat since Harry Truman in 1948 to carry both states. Conversely, Virginia and Florida continued drifting apart after a more-than-100-year run (from 1880 through 2012) of voting alike in almost every election (only voting differently in 1976 and 1996, when the Democratic nominees won Florida but lost Virginia.) In 2016, Hillary Clinton became the first Democrat since Reconstruction to win Virginia while losing Florida, a pattern that would be repeated with Biden in 2020. This was also the first election in which a former Confederate state backed a Democratic candidate by a margin of victory greater than 10% since 1996, when Arkansas and Louisiana did so for Bill Clinton.

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary

Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

The Virginia Republican Party is one of several state GOP parties that have officially canceled their respective primaries and caucuses.[7] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[8][9] At the Virginia State Republican Convention, originally scheduled for May 2020 but postponed to August 15, 2020, the state party will formally bind all 48 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[7][10][11]

Democratic primary

Further information: 2020 Virginia Democratic primary

The Virginia Democratic primary took place on March 3, 2020, as part of the "Super Tuesday" suite of elections.

Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders were among the major declared candidates.[12]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Virginia Democratic presidential primary § VAresults.[edit]
county
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
  Sanders—30–40%
  Sanders—40–50%
congressional district
Popular vote share by congressional district
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
2020 Virginia Democratic presidential primary[13][a]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[15]
Joe Biden 705,501 53.30 67
Bernie Sanders 306,388 23.15 31
Elizabeth Warren 142,546 10.77 1
Michael Bloomberg 128,030 9.67
Tulsi Gabbard 11,288 0.85
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[b] 11,199 0.85
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[b] 8,414 0.64
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)[c] 3,361 0.25
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 1,910 0.14
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[b] 1,472 0.11
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)[c] 1,437 0.11
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 902 0.07
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 691 0.05
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)[c] 370 0.03
Write-in votes 184 0.01
Total 1,323,693 100% 99

Green primary

The Green Party of Virginia conducted an online ranked choice primary from April 20 to April 26, 2020.[16]

2020 Green Party of Virginia primary[16]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Howie Hawkins 42 62.7% 42 62.7% 43 64.2% 44 65.7%
Dario Hunter 17 25.4% 18 26.9% 21 31.3% 23 34.3%
Kent Mesplay 3 4.5% 3 4.5% 3 4.5% Eliminated
Sedinam Moyowasiza-Curry 2 3.0% 2 3.0% Eliminated
Jill Stein (write-in) 2 3.0% Eliminated
Jesse Ventura (write-in) 1 1.5% Eliminated
Total votes 67 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Likely D November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[18] Solid D November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Likely D November 3, 2020
Politico[20] Likely D November 3, 2020
RCP[21] Lean D November 3, 2020
Niskanen[22] Safe D November 3, 2020
CNN[23] Solid D November 3, 2020
The Economist[24] Likely D November 3, 2020
CBS News[25] Likely D November 3, 2020
270towin[26] Likely D November 3, 2020
ABC News[27] Solid D November 3, 2020
NPR[28] Likely D September 16, 2020
NBC News[29] Likely D November 3, 2020
538[30] Solid D November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[d] 		Margin
270 to Win October 15–31, 2020 November 3, 2020 52.8% 41.0% 6.2% Biden +11.8
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 53.7% 41.9% 4.4% Biden +11.8
Average 53.1% 40.5% 5.3% Biden +11.8

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 4,550 (LV) ± 2% 41%[f] 57% - - – –
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 467 (LV) ± 6.4% 39% 59% 2% 1% – –
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 690 (LV) ± 3.7% 43% 54% 1% 0% 1%[g] –
Roanoke College Oct 23–29, 2020 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 53% 2% - 1% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 7,663 (LV) – 43% 55% - - – –
Christopher Newport University Oct 15–27, 2020 908 (LV) ± 3.4% 41% 53% - - 2%[h] 4%
Swayable Oct 23–26, 2020 351 (LV) ± 5.2% 44% 55% 1% - – –
Virginia Commonwealth University Oct 13–22, 2020 709 (LV) ± 4.93% 39% 51% - - 2%[i] 8%[j]
Schar School/Washington Post Oct 13–19, 2020 908 (LV) ± 4% 41% 52% 3% - 0%[k] 4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 11–14, 2020 1,231 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 55% - - 3%[l] 1%
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College Sep 30 – Oct 12, 2020 602 (LV) – 39%[m] 54% 4% - - 4%
Survey Monkey/Tableau Sep 15 – Oct 12, 2020 4,248 (LV) – 43% 55% - - – 2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia[A] Oct 9–11, 2020 607 (LV) – 42% 51% - - – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,882 (LV) – 42% 56% - - – 2%
Cygnal/Gade for Virginia[1][A] Sep 22–25, 2020 600 (LV) – 41% 52% - - – –
Christopher Newport University Sep 9–21, 2020 796 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 48% - - 2%[n] 7%
Virginia Commonwealth University Aug 28 – Sep 7, 2020 693 (LV) ± 6.22% 39% 52% - - 1%[o] 8%[j]
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,626 (LV) – 41% 57% - - – 2%
Roanoke College Aug 9–22, 2020 566 (LV) ± 4.1% 39% 53% - - 3%[p] 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 3,178 (LV) – 43% 55% - - – 2%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 1,156 (LV) ± 2.9% 41% 52% - - – –
Virginia Commonwealth University Jul 11–19, 2020 725 (LV) ± 6.2% 39% 50% - - 1% 10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,619 (LV) – 42% 57% - - – 1%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 1,148 (LV) – 42%[q] 52% - - – –
Roanoke College May 3–16, 2020 563 (LV) ± 4.1% 39% 51% - - – –
Virginia Commonwealth University Mar 25 – Apr 8, 2020 812 (A) ± 4.5% 41% 51% - - – 8%
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 45% - - – –
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 48% - - – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 49% - - – 6%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% 46% 49% - - – 5%[j]
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 52% - - – 4%[j]
University of Mary Washington/Research America Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 37% 55% - - 1% 4%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 43%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 46%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 41% –
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 47% –
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 8%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Other Undecided
University of Mary Washington Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 50% 2% 5%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 37% 39%
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 39% 46%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 39% 44% – –
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 49% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 45% – 4%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% 48% 45% – 7%[j]
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 2 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 48% – 5%[j]
University of Mary Washington/Research America Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 53% 2% 4%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
Hampton University Feb 25–28, 2020 768 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 42% – –
Roanoke College Feb 9–18, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 48% – –
Mason-Dixon Dec 12–16, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 44% – 8%
Virginia Commonwealth University Dec 2–13, 2019 728 (LV) ± 5.1% 47% 47% – 6%[j]
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 46% 50% – 4%[j]
University of Mary Washington Sep 3–15, 2019 1,009 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 53% 1% 5%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Wason Center, Christopher
Newport University 		Sep 4–30, 2019 726 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% 51% 6%[r] 6%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Other Undecided
Wason Center, Christopher
Newport University 		Feb 3–23, 2020 866 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 59%[s] 0%[t] 2%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[e] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University Sep 23 – Oct 4, 2019 645 (LV) ± 5.0% 48% 49% – 3%[j]
Ipsos/University of Virginia Feb 15–19, 2019 636 (A) ± 4.0% 25% 45% 3% 20%

Results

Line for early voting in Herndon
2020 United States presidential election in Virginia[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		2,413,568 54.11% +4.38%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		1,962,430 44.00% -0.41%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		64,761 1.45% -1.52%
Write-in 19,765 0.44% -0.41%
Total votes 4,460,524 100.00%

Results by city and county

Independent cities have been italicized.

City or
county		 Joe Biden
Democratic		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Write-in Total
votes
% # % # % # % #
Accomack 44.68% 7,578 54.07% 9,172 1.11% 188 0.14% 24 16,962
Albemarle 65.68% 42,466 32.18% 20,804 1.57% 1,014 0.58% 373 64,657
Alexandria 80.28% 66,240 17.63% 14,544 1.24% 1,022 0.85% 702 82,508
Alleghany 27.34% 2,243 71.43% 5,859 1.08% 89 0.15% 12 8,203
Amelia 30.55% 2,411 68.29% 5,390 1.01% 80 0.15% 12 7,893
Amherst 33.35% 5,672 64.93% 11,041 1.48% 251 0.24% 41 17,005
Appomattox 26.09% 2,418 72.31% 6,702 1.28% 119 0.31% 29 9,268
Arlington 80.60% 105,344 17.08% 22,318 1.40% 1,836 0.92% 1,201 130,699
Augusta 25.64% 10,840 72.65% 30,714 1.44% 608 0.27% 116 42,278
Bath 25.83% 646 73.33% 1,834 0.64% 16 0.20% 5 2,501
Bedford 25.02% 12,176 73.15% 35,600 1.45% 708 0.38% 185 48,669
Bland 15.29% 532 83.44% 2,903 1.15% 40 0.11% 4 3,479
Botetourt 26.99% 5,700 71.49% 15,099 1.25% 264 0.27% 57 21,120
Bristol 29.63% 2,313 68.50% 5,347 1.60% 125 0.27% 21 7,806
Brunswick 57.27% 4,552 42.24% 3,357 0.43% 34 0.06% 5 7,948
Buchanan 15.94% 1,587 83.50% 8,311 0.44% 44 0.11% 11 9,953
Buckingham 42.71% 3,471 55.92% 4,544 1.14% 93 0.22% 18 8,126
Buena Vista 29.72% 825 67.11% 1,863 2.59% 72 0.58% 16 2,776
Campbell 27.00% 8,070 71.07% 21,245 1.64% 490 0.29% 87 29,892
Caroline 47.01% 7,657 51.18% 8,336 1.59% 259 0.22% 36 16,288
Carroll 18.16% 2,842 80.88% 12,659 0.75% 118 0.20% 32 15,651
Charles City 59.09% 2,624 39.65% 1,761 1.22% 54 0.05% 2 4,441
Charlotte 37.43% 2,317 61.62% 3,815 0.78% 48 0.18% 11 6,191
Charlottesville 85.50% 20,696 12.78% 3,094 1.28% 311 0.43% 104 24,205
Chesapeake 52.22% 66,377 45.77% 58,180 1.65% 2,098 0.36% 453 127,108
Chesterfield 52.45% 106,935 45.77% 93,326 1.44% 2,927 0.34% 696 203,884
Clarke 41.98% 3,920 55.61% 5,192 1.91% 178 0.50% 47 9,337
Colonial Heights 32.50% 2,972 65.68% 6,007 1.48% 135 0.35% 32 9,146
Covington 37.03% 964 60.70% 1,580 1.92% 50 0.35% 9 2,603
Craig 18.52% 587 80.03% 2,536 1.26% 40 0.19% 6 3,169
Culpeper 39.15% 10,617 59.05% 16,012 1.50% 406 0.30% 81 27,116
Cumberland 41.94% 2,227 56.85% 3,019 1.00% 53 0.21% 11 5,310
Danville 60.40% 11,710 38.31% 7,428 1.01% 195 0.29% 56 19,389
Dickenson 20.58% 1,503 78.71% 5,748 0.60% 44 0.11% 8 7,303
Dinwiddie 41.24% 6,224 57.61% 8,695 0.95% 144 0.19% 29 15,092
Emporia 67.70% 1,612 31.67% 754 0.55% 13 0.08% 2 2,381
Essex 49.17% 3,038 49.77% 3,075 0.94% 58 0.11% 7 6,178
Fairfax City 68.04% 9,174 29.72% 4,007 1.49% 201 0.75% 101 13,483
Fairfax County 69.89% 419,943 28.03% 168,401 1.33% 8,014 0.74% 4,465 600,823
Falls Church 81.03% 7,146 16.90% 1,490 1.29% 114 0.78% 69 8,819
Fauquier 40.23% 17,565 57.50% 25,106 1.78% 777 0.49% 213 43,661
Floyd 31.93% 3,004 66.17% 6,225 1.56% 147 0.34% 32 9,408
Fluvanna 46.81% 7,414 51.48% 8,155 1.43% 226 0.28% 45 15,840
Franklin City 62.22% 2,525 36.64% 1,487 0.86% 35 0.27% 11 4,058
Franklin County 28.22% 8,381 70.35% 20,895 1.19% 354 0.24% 72 29,702
Frederick 35.33% 17,207 62.74% 30,558 1.60% 781 0.32% 157 48,703
Fredericksburg 66.22% 8,517 31.39% 4,037 1.87% 240 0.53% 68 12,862
Galax 29.45% 777 69.67% 1,838 0.68% 18 0.19% 5 2,638
Giles 23.50% 2,156 74.93% 6,876 1.36% 125 0.21% 19 9,176
Gloucester 31.25% 6,964 66.76% 14,875 1.75% 389 0.24% 54 22,282
Goochland 39.44% 6,685 58.80% 9,966 1.43% 242 0.34% 57 16,950
Grayson 18.88% 1,535 80.30% 6,529 0.69% 56 0.14% 11 8,131
Greene 36.80% 4,163 60.70% 6,866 2.13% 241 0.36% 41 11,311
Greensville 57.43% 2,627 41.85% 1,914 0.50% 23 0.22% 10 4,574
Halifax 42.01% 7,666 57.09% 10,418 0.77% 140 0.13% 24 18,248
Hampton 70.14% 46,220 27.97% 18,430 1.53% 1,006 0.37% 245 65,901
Hanover 35.66% 25,307 62.45% 44,318 1.55% 1,103 0.34% 239 70,967
Harrisonburg 64.51% 11,022 32.72% 5,591 2.13% 364 0.64% 109 17,086
Henrico 63.65% 116,572 34.64% 63,440 1.32% 2,414 0.40% 726 183,152
Henry 34.96% 9,127 64.07% 16,725 0.85% 223 0.11% 30 26,105
Highland 27.20% 417 71.23% 1,092 1.44% 22 0.13% 2 1,533
Hopewell 56.52% 5,430 41.84% 4,020 1.36% 131 0.28% 27 9,608
Isle of Wight 40.07% 9,399 58.44% 13,707 1.40% 328 0.09% 22 23,456
James City 51.50% 25,553 46.66% 23,153 1.43% 710 0.42% 206 49,622
King and Queen 38.64% 1,590 59.54% 2,450 1.56% 64 0.27% 11 4,115
King George 37.99% 5,404 59.38% 8,446 2.21% 314 0.42% 60 14,224
King William 30.37% 3,260 68.18% 7,320 1.32% 142 0.13% 14 10,736
Lancaster 47.09% 3,368 51.69% 3,697 0.99% 71 0.22% 16 7,152
Lee 14.97% 1,489 84.10% 8,365 0.78% 78 0.14% 14 9,946
Lexington 64.84% 1,791 32.80% 906 1.74% 48 0.62% 17 2,762
Loudoun 61.54% 138,372 36.51% 82,088 1.40% 3,139 0.56% 1,263 224,862
Louisa 37.73% 8,269 60.66% 13,294 1.35% 295 0.26% 57 21,915
Lunenburg 40.30% 2,418 58.95% 3,537 0.67% 40 0.08% 5 6,000
Lynchburg 49.63% 18,048 47.02% 17,097 2.36% 857 0.99% 361 36,363
Madison 33.19% 2,698 65.20% 5,300 1.30% 106 0.31% 25 8,129
Manassas 61.03% 10,356 36.87% 6,256 1.65% 280 0.45% 76 16,968
Manassas Park 65.58% 3,992 32.51% 1,979 1.64% 100 0.26% 16 6,087
Martinsville 62.63% 3,766 36.01% 2,165 1.21% 73 0.15% 9 6,013
Mathews 31.33% 1,825 66.96% 3,901 1.49% 87 0.22% 13 5,826
Mecklenburg 41.98% 6,803 57.18% 9,266 0.70% 113 0.14% 22 16,204
Middlesex 36.71% 2,491 61.84% 4,196 1.13% 77 0.31% 21 6,785
Montgomery 51.55% 23,218 45.80% 20,629 2.09% 942 0.55% 248 45,037
Nelson 46.45% 4,327 51.65% 4,812 1.61% 150 0.29% 27 9,316
New Kent 31.95% 4,621 66.59% 9,631 1.19% 172 0.27% 39 14,463
Newport News 65.39% 53,099 32.48% 26,377 1.77% 1,438 0.36% 289 81,203
Norfolk 71.69% 64,440 26.08% 23,443 1.79% 1,608 0.43% 390 89,881
Northampton 54.47% 3,667 43.89% 2,955 1.49% 100 0.15% 10 6,732
Northumberland 41.61% 3,252 57.39% 4,485 0.72% 56 0.28% 22 7,815
Norton 28.98% 464 69.27% 1,109 1.31% 21 0.44% 7 1,601
Nottoway 41.98% 2,971 56.89% 4,027 1.02% 72 0.11% 8 7,078
Orange 38.54% 7,995 59.91% 12,426 1.29% 267 0.26% 54 20,742
Page 24.03% 3,007 74.68% 9,345 1.07% 134 0.22% 28 12,514
Patrick 20.50% 1,954 78.51% 7,485 0.85% 81 0.15% 14 9,534
Petersburg 87.75% 12,389 11.22% 1,584 0.76% 108 0.26% 37 14,118
Pittsylvania 29.55% 10,115 69.39% 23,751 0.83% 285 0.22% 76 34,227
Poquoson 26.14% 2,054 71.34% 5,605 2.04% 160 0.48% 38 7,857
Portsmouth 69.42% 30,948 28.61% 12,755 1.62% 723 0.35% 156 44,582
Powhatan 26.96% 5,320 71.24% 14,055 1.63% 321 0.17% 34 19,730
Prince Edward 51.94% 4,973 46.31% 4,434 1.42% 136 0.32% 31 9,574
Prince George 40.75% 7,103 57.96% 10,103 1.12% 195 0.18% 31 17,432
Prince William 62.64% 142,863 35.61% 81,222 1.42% 3,242 0.32% 729 228,056
Pulaski 28.34% 4,925 69.79% 12,127 1.58% 275 0.28% 49 17,376
Radford 53.13% 3,358 44.08% 2,786 2.29% 145 0.49% 31 6,320
Rappahannock 42.11% 2,096 56.49% 2,812 1.12% 56 0.28% 14 4,978
Richmond City 82.92% 92,175 14.94% 16,603 1.52% 1,691 0.62% 690 111,159
Richmond County 36.88% 1,513 62.09% 2,547 0.76% 31 0.27% 11 4,102
Roanoke City 61.80% 26,773 36.02% 15,607 1.79% 777 0.38% 166 43,323
Roanoke County 38.12% 21,801 59.93% 34,268 1.59% 910 0.36% 205 57,184
Rockbridge 33.02% 4,086 65.37% 8,088 1.33% 165 0.27% 34 12,373
Rockingham 28.86% 12,644 69.27% 30,349 1.49% 653 0.38% 165 43,811
Russell 17.73% 2,373 81.27% 10,879 0.87% 116 0.13% 18 13,386
Salem 39.45% 5,148 58.87% 7,683 1.69% 220 0.00% 0 13,051
Scott 15.57% 1,692 83.38% 9,063 0.83% 90 0.22% 24 10,869
Shenandoah 28.86% 6,836 69.51% 16,463 1.46% 346 0.16% 39 23,684
Smyth 21.28% 3,008 77.55% 10,963 0.94% 133 0.23% 32 14,136
Southampton 40.56% 3,969 58.55% 5,730 0.89% 87 0.00% 0 9,786
Spotsylvania 45.55% 34,307 52.33% 39,411 1.73% 1,301 0.40% 298 75,317
Stafford 50.54% 40,245 47.27% 37,636 1.73% 1,376 0.46% 368 79,625
Staunton 53.74% 6,981 43.84% 5,695 1.92% 249 0.50% 65 12,990
Suffolk 57.77% 28,676 40.45% 20,082 1.46% 724 0.32% 160 49,642
Surry 53.61% 2,397 45.29% 2,025 0.89% 40 0.20% 9 4,471
Sussex 55.56% 2,827 43.61% 2,219 0.69% 35 0.14% 7 5,088
Tazewell 15.92% 3,205 83.10% 16,731 0.79% 159 0.19% 39 20,134
Virginia Beach 51.59% 117,393 46.18% 105,087 1.85% 4,208 0.38% 873 227,561
Warren 31.22% 6,603 66.53% 14,069 1.73% 365 0.52% 110 21,147
Washington 23.07% 6,617 75.58% 21,679 1.06% 304 0.30% 85 28,685
Waynesboro 46.29% 4,961 51.39% 5,507 1.95% 209 0.37% 40 10,717
Westmoreland 45.31% 4,501 53.54% 5,318 0.91% 90 0.24% 24 9,933
Williamsburg 69.59% 4,790 28.52% 1,963 1.34% 92 0.55% 38 6,883
Winchester 54.60% 6,610 43.13% 5,221 1.76% 213 0.51% 62 12,106
Wise 18.72% 3,110 80.45% 13,366 0.65% 108 0.19% 31 16,615
Wythe 20.85% 3,143 77.85% 11,733 1.13% 170 0.17% 26 15,072
York 45.59% 17,683 52.19% 20,241 1.75% 680 0.47% 183 38,787

Results by congressional district

Biden won 7 out of Virginia’s 11 congressional districts.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 51.4% 47% Rob Wittman
2nd 46.7% 51.4% Elaine Luria
3rd 31.2% 67.2% Bobby Scott
4th 36.8% 61.8% Donald McEachin
5th 53.6% 45.1% Denver Riggleman
Bob Good
6th 59.8% 38.6% Ben Cline
7th 48.7% 49.8% Abigail Spanberger
8th 21.1% 77.6% Don Beyer
9th 70.4% 28.4% Morgan Griffith
10th 39.6% 58.9% Jennifer Wexton
11th 28.3% 70.3% Gerry Connolly

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The "2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary" website published by the Virginia Department of Elections does not include the write-in votes.[14] This article includes them.
  2. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the primary.
  3. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when absentee voting had already begun.
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  6. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  7. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  9. ^ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i Includes "refused"
  11. ^ "Other", "None of these" and would not vote with 0%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  13. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  15. ^ "Third party candidate" with 1%
  16. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  17. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  18. ^ "Would vote for a third party candidate" with 6%
  19. ^ "It is time to have someone else in office" as opposed to "Trump should be re-elected" with 59%
  20. ^ "Refused" with 0%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll conducted by Daniel Gade's campaign

References

  1. ^ "Virginia Department of Elections - Registration/Turnout Reports".
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Without Northern Virginia, Trump would have won the state". Inside Nova. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  5. ^ "Chesterfield and Lynchburg hadn't backed a Democrat for president since 1948. Biden changed that". Virginia Mercury. November 5, 2020. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  6. ^ "Virginia Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 13, 2020.
  7. ^ a b "Virginia Republicans Will Hold 2020 Presidential Preference Vote at State Convention". Frontloading. September 18, 2019. Retrieved September 19, 2019.
  8. ^ Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  9. ^ Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  10. ^ "Virginia Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
  11. ^ Mattingly, Justin (June 30, 2020). "Republican Party of Virginia reschedules 'unassembled' convention for August". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved July 10, 2020.
  12. ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  13. ^ "2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary". Virginia.gov. Virginia Department of Elections. Archived from the original on March 27, 2020. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  14. ^ "2020 March Democratic Presidential Primary". Virginia Department of Elections. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
  15. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Virginia Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 4, 2020.
  16. ^ a b Jonah Thomas (May 12, 2020). "2020 GPVA Presidential Primary Results".
  17. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  18. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  19. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  20. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  21. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  22. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  23. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  24. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  25. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  26. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  27. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". ABC News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  28. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Landscape tightens some, but Biden is still ahead". NPR. Retrieved January 15, 2021.
  29. ^ "Biden continues to lead in our latest battleground map". NBC News. Retrieved January 15, 2021.
  30. ^ "Biden is very likely to win Virginia". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved January 15, 2021.
  31. ^ "2020 November General". results.elections.virginia.gov. Retrieved November 20, 2020.

External links

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