2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina

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2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout72.1%[1] Increase
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 9 0
Popular vote 1,385,103 1,091,541
Percentage 55.11% 43.43%

South Carolina Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County Results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Trump carried South Carolina by a margin of 11.68%, down from his 14.27% margin four years earlier. Prior to this election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a red state. Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without Chester and Dillon Counties since Harry Truman in 1948, when the state's governor, Strom Thurmond, carried all but two of the state's counties as the Dixiecrat nominee.

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary

On September 7, 2019, the South Carolina Republican Party became one of several state GOP affiliates to cancel their respective primaries and caucuses officially.[4] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought second terms in 1992 and 2004, respectively, and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking re-election in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[5][6]

In response to the cancellation, former U.S. Representative Bob Inglis and another South Carolina Republican voter filed a lawsuit against the South Carolina Republican Party on grounds that it denied their right to vote. On December 11, 2019, a state court judge dismissed the lawsuit, writing in his opinion that the law "does not give plaintiffs a legal right to presidential preference primary".[7] Thus at the South Carolina State Republican Convention in May 2020, the state party will formally bind all 50 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[8]

Democratic primary

The South Carolina Democratic primary was held on February 29, 2020.

county
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
congressional district
Popular vote share by congressional district
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%

Official results show that Joe Biden won the Democratic primary with 48.65% of the vote, with Bernie Sanders coming in second with 19.77%.[9][10][11]

2020 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary[9]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 262,336 48.65 39
Bernie Sanders 106,605 19.77 15
Tom Steyer 61,140 11.34
Pete Buttigieg 44,217 8.20
Elizabeth Warren 38,120 7.07
Amy Klobuchar 16,900 3.13
Tulsi Gabbard 6,813 1.26
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 1,069 0.20
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 765 0.14
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 658 0.12
John Delaney (withdrawn) 352 0.07
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 288 0.05
Total 539,263 100% 54

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Likely R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[13] Likely R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Likely R July 14, 2020
Politico[15] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[16] Lean R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[17] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[18] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[19] Likely R September 2, 2020
CBS News[20] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[21] Likely R August 2, 2020
ABC News[22] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[23] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[24] Likely R August 6, 2020
538[25] Likely R September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270 to Win October 15, 2020 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 43.3% 50.3% 6.4% Trump +7.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 44.5% 51.6% 3.9% Trump +7.1
Average 43.9% 51.0% 5.1% Trump +7.1

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
Optimus Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020 817 (LV) ± 3.9% 51% 39% 2%[c] 8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 2,485 (LV) ± 3% 56%[d] 42%
Data For Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 1,121 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 44% 2% 0% 0%[e]
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 426 (LV) ± 7.4% 50% 49% 1% 0%
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 904 (LV) ± 3% 51% 45%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 4,725 (LV) 54% 44%
Data for Progress Oct 22–27, 2020 1,196 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 44% 1% 0% 4%
Starboard Communications Oct 26, 2020 800 (LV) 51% 44% 5%
East Carolina University Oct 24–25, 2020 763 (LV) ± 4.1% 52% 44% 3%[f] 1%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 926 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 45%
New York Times/Siena College Archived October 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[1] Oct 9–14, 2020 605 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 41% 2% 1% 1%[g] 6%[h]
Data for Progress Oct 8–11, 2020 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 43% 1% 1% 4%
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 903 (LV) ± 3% 54% 42%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 1,833 (LV) 53% 45% 2%
GBAO Strategies/DSCC[A] Sep 24–28, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 44%
Data for Progress (D) Sep 23–28, 2020 824 (LV) ± 3.4% 47%[i] 43% 1% 1% 8%
50%[j] 45% 5%
Quinnipiac University Sep 23–27, 2020 1,123 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 47% 1%[k] 4%
YouGov/CBS Sep 22–25, 2020 1,080 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% 42% 2%[l] 4%
Morning Consult Sep 11–20, 2020 764 (LV) ± (3% – 4%) 50%[m] 44%
Quinnipiac University Sep 10–14, 2020 969 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 45% 0%[n] 4%
Morning Consult Sep 2–11, 2020 ~764 (LV) ± (3%–4%) 51% 44%
Morning Consult Aug 23 – Sep 1, 2020 ~764 (LV) ± (3%–4%) 52% 42%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,326 (LV) 53% 45% 2%
Morning Consult Aug 13–22, 2020 ~764 (LV) ± (3%–4%) 51% 43%
Morning Consult Aug 3–12, 2020 ~764 (LV) ± (3%–4%) 50% 43%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020 914 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 42% 4%[o] 7%
Morning Consult Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 741 (LV) ± 4.0% 49%[p] 44% 3%[q] 4%
Morning Consult Jul 23 – Aug 1, 2020 ~764 (LV) ± (3%–4%) 48% 45%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 1,700 (LV) 53% 44% 2%
Morning Consult Jul 13–22, 2020 ~764 (LV) ± (3%–4%) 50% 43%
ALG Research/Lindsey Must Go[B] Jul 15–20, 2020 591 (LV) 50% 45% 1% 4%
Gravis Marketing[2] Jul 17, 2020 604 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 46%
brilliant corners Research & Strategies/Jaime Harrison[C] Jul 13–19, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 43%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 863 (LV) 52% 47% 2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 23–26, 2020 591 (RV) ± 4.5% 52% 42% 5%[r] 1%
AtlasIntel Feb 25–28, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 42% 11%
East Carolina University Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 1,756 (RV) ± 2.7% 52% 40% 8%
Change Research Jun 11–14, 2019 2,312 (RV) ± 2.0% 54% 38% 3%[s] 1%[s]
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 52% 48%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 25–28, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 42% 9%
East Carolina University Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 1,756 (RV) ± 2.7% 52% 40% 8%
Change Research Jun 11–14, 2019 2,312 (RV) ± 2.0% 54% 34% 6%[t]
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 54% 46%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 25–28, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 41% 10%
East Carolina University Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 1,756 (RV) ± 2.7% 54% 36% 10%
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 54% 46%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 1,756 (RV) ± 2.7% 53% 33% 13%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 1,756 (RV) ± 2.7% 52% 32% 15%
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 56% 44%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 25–28, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 37% 15%
East Carolina University Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 1,756 (RV) ± 2.7% 52% 34% 13%

Donald Trump vs. Tom Steyer

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Steyer (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 1,756 (RV) ± 2.7% 52% 39% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Andrew
Yang (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020 1,756 (RV) ± 2.7% 52% 34% 14%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research Jun 11–14, 2019 2,312 (RV) ± 2.0% 54% 32% 6%[t]
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 54% 46%

Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research Jun 11–14, 2019 2,312 (RV) ± 2.0% 54% 33% 6%[t]
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 56% 44%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 56% 44%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 42% 7%

with Donald Trump, Elizabeth Warren, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
Emerson College Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 53% 41% 7%

with Donald Trump, generic Democrat, and Howard Schultz

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] Mar 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 34% 3% 17%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina[26]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,385,103 55.11% +0.17%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,091,541 43.43% +2.76%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
27,916 1.11% -1.23%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
6,907 0.27% -0.35%
Alliance Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson
1,862 0.07% N/A
Write-in
Total votes 2,513,329 100.00%

Results by county

County Donald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Other votes Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # %
Abbeville 8,215 66.07% 4,101 32.98% 88 0.71% 29 0.23% 4,114 33.09% 12,433
Aiken 51,589 60.56% 32,275 37.89% 982 1.15% 339 0.40% 19,314 22.67% 85,185
Allendale 835 23.24% 2,718 75.65% 19 0.53% 21 0.59% -1,883 -52.41% 3,593
Anderson 67,565 70.31% 27,169 28.27% 1,123 1.17% 236 0.25% 40,396 42.04% 96,093
Bamberg 2,417 37.29% 4,010 61.86% 31 0.48% 24 0.37% -1,593 -24.57% 6,482
Barnwell 5,492 53.21% 4,720 45.73% 78 0.76% 31 0.30% 772 7.48% 10,321
Beaufort 53,194 54.37% 43,419 44.38% 941 0.96% 281 0.29% 9,775 9.99% 97,835
Berkeley 57,397 54.95% 45,223 43.29% 1,485 1.42% 353 0.33% 12,174 11.66% 104,458
Calhoun 4,305 51.92% 3,905 47.10% 58 0.70% 23 0.28% 400 4.82% 8,291
Charleston 93,297 42.63% 121,485 55.51% 3,177 1.45% 898 0.41% -28,188 -12.88% 218,857
Cherokee 18,043 71.40% 6,983 27.63% 186 0.74% 58 0.23% 11,060 43.77% 25,270
Chester 8,660 54.96% 6,941 44.05% 108 0.69% 48 0.30% 1,719 10.91% 15,757
Chesterfield 11,297 59.85% 7,431 39.37% 109 0.58% 39 0.21% 3,866 20.48% 18,876
Clarendon 8,361 49.97% 8,250 49.30% 67 0.40% 55 0.33% 111 0.67% 16,733
Colleton 10,440 54.14% 8,602 44.61% 178 0.92% 63 0.33% 1,838 9.53% 19,283
Darlington 16,832 51.92% 15,220 46.95% 260 0.80% 105 0.32% 1,612 4.97% 32,417
Dillon 6,582 50.24% 6,436 49.13% 38 0.29% 45 0.34% 146 1.11% 13,101
Dorchester 41,913 54.24% 33,824 43.77% 1,219 1.58% 322 0.42% 8,089 10.47% 77,278
Edgefield 8,184 61.52% 4,953 37.23% 120 0.90% 47 0.35% 3,231 24.29% 13,304
Fairfield 4,625 38.11% 7,382 60.83% 78 0.64% 51 0.42% -2,757 -22.72% 12,136
Florence 32,615 50.56% 31,153 48.29% 503 0.78% 239 0.37% 1,462 2.27% 64,510
Georgetown 20,487 55.87% 15,822 43.15% 237 0.65% 122 0.33% 4,665 12.72% 36,668
Greenville 150,021 58.11% 103,030 39.91% 4,179 1.62% 925 0.36% 46,991 18.20% 258,155
Greenwood 19,431 60.71% 12,145 37.95% 318 0.99% 112 0.35% 7,286 22.76% 32,006
Hampton 3,906 41.98% 5,323 57.21% 44 0.47% 32 0.34% -1,417 -15.23% 9,305
Horry 118,821 66.11% 59,180 32.92% 1,255 0.70% 488 0.27% 59,641 33.19% 179,744
Jasper 7,078 49.17% 7,185 49.92% 92 0.64% 39 0.27% -107 -0.75% 14,394
Kershaw 20,471 60.87% 12,699 37.76% 344 1.02% 115 0.34% 7,772 23.11% 33,629
Lancaster 30,312 60.78% 18,937 37.97% 492 0.99% 127 0.25% 11,375 22.81% 49,868
Laurens 20,004 65.61% 10,159 33.32% 238 0.78% 87 0.29% 9,845 32.29% 30,488
Lee 3,008 35.68% 5,329 63.21% 71 0.84% 23 0.27% -2,321 -27.53% 8,431
Lexington 92,817 64.20% 49,301 34.10% 1,935 1.34% 515 0.35% 43,516 30.10% 144,568
Marion 5,711 38.84% 8,872 60.34% 63 0.43% 58 0.39% -3,161 -21.50% 14,704
Marlboro 5,044 44.07% 6,290 54.95% 69 0.60% 43 0.38% -1,246 -10.88% 11,446
McCormick 2,958 51.92% 2,687 47.17% 28 0.49% 24 0.42% 271 4.75% 5,697
Newberry 11,443 61.42% 6,958 37.35% 152 0.82% 78 0.42% 4,485 24.07% 18,631
Oconee 29,698 73.03% 10,414 25.61% 443 1.09% 113 0.28% 19,284 47.42% 40,668
Orangeburg 13,603 33.01% 27,295 66.24% 172 0.42% 135 0.33% -13,692 -33.23% 41,205
Pickens 42,907 74.56% 13,645 23.71% 793 1.38% 201 0.35% 29,262 50.85% 57,546
Richland 58,313 30.09% 132,570 68.40% 2,027 1.05% 912 0.47% -74,257 -38.31% 193,822
Saluda 6,210 66.96% 2,963 31.95% 75 0.81% 26 0.28% 3,247 35.01% 9,274
Spartanburg 93,560 62.94% 52,926 35.60% 1,702 1.14% 467 0.31% 40,634 27.34% 148,655
Sumter 21,000 42.93% 27,379 55.97% 355 0.73% 186 0.38% -6,379 -13.04% 48,920
Union 8,183 61.73% 4,935 37.23% 96 0.72% 43 0.32% 3,248 24.50% 13,257
Williamsburg 5,532 34.61% 10,289 64.37% 81 0.51% 83 0.52% -4,757 -29.76% 15,985
York 82,727 57.43% 59,008 40.96% 1,807 1.25% 508 0.36% 23,719 16.47% 144,050
Total 1,385,103 55.11% 1,091,541 43.43% 27,916 1.11% 8,769 0.35% 293,562 11.68% 2,513,329

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 52.1% 46.1% Joe Cunningham
Nancy Mace
2nd 54.9% 43.6% Joe Wilson
3rd 68.1% 30.5% Jeff Duncan
4th 59.3% 38.9% William Timmons
5th 57.6% 41% Ralph Norman
6th 31.8% 67% Jim Clyburn
7th 58.8% 40.2% Tom Rice

Analysis

South Carolina—a Deep Southern Bible Belt state that was once part of the Democratic Solid South—has had a Republican tendency since 1964. Since its narrow vote for Kennedy in 1960, it has voted Democratic only in 1976, for Jimmy Carter, the former governor of the neighboring state of Georgia. Accordingly, it has long been the most conservative state on the East Coast of the United States,[27] although it has not been as conservative as its fellow Deep South states of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana, largely due to populous and fast-growing Charleston and Richland Counties' trending more Democratic in the 21st century. As in the case of other Deep Southern states, South Carolina also has a large African-American population[28] that helps keep the state somewhat more competitive than much of the Upper South. (The final state in the Deep South, Georgia, has become much more competitive than any of its fellow Deep South states in recent years due to the explosive growth of the Atlanta area.)

Trump performed somewhat better than polls anticipated, as aggregate polls averaged him only 7 points ahead of Biden.[29] He flipped Clarendon County for the first time since 1972 and Dillon County for the first time since 1988.[citation needed] Biden became the first Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 to win the presidency without Clarendon County and the first Democrat since Harry S. Truman to win without Dillon County.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in the Palmetto State came from White, born-again/Evangelical Christians, who supported Trump by 87%–9%. South Carolina is entirely in the Bible Belt. As is the case in many Southern states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: White South Carolinians supported Trump by 69%–29%, while Black South Carolinians supported Biden by 92%–7%.[30]

In other elections, longtime Republican U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham won another term in the United States Senate by 10.27 percentage points over Democrat Jaime Harrison. While Harrison lost by a double-digit margin, he still slightly outperformed Biden.

This is the first time since 1992 that South Carolina and Georgia did not vote for the same presidential candidate—in 1992, Georgia voted for the victorious Democratic Party challenger, Bill Clinton, while South Carolina voted to re-elect the Republican president, George H. W. Bush.

South Carolina was the only East Coast state in 2020 to vote Republican by a double-digit margin.[31] This was the first time that both main party candidates won more than one million votes in a statewide election in South Carolina, alongside the concurrent Senate election.

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ^ The DSCC endorsed Jaime Harrison's campaign for the 2020 US Senate election in South Carolina before this poll's sampling period
  2. ^ This poll's sponsor, Lindsey Must Go, is a PAC opposing Lindsey Graham
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Harrison's campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Conservatives for Clean Energy
Additional candidates
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ "Refused" and "Third party candidate" with 1%
  4. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. ^ "Other candidate/write-in" with 0%
  6. ^ "Refused" with 2%; "Some other candidate" with 1%; Did/would not vote with 0%
  7. ^ would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  8. ^ Includes "Refused"
  9. ^ Standard VI response
  10. ^ If the only candidates were Biden and Trump
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  12. ^ "Someone else/third party" with 2%
  13. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 0%
  15. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 2%
  16. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and topline numbers
  17. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  19. ^ a b Generic
  20. ^ a b c Generic Libertarian with 4%; generic Green with 2%

References

  1. ^ "Turnout". Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ Kinnard, Meg (September 7, 2019). "Nevada, SC, Kansas GOP drop presidential nomination votes". AP NEWS.
  5. ^ Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  6. ^ Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  7. ^ Neidig, Harper (December 11, 2019). "Judge throws out lawsuit against South Carolina GOP for canceling 2020 primary". The Hill.
  8. ^ "South Carolina Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
  9. ^ a b "2020 Democratic Presidential Preference Primary Election Night Reporting: Official Results". SCVotes.org. March 2, 2020. Retrieved March 2, 2020.
  10. ^ Peoples, Steve; Kinnard, Meg; Barrow, Bill. "Biden wins South Carolina, hopes for Super Tuesday momentum". Associated Press. Archived from the original on February 29, 2020. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
  11. ^ "South Carolina 2020 Primary: Live Results". The New York Times. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
  12. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  15. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  16. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  17. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  18. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  19. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
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External links