2020 United States presidential election in Oregon
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 81.97% (of registered voters) 11.71 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
County results
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Oregon |
---|
The 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] President Donald Trump, and Vice President Mike Pence were renominated by the Republican Party. They faced a Democratic Party ticket of former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate, California U.S. Senator Kamala Harris, as vice president.
Biden won 56.45% of the vote to 40.37% for Trump. Biden received Oregon's seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2] The state certified its election results on December 3.[3]
Biden won Oregon by 16.1%, an increase from Hillary Clinton's 11% victory margin in 2016. No Republican presidential candidate has won Oregon since Ronald Reagan of neighboring California in 1984. Biden flipped two counties Trump won in 2016: Marion County--home to the state capital of Salem, and Deschutes County--anchored by rapidly-growing Bend. It was also the first time a majority of Deschutes County voted for a Democrat since Lyndon Johnson in 1964.[4]
Biden was the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson to win the presidency without carrying Columbia County and Tillamook County. He also became the first non-incumbent Democrat since Jimmy Carter to get elected without carrying Jackson County, and the first non-incumbent presidential candidate since George H. W. Bush to win without carrying Wasco County.[5] Tillamook and Columbia Counties were among a fraction of the more than 3,000 counties in the U.S. to vote twice for Barack Obama (2008, 2012) and twice for Donald Trump (2016, 2020).[6]
Biden also made history as the highest vote earner in Oregon history, with 1,340,383 votes.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Oregon came from white liberals, with white Oregonians favoring him by 57%–40%. 33% of voters were secular and supported Biden by 80%.[7]
Primary elections
The Oregon primary elections were held on Tuesday, May 19, 2020.
Republican primary
Donald Trump ran unopposed in Oregon, receiving the state's 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention[8]
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[10] |
---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | 363,785 | 93.70 | 28 |
Write-ins | 24,461 | 6.30 | 0 |
Total | 388,246 | 100.00 | 28 |
Democratic primary
Though all Democrats but Joe Biden had withdrawn from the national race by the Oregon primary, four remained on the ballot. Biden won just under two-thirds of the vote. Bernie Sanders received just over 20% of the vote. Oregon's 71 delegates were allocated with 46 to Biden and 15 to Sanders.[8]
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[12] |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 408,315 | 65.99 | 46 |
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) | 127,345 | 20.58 | 15 |
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 59,355 | 9.59 | |
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | 10,717 | 1.73 | |
Write-in votes | 12,979 | 2.10 | |
Total | 618,711 | 100% | 61 |
Independent Party of Oregon primary
The Independent Party of Oregon cross-nominated Joe Biden after an online nonpartisan blanket primary.[13]
Candidate | Votes | % |
---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 1,661 | 46.7 |
Donald Trump | 1,389 | 39.1 |
Bernie Sanders | 1,227 | 34.5 |
Total | 4,277 | 100.00 |
Candidate | Votes | % |
---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 392 | 55.13 |
Donald Trump | 280 | 39.38 |
Pacific Green Party primary
Howie Hawkins won the Oregon Green Party primary.
General election
Final predictions
Source | Ranking |
---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Solid D |
Inside Elections[15] | Solid D |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe D |
Politico[17] | Likely D |
RCP[18] | Lean D |
Niskanen[19] | Safe D |
CNN[20] | Solid D |
The Economist[21] | Safe D |
CBS News[22] | Likely D |
270towin[23] | Safe D |
ABC News[24] | Solid D |
NPR[25] | Likely D |
NBC News[26] | Likely D |
538[27] | Solid D |
Polling
Graphical summary
Polls
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | September 26 – October 17, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | 58.0% | 38.5% | 3.5% | Biden +19.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 58.7% | 37.4% | 3.9% | Biden +21.3 |
Average | 58.4% | 38.0% | 3.7% | Biden +20.4 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Howie Hawkins Pacific Green |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,543 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 39%[c] | 59% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 324 (LV) | ± 7.3% | 37% | 60% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,422 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,109 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 2% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | Sep 26–29, 2020 | 944 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 56% | – | – | 3%[d] | 2% |
DHM Research | Sep 3–8, 2020 | 502 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 51% | – | – | 6%[e] | 4% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,648 (LV) | – | 38% | 60% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,890 (LV) | – | 38% | 61% | – | – | – | 1% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 872 (LV) | – | 39% | 59% | – | – | – | 2% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris |
1,340,383 | 56.45% | +6.38% | |
Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence |
958,448 | 40.37% | +1.28% | |
Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen |
41,582 | 1.75% | -2.96% | |
Pacific Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker |
11,831 | 0.50% | -2.00% | |
Progressive | Dario Hunter Dawn Neptune Adams |
4,988 | 0.21% | N/A | |
Write-in | 17,089 | 0.72% | -2.91% | ||
Total votes | 2,374,321 |
Results by county
County | Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other votes | Margin | Total votes | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
Baker | 23.62% | 2,346 | 74.02% | 7,352 | 1.45% | 144 | 0.90% | 90 | -50.40% | -5,006 | 9,932 |
Benton | 67.86% | 35,827 | 28.18% | 14,878 | 2.16% | 1,142 | 1.80% | 952 | 39.68% | 20,949 | 52,799 |
Clackamas | 53.96% | 139,043 | 42.89% | 110,509 | 1.84% | 4,736 | 1.32% | 3,391 | 11.07% | 28,534 | 257,679 |
Clatsop | 54.02% | 12,916 | 42.74% | 10,218 | 1.83% | 437 | 1.41% | 339 | 11.28% | 2,698 | 23,910 |
Columbia | 42.94% | 13,835 | 53.23% | 17,150 | 2.44% | 787 | 1.39% | 449 | -10.29% | -3,315 | 32,221 |
Coos | 38.42% | 14,243 | 58.88% | 21,829 | 1.54% | 572 | 1.16% | 431 | -20.46% | -7,586 | 37,075 |
Crook | 24.61% | 3,801 | 73.06% | 11,287 | 1.50% | 231 | 0.83% | 129 | -48.45% | -7,486 | 15,448 |
Curry | 40.59% | 6,058 | 56.84% | 8,484 | 1.53% | 228 | 1.04% | 155 | -16.25% | -2,426 | 14,925 |
Deschutes | 52.67% | 65,962 | 44.43% | 55,646 | 1.67% | 2,097 | 1.23% | 1,529 | 8.24% | 10,316 | 125,234 |
Douglas | 29.78% | 19,160 | 67.29% | 43,298 | 1.84% | 1,182 | 1.11% | 709 | -37.51% | -24,138 | 64,349 |
Gilliam | 27.50% | 324 | 70.80% | 834 | 1.44% | 17 | 0.25% | 3 | -43.30% | -510 | 1,178 |
Grant | 20.21% | 929 | 77.13% | 3,545 | 1.68% | 77 | 0.98% | 45 | -56.92% | -2,616 | 4,596 |
Harney | 19.95% | 894 | 77.55% | 3,475 | 1.41% | 63 | 1.09% | 49 | -57.60% | -2,581 | 4,481 |
Hood River | 66.95% | 8,764 | 30.21% | 3,955 | 1.52% | 199 | 1.31% | 172 | 36.74% | 4,809 | 13,090 |
Jackson | 46.77% | 59,478 | 50.23% | 63,869 | 1.70% | 2,168 | 1.30% | 1,650 | -3.46% | -4,391 | 127,165 |
Jefferson | 36.88% | 4,393 | 60.35% | 7,189 | 1.76% | 210 | 1.02% | 121 | -23.47% | -2,796 | 11,913 |
Josephine | 35.73% | 18,451 | 61.48% | 31,751 | 1.54% | 795 | 1.24% | 644 | -25.75% | -13,300 | 51,641 |
Klamath | 28.29% | 10,388 | 68.91% | 25,308 | 1.73% | 637 | 1.07% | 393 | -40.62% | -14,920 | 36,726 |
Lake | 18.15% | 792 | 79.53% | 3,470 | 1.44% | 63 | 0.87% | 38 | -61.38% | -2,678 | 4,363 |
Lane | 60.46% | 134,366 | 36.15% | 80,336 | 1.76% | 3,906 | 1.65% | 3,645 | 24.31% | 54,030 | 222,253 |
Lincoln | 56.58% | 17,385 | 40.55% | 12,460 | 1.50% | 462 | 1.37% | 419 | 16.03% | 4,925 | 30,726 |
Linn | 36.50% | 26,512 | 59.87% | 43,486 | 2.19% | 1,594 | 1.44% | 1,048 | -23.37% | -16,974 | 72,640 |
Malheur | 27.62% | 3,260 | 69.36% | 8,187 | 1.87% | 221 | 1.15% | 136 | -41.74% | -4,927 | 11,804 |
Marion | 48.86% | 80,872 | 47.73% | 79,002 | 1.98% | 3,272 | 1.44% | 2,388 | 1.13% | 1,870 | 165,534 |
Morrow | 26.79% | 1,371 | 70.07% | 3,586 | 2.46% | 126 | 0.68% | 35 | -43.28% | -2,215 | 5,118 |
Multnomah | 79.21% | 367,249 | 17.90% | 82,995 | 1.23% | 5,726 | 1.66% | 7,689 | 61.31% | 284,254 | 463,659 |
Polk | 47.46% | 22,917 | 49.14% | 23,732 | 2.03% | 981 | 1.37% | 661 | -1.68% | -815 | 48,291 |
Sherman | 21.52% | 260 | 76.24% | 921 | 1.99% | 24 | 0.25% | 3 | -54.72% | -661 | 1,208 |
Tillamook | 47.76% | 8,066 | 49.47% | 8,354 | 1.55% | 261 | 1.23% | 207 | -1.71% | -288 | 16,888 |
Umatilla | 32.41% | 10,707 | 64.38% | 21,270 | 2.24% | 740 | 0.97% | 321 | -31.97% | -10,563 | 33,038 |
Union | 28.47% | 4,254 | 68.91% | 10,298 | 1.61% | 241 | 1.02% | 151 | -40.44% | -6,044 | 14,944 |
Wallowa | 31.56% | 1,625 | 66.11% | 3,404 | 1.48% | 76 | 0.85% | 44 | -34.55% | -1,779 | 5,149 |
Wasco | 46.74% | 6,604 | 49.79% | 7,035 | 2.09% | 296 | 1.38% | 195 | -3.05% | -431 | 14,130 |
Washington | 65.54% | 209,940 | 30.93% | 99,073 | 2.00% | 6,398 | 1.54% | 4,915 | 34.61% | 110,867 | 320,326 |
Wheeler | 22.49% | 217 | 73.68% | 711 | 2.59% | 25 | 1.25% | 12 | -51.19% | -494 | 965 |
Yamhill | 46.12% | 27,174 | 50.15% | 29,551 | 2.46% | 1,448 | 1.27% | 750 | -4.03% | -2,377 | 58,923 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Results by congressional district
Biden won 4 out of 5 congressional districts in Oregon.
District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 34.1% | 63.3% | Suzanne Bonamici |
2nd | 55.6% | 42.1% | Cliff Bentz |
3rd | 23.5% | 74.3% | Earl Blumenauer |
4th | 46.7% | 50.7% | Peter DeFazio |
5th | 43.9% | 53.6% | Kurt Schrader |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Oregon
- Presidency of Joe Biden
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
Notes
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%
References
- ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "Oregon secretary of state certifies election results". kgw.com. Retrieved December 5, 2020.
- ^ Warner, Gary (November 20, 2020). "Deschutes joins Oregon's blue hue in presidential voting, and other voting stats". The Bulletin. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
- ^ Bureau, GARY A. WARNER Oregon Capital. "A turbulent first week of 2022 election year". Oregon Capital Insider. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
- ^ Bureau, GARY A. WARNER Oregon Capital. "A turbulent first week of 2022 election year". Oregon Capital Insider. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
- ^ "Oregon Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
- ^ a b "Biden, Trump win presidential primaries in Oregon". Associated Press. KPTV. May 19, 2020.
- ^ "Oregon Secretary of State". results.oregonvotes.gov. Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
- ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
- ^ "May 19, 2020, Primary Election Abstract of Votes" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
- ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
- ^ "RESULTS AND DATA | 2020 OREGON PRIMARY | Independent Party". Pers. Retrieved July 10, 2020.
- ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
- ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
- ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ "November 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Oregon", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Oregon: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Oregon". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Oregon at Ballotpedia
- Pages using the Graph extension
- Webarchive template wayback links
- Articles with short description
- Short description with empty Wikidata description
- Use mdy dates from November 2020
- Use American English from November 2020
- All Justapedia articles written in American English
- Elections using electoral votes
- Articles with excerpts
- 2020 United States presidential election by state
- United States presidential elections in Oregon
- 2020 Oregon elections